commit 1d6ec55612533a0f6182cb24d032528c44936b0e
parent 9ca60febacc9c88aba7082d9f097eda2b6197658
Author: NunoSempere <nuno.semperelh@protonmail.com>
Date: Sat, 13 Apr 2024 20:37:55 -0400
add 2010 census results
Diffstat:
3 files changed, 62 insertions(+), 7 deletions(-)
diff --git a/data/electoral-college-votes-2010-census.csv b/data/electoral-college-votes-2010-census.csv
@@ -0,0 +1,52 @@
+State,Votes
+Alabama,9
+Alaska,3
+Arizona,11
+Arkansas,6
+California,55
+Colorado,9
+Connecticut,7
+Delaware,3
+District of Columbia,3
+Florida,29
+Georgia,16
+Hawaii,4
+Idaho,4
+Illinois,20
+Indiana,11
+Iowa,6
+Kansas,6
+Kentucky,8
+Louisiana,8
+Maine,4
+Maryland,10
+Massachusetts,11
+Michigan,16
+Minnesota,10
+Mississippi,6
+Missouri,10
+Montana,3
+Nebraska,5
+Nevada,6
+New Hampshire,4
+New Jersey,14
+New Mexico,5
+New York,29
+North Carolina,15
+North Dakota,3
+Ohio,18
+Oklahoma,7
+Oregon,7
+Pennsylvania,20
+Rhode Island,4
+South Carolina,9
+South Dakota,3
+Tennessee,11
+Texas,38
+Utah,6
+Vermont,3
+Virginia,13
+Washington,12
+West Virginia,5
+Wisconsin,10
+Wyoming,3
diff --git a/data/electoral-college-votes.source b/data/electoral-college-votes.source
@@ -1 +1,2 @@
https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/allocation
+https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats
diff --git a/main.go b/main.go
@@ -24,14 +24,14 @@ type VotesForEachParty struct {
// type src = *rand.Rand
/* Globals */
-var r = rand.New(rand.NewPCG(uint64(1), uint64(2)))
+var r = rand.New(rand.NewPCG(uint64(100), uint64(2224)))
/* Load data from csvs */
func readStates() ([]State, error) {
var states map[string]State = make(map[string]State)
/* Electoral college votes for the 2024 election*/
- votes_file, err := os.Open("data/electoral-college-votes.csv")
+ votes_file, err := os.Open("data/electoral-college-votes-2010-census.csv")
if err != nil {
return nil, fmt.Errorf("error opening the votes file: %v", err)
}
@@ -64,7 +64,6 @@ func readStates() ([]State, error) {
if err != nil {
return nil, fmt.Errorf("error opening the results file for %s: %v", year, err)
}
- defer results_file.Close()
resultsReader := csv.NewReader(results_file)
if _, err := resultsReader.Read(); err != nil { // Skip header
return nil, fmt.Errorf("error reading results header for %s: %v", year, err)
@@ -83,6 +82,8 @@ func readStates() ([]State, error) {
data.VictoriousPartyPerElection[year] = party
states[state] = data
}
+
+ results_file.Close()
}
// Convert statesData map to a slice for returning
@@ -103,7 +104,7 @@ func sampleFromState(state State) VotesForEachParty {
// 2012: R
// 2016: R
// 2020: Split, 1 D, 4 R
- p_split := float64(2 / 6)
+ p_split := 2.0 / 6.0
if r.Float64() < p_split {
return VotesForEachParty{Democrats: 1, Republicans: 4}
} else {
@@ -116,7 +117,7 @@ func sampleFromState(state State) VotesForEachParty {
// 2012: D
// 2016: Split: 3 D, 1 R
// 2020: Split, 3 D, 1 R
- p_split := float64(2 / 6)
+ p_split := 2.0 / 6.0
if r.Float64() < p_split {
return VotesForEachParty{Democrats: 3, Republicans: 1}
} else {
@@ -158,7 +159,8 @@ func simulateElection(states []State) int {
}
// fmt.Printf("\nDemocrat seats: %d\n", republican_seats)
- if republican_seats > 270 {
+ fmt.Printf(" (%d) ", republican_seats)
+ if republican_seats >= 270 {
return 1
} else {
return 0
@@ -176,7 +178,7 @@ func main() {
n_sims := 100_000
p_republicans := 0.0
- for _ = range n_sims {
+ for i := 0; i < n_sims; i++ {
result := simulateElection(states)
fmt.Printf("Election result: %d\n", result)
if result == 1 {
