commit 0db211a1c8d81614c9613270953b3a69bfdb632c
parent 50bc2ad8a3c82946ccad26248b114623af3630e0
Author: NunoSempere <nuno.semperelh@protonmail.com>
Date: Tue, 11 Jun 2024 17:42:10 -0400
update polls & rerun model
Diffstat:
3 files changed, 1337 insertions(+), 0 deletions(-)
diff --git a/data/polls/president_polls.csv b/data/polls/president_polls.csv
@@ -1,4 +1,111 @@
poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_id,pollster_rating_name,numeric_grade,pollscore,methodology,transparency_score,state,start_date,end_date,sponsor_candidate_id,sponsor_candidate,sponsor_candidate_party,endorsed_candidate_id,endorsed_candidate_name,endorsed_candidate_party,question_id,sample_size,population,subpopulation,population_full,tracking,created_at,notes,url,source,internal,partisan,race_id,cycle,office_type,seat_number,seat_name,election_date,stage,nationwide_batch,ranked_choice_reallocated,ranked_choice_round,party,answer,candidate_id,candidate_name,pct
+87136,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/7/24,6/9/24,,"",,,,,200705,10260,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:30,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.0
+87136,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/7/24,6/9/24,,"",,,,,200705,10260,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:30,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0
+87147,1571,The Tyson Group,"","",The Tyson Group,334,The Tyson Group,1.2,0.2,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,3.5,Florida,6/6/24,6/9/24,,"",,,,,200727,1050,lv,,lv,,6/11/24 14:04,"",https://floridapolitics.com/archives/678915-florida-pollster-finds-donald-trump-with-10-point-lead-in-state/,"",,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,36.0
+87147,1571,The Tyson Group,"","",The Tyson Group,334,The Tyson Group,1.2,0.2,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,3.5,Florida,6/6/24,6/9/24,,"",,,,,200727,1050,lv,,lv,,6/11/24 14:04,"",https://floridapolitics.com/archives/678915-florida-pollster-finds-donald-trump-with-10-point-lead-in-state/,"",,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0
+87137,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/6/24,6/8/24,,"",,,,,200706,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:30,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.0
+87137,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/6/24,6/8/24,,"",,,,,200706,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:30,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
+87131,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/5/24,6/7/24,,"",,,,,200686,1359,lv,,lv,,6/9/24 13:08,"",https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-trump-biden-neck-and-neck-06-09-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,49.0
+87131,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/5/24,6/7/24,,"",,,,,200686,1359,lv,,lv,,6/9/24 13:08,"",https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-trump-biden-neck-and-neck-06-09-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0
+87138,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/5/24,6/7/24,,"",,,,,200707,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:30,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87138,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/5/24,6/7/24,,"",,,,,200707,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:30,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
+87139,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/4/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200708,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:31,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87139,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/4/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200708,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:31,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
+87129,568,YouGov,1213,Yahoo News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200660,1239,rv,,rv,,6/7/24 21:14,"",https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yahoo-newsyougov-poll-after-trump-felony-conviction-biden-leads-for-1st-time-in-months--but-not-by-much-193423583.html,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0
+87129,568,YouGov,1213,Yahoo News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200660,1239,rv,,rv,,6/7/24 21:14,"",https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yahoo-newsyougov-poll-after-trump-felony-conviction-biden-leads-for-1st-time-in-months--but-not-by-much-193423583.html,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
+87129,568,YouGov,1213,Yahoo News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200661,1239,rv,,rv,,6/7/24 21:14,"includes ""another candidate"" option",https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yahoo-newsyougov-poll-after-trump-felony-conviction-biden-leads-for-1st-time-in-months--but-not-by-much-193423583.html,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0
+87129,568,YouGov,1213,Yahoo News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200661,1239,rv,,rv,,6/7/24 21:14,"includes ""another candidate"" option",https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yahoo-newsyougov-poll-after-trump-felony-conviction-biden-leads-for-1st-time-in-months--but-not-by-much-193423583.html,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0
+87145,1205,Marist,"","",Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text,7.0,Ohio,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200723,1137,rv,,rv,,6/11/24 10:15,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-ohio/,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0
+87145,1205,Marist,"","",Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text,7.0,Ohio,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200723,1137,rv,,rv,,6/11/24 10:15,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-ohio/,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0
+87145,1205,Marist,"","",Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text,7.0,Ohio,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200723,1137,rv,,rv,,6/11/24 10:15,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-ohio/,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0
+87145,1205,Marist,"","",Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text,7.0,Ohio,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200723,1137,rv,,rv,,6/11/24 10:15,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-ohio/,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0
+87145,1205,Marist,"","",Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text,7.0,Ohio,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200723,1137,rv,,rv,,6/11/24 10:15,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-ohio/,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0
+87145,1205,Marist,"","",Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text,7.0,Ohio,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200723,1137,rv,,rv,,6/11/24 10:15,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-ohio/,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0
+87113,1102,Emerson,"","",Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel,7.0,,6/4/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200533,1000,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 09:30,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-national-poll-trump-46-biden-45/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,50.2
+87113,1102,Emerson,"","",Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel,7.0,,6/4/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200533,1000,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 09:30,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-national-poll-trump-46-biden-45/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.8
+87113,1102,Emerson,"","",Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel,7.0,,6/4/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200584,1000,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 09:33,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-national-poll-trump-46-biden-45/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,38.4
+87113,1102,Emerson,"","",Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel,7.0,,6/4/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200584,1000,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 09:33,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-national-poll-trump-46-biden-45/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.4
+87113,1102,Emerson,"","",Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel,7.0,,6/4/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200584,1000,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 09:33,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-national-poll-trump-46-biden-45/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.9
+87113,1102,Emerson,"","",Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel,7.0,,6/4/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200584,1000,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 09:33,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-national-poll-trump-46-biden-45/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.0
+87113,1102,Emerson,"","",Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel,7.0,,6/4/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200584,1000,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 09:33,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-national-poll-trump-46-biden-45/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.2
+87134,289,Mason-Dixon,"159,1026,1298",Minneapolis Star Tribune | MPR News | KARE-TV,Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy,197,Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy,2.6,-1.1,Live Phone,6.0,Minnesota,6/3/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200703,800,lv,,lv,,6/10/24 09:31,"",https://www.apmresearchlab.org/minnesota-poll-june-2024,"",,,8823,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.5
+87134,289,Mason-Dixon,"159,1026,1298",Minneapolis Star Tribune | MPR News | KARE-TV,Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy,197,Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy,2.6,-1.1,Live Phone,6.0,Minnesota,6/3/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200703,800,lv,,lv,,6/10/24 09:31,"",https://www.apmresearchlab.org/minnesota-poll-june-2024,"",,,8823,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,40.6
+87134,289,Mason-Dixon,"159,1026,1298",Minneapolis Star Tribune | MPR News | KARE-TV,Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy,197,Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy,2.6,-1.1,Live Phone,6.0,Minnesota,6/3/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200703,800,lv,,lv,,6/10/24 09:31,"",https://www.apmresearchlab.org/minnesota-poll-june-2024,"",,,8823,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,6.4
+87140,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/3/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200709,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:31,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87140,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/3/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200709,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:31,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
+87120,1714,Kaplan Strategies,"","",Kaplan Strategies,124,Kaplan Strategies,2.0,-0.9,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,4.5,West Virginia,6/4/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200611,464,lv,,lv,,6/6/24 16:29,"",https://kaplanstrategies.com/2024/06/06/manchins-move-to-independent-could-shake-up-west-virginia-governors-race/,"",,,8908,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,28.0
+87120,1714,Kaplan Strategies,"","",Kaplan Strategies,124,Kaplan Strategies,2.0,-0.9,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,4.5,West Virginia,6/4/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200611,464,lv,,lv,,6/6/24 16:29,"",https://kaplanstrategies.com/2024/06/06/manchins-move-to-independent-could-shake-up-west-virginia-governors-race/,"",,,8908,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,55.0
+87120,1714,Kaplan Strategies,"","",Kaplan Strategies,124,Kaplan Strategies,2.0,-0.9,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,4.5,West Virginia,6/4/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200611,464,lv,,lv,,6/6/24 16:29,"",https://kaplanstrategies.com/2024/06/06/manchins-move-to-independent-could-shake-up-west-virginia-governors-race/,"",,,8908,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0
+87102,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/2/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200470,1566,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 10:20,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_b6cGJcE.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0
+87102,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/2/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200470,1566,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 10:20,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_b6cGJcE.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0
+87102,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/2/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200470,1566,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 10:20,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_b6cGJcE.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,3.0
+87102,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/2/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200470,1566,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 10:20,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_b6cGJcE.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.0
+87102,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/2/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200470,1566,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 10:20,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_b6cGJcE.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0
+87141,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/2/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200710,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:31,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87141,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/2/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200710,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:31,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
+87115,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,5.0,,5/23/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200531,1671,lv,,lv,,6/6/24 09:30,"",https://www.activote.net/trumps-resilient-lead/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,48.1
+87115,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,5.0,,5/23/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200531,1671,lv,,lv,,6/6/24 09:30,"",https://www.activote.net/trumps-resilient-lead/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,51.9
+87115,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,5.0,,5/23/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200532,1775,lv,,lv,,6/6/24 09:30,"",https://www.activote.net/trumps-resilient-lead/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.6
+87115,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,5.0,,5/23/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200532,1775,lv,,lv,,6/6/24 09:30,"",https://www.activote.net/trumps-resilient-lead/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.4
+87115,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,5.0,,5/23/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200532,1775,lv,,lv,,6/6/24 09:30,"",https://www.activote.net/trumps-resilient-lead/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,13.1
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200508,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://www.michigannewssource.com/2024/06/exclusive-a-close-race-until-the-end-polling-shows-trump-clinging-to-6-lead-over-biden-in-michigan/?utm_source=home-headline-stories,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,47.6
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200508,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://www.michigannewssource.com/2024/06/exclusive-a-close-race-until-the-end-polling-shows-trump-clinging-to-6-lead-over-biden-in-michigan/?utm_source=home-headline-stories,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.2
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200509,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240606_MI_Mitchell.pdf,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,45.1
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200509,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240606_MI_Mitchell.pdf,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.3
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200509,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240606_MI_Mitchell.pdf,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,3.3
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200509,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240606_MI_Mitchell.pdf,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.5
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200509,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240606_MI_Mitchell.pdf,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.1
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200614,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,48.0
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200614,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200615,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200615,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200615,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200615,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200615,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200616,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200616,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200617,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200617,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200617,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200617,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200617,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200618,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,45.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200618,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200619,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200619,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200619,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200619,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200619,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200620,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200620,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,51.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200621,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200621,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200621,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200621,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200621,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0
+87142,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200711,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:31,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87142,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200711,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/10/24 14:31,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
+87119,1516,East Carolina University,"","",East Carolina University Center for Survey Research,523,East Carolina University Center for Survey Research,2.6,-0.5,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,North Carolina,5/31/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200608,1332,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 14:33,"",https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/trump-leads-biden-by-5-points-in-north-carolina-gubernatorial-election-remains-close-with-stein-up-1-on-robinson-trump-guilty-verdict-has-little-impact-on-nc-voter-intentions-for-november,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87119,1516,East Carolina University,"","",East Carolina University Center for Survey Research,523,East Carolina University Center for Survey Research,2.6,-0.5,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,North Carolina,5/31/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200608,1332,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 14:33,"",https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/trump-leads-biden-by-5-points-in-north-carolina-gubernatorial-election-remains-close-with-stein-up-1-on-robinson-trump-guilty-verdict-has-little-impact-on-nc-voter-intentions-for-november,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200506,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200506,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200507,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,37.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200507,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200507,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200507,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,3.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200507,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200507,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,3.0
+87087,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/31/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200376,10404,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87087,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/31/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200376,10404,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200377,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200377,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200378,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,32.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200378,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200378,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200378,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200378,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,3.0
+87089,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/30/24,6/1/24,,"",,,,,200384,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/4/24 09:51,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87089,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/30/24,6/1/24,,"",,,,,200384,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/4/24 09:51,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
87081,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/31/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200332,2200,rv,,rv,,6/1/24 16:48,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/donald-trump-polling-guilty-verdict-jury-trial,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,45.0
87081,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/31/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200332,2200,rv,,rv,,6/1/24 16:48,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/donald-trump-polling-guilty-verdict-jury-trial,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
87075,241,Ipsos,71,Reuters,Ipsos,154,Ipsos,2.8,-0.8,Probability Panel,9.5,,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200305,2135,rv,,rv,,5/31/24 15:25,"",https://www.reuters.com/world/us/one-10-republicans-less-likely-vote-trump-after-guilty-verdict-reutersipsos-poll-2024-05-31/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0
@@ -18,6 +125,52 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i
87079,1416,HarrisX,2097,Forbes,HarrisX,133,Harris Insights & Analytics,1.6,-0.1,Online Panel,6.0,,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200318,1006,rv,,rv,,5/31/24 21:44,"",https://uploads-ssl.webflow.com/642d10aa01f0e174bec6cc08/665a542129264ac3335fae85_Perceptions%20of%20Trump%20Guilty%20Verdict%20-%20HarrisX%20Overnight%20Poll%20-%2031%20May%202024.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,13.0
87079,1416,HarrisX,2097,Forbes,HarrisX,133,Harris Insights & Analytics,1.6,-0.1,Online Panel,6.0,,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200318,1006,rv,,rv,,5/31/24 21:44,"",https://uploads-ssl.webflow.com/642d10aa01f0e174bec6cc08/665a542129264ac3335fae85_Perceptions%20of%20Trump%20Guilty%20Verdict%20-%20HarrisX%20Overnight%20Poll%20-%2031%20May%202024.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0
87079,1416,HarrisX,2097,Forbes,HarrisX,133,Harris Insights & Analytics,1.6,-0.1,Online Panel,6.0,,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200318,1006,rv,,rv,,5/31/24 21:44,"",https://uploads-ssl.webflow.com/642d10aa01f0e174bec6cc08/665a542129264ac3335fae85_Perceptions%20of%20Trump%20Guilty%20Verdict%20-%20HarrisX%20Overnight%20Poll%20-%2031%20May%202024.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200403,722,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,45.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200403,722,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200404,636,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,47.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200404,636,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200405,722,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200405,722,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,39.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200405,722,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,11.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200406,636,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200406,636,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200406,636,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200407,1008,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200407,1008,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200408,923,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,45.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200408,923,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200409,1008,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200409,1008,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,39.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200409,1008,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200410,923,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200410,923,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200410,923,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200411,338,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200411,338,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,38.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200412,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200412,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200413,338,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,38.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200413,338,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,31.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200413,338,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,13.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200414,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200414,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,35.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200414,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,12.0
+87104,1193,SurveyMonkey,1876,The 19th,SurveyMonkey,324,SurveyMonkey,1.9,0.2,Online Panel,9.0,,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200471,5893,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:20,"",https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/19th-hush-money-trial-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,30.0
+87104,1193,SurveyMonkey,1876,The 19th,SurveyMonkey,324,SurveyMonkey,1.9,0.2,Online Panel,9.0,,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200471,5893,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:20,"",https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/19th-hush-money-trial-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,34.0
+87083,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,5/29/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200335,1675,rv,,rv,,6/3/24 09:40,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/06/03/despite-court-guilty-verdict-trump-gains-on-biden-in-court-of-voter-opinion-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0
+87083,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,5/29/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200335,1675,rv,,rv,,6/3/24 09:40,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/06/03/despite-court-guilty-verdict-trump-gains-on-biden-in-court-of-voter-opinion-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0
+87083,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,5/29/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200336,1675,rv,,rv,,6/3/24 09:40,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/06/03/despite-court-guilty-verdict-trump-gains-on-biden-in-court-of-voter-opinion-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,38.0
+87083,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,5/29/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200336,1675,rv,,rv,,6/3/24 09:40,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/06/03/despite-court-guilty-verdict-trump-gains-on-biden-in-court-of-voter-opinion-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,38.0
+87083,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,5/29/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200336,1675,rv,,rv,,6/3/24 09:40,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/06/03/despite-court-guilty-verdict-trump-gains-on-biden-in-court-of-voter-opinion-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,10.0
+87083,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,5/29/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200336,1675,rv,,rv,,6/3/24 09:40,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/06/03/despite-court-guilty-verdict-trump-gains-on-biden-in-court-of-voter-opinion-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.0
+87083,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,5/29/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200336,1675,rv,,rv,,6/3/24 09:40,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/06/03/despite-court-guilty-verdict-trump-gains-on-biden-in-court-of-voter-opinion-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0
+87090,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/29/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200385,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/4/24 09:51,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87090,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/29/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200385,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/4/24 09:51,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0
+87091,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/28/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200386,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/4/24 09:52,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87091,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/28/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200386,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/4/24 09:52,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0
+87105,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,48.0
+87105,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,27.0
+87105,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0
87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200296,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.1
87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200296,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,37.6
87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200296,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.7
@@ -25,6 +178,15 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i
87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200296,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.7
87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200297,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,55.2
87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200297,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.8
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200504,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200504,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,54.0
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200505,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200505,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200505,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200505,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,3.0
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200505,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0
+87092,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/27/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200387,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/4/24 09:52,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0
+87092,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/27/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200387,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/4/24 09:52,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
87059,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/26/24,5/28/24,,"",,,,,200254,10721,rv,,rv,TRUE,5/30/24 09:20,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0
87059,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/26/24,5/28/24,,"",,,,,200254,10721,rv,,rv,TRUE,5/30/24 09:20,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
87051,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,5/25/24,5/28/24,,"",,,,,200199,1547,rv,,rv,,5/29/24 10:08,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_5ePXwWM.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
@@ -623,6 +785,8 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i
86884,1709,Big Village,"","",Big Village,37,Big Village,1.6,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,,5/3/24,5/8/24,,"",,,,,198614,2867,lv,,lv,,5/9/24 13:50,"",https://s3.amazonaws.com/cdn.big-village.com/big-village/2024/05/Big-Village-Political-Poll-05.09.24.pdf,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,40.6
86884,1709,Big Village,"","",Big Village,37,Big Village,1.6,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,,5/3/24,5/8/24,,"",,,,,198614,2867,lv,,lv,,5/9/24 13:50,"",https://s3.amazonaws.com/cdn.big-village.com/big-village/2024/05/Big-Village-Political-Poll-05.09.24.pdf,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.8
86884,1709,Big Village,"","",Big Village,37,Big Village,1.6,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,,5/3/24,5/8/24,,"",,,,,198614,2867,lv,,lv,,5/9/24 13:50,"",https://s3.amazonaws.com/cdn.big-village.com/big-village/2024/05/Big-Village-Political-Poll-05.09.24.pdf,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.2
+87128,921,Clarity,"","",Clarity Campaign Labs,52,Clarity Campaign Labs,1.6,-0.2,Online Panel,1.0,,4/29/24,5/8/24,,"",,,,,200638,1076,rv,,rv,,6/7/24 13:22,"",https://static1.squarespace.com/static/61ae8d5e55be5c7314b4c83a/t/66631e285625963c4d18a28b/1717771816980/%5BALL%5D+Clarity+Omnibus+Overview+-+April_May+2024.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0
+87128,921,Clarity,"","",Clarity Campaign Labs,52,Clarity Campaign Labs,1.6,-0.2,Online Panel,1.0,,4/29/24,5/8/24,,"",,,,,200638,1076,rv,,rv,,6/7/24 13:22,"",https://static1.squarespace.com/static/61ae8d5e55be5c7314b4c83a/t/66631e285625963c4d18a28b/1717771816980/%5BALL%5D+Clarity+Omnibus+Overview+-+April_May+2024.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0
86881,383,PPP,32,Emily's List,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,Maryland,5/6/24,5/7/24,,"",,,,,198595,719,v,,v,,5/8/24 15:30,"",https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/24654802/md-sen-ppp-for-emilys-list-may-2024.pdf,"",,DEM,8814,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,60.0
86881,383,PPP,32,Emily's List,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,Maryland,5/6/24,5/7/24,,"",,,,,198595,719,v,,v,,5/8/24 15:30,"",https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/24654802/md-sen-ppp-for-emilys-list-may-2024.pdf,"",,DEM,8814,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,32.0
86876,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,5/5/24,5/7/24,,"",,,,,198581,1598,rv,,rv,,5/8/24 11:03,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_Agwhapd.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
diff --git a/data/polls/president_polls_state.csv b/data/polls/president_polls_state.csv
@@ -1,4 +1,103 @@
poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_id,pollster_rating_name,numeric_grade,pollscore,methodology,transparency_score,state,start_date,end_date,sponsor_candidate_id,sponsor_candidate,sponsor_candidate_party,endorsed_candidate_id,endorsed_candidate_name,endorsed_candidate_party,question_id,sample_size,population,subpopulation,population_full,tracking,created_at,notes,url,source,internal,partisan,race_id,cycle,office_type,seat_number,seat_name,election_date,stage,nationwide_batch,ranked_choice_reallocated,ranked_choice_round,party,answer,candidate_id,candidate_name,pct
+87147,1571,The Tyson Group,"","",The Tyson Group,334,The Tyson Group,1.2,0.2,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,3.5,Florida,6/6/24,6/9/24,,"",,,,,200727,1050,lv,,lv,,6/11/24 14:04,"",https://floridapolitics.com/archives/678915-florida-pollster-finds-donald-trump-with-10-point-lead-in-state/,"",,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,36.0
+87147,1571,The Tyson Group,"","",The Tyson Group,334,The Tyson Group,1.2,0.2,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,3.5,Florida,6/6/24,6/9/24,,"",,,,,200727,1050,lv,,lv,,6/11/24 14:04,"",https://floridapolitics.com/archives/678915-florida-pollster-finds-donald-trump-with-10-point-lead-in-state/,"",,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0
+87145,1205,Marist,"","",Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text,7.0,Ohio,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200723,1137,rv,,rv,,6/11/24 10:15,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-ohio/,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0
+87145,1205,Marist,"","",Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text,7.0,Ohio,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200723,1137,rv,,rv,,6/11/24 10:15,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-ohio/,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0
+87145,1205,Marist,"","",Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text,7.0,Ohio,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200723,1137,rv,,rv,,6/11/24 10:15,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-ohio/,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0
+87145,1205,Marist,"","",Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text,7.0,Ohio,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200723,1137,rv,,rv,,6/11/24 10:15,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-ohio/,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0
+87145,1205,Marist,"","",Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text,7.0,Ohio,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200723,1137,rv,,rv,,6/11/24 10:15,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-ohio/,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0
+87145,1205,Marist,"","",Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text,7.0,Ohio,6/3/24,6/6/24,,"",,,,,200723,1137,rv,,rv,,6/11/24 10:15,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-ohio/,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0
+87134,289,Mason-Dixon,"159,1026,1298",Minneapolis Star Tribune | MPR News | KARE-TV,Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy,197,Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy,2.6,-1.1,Live Phone,6.0,Minnesota,6/3/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200703,800,lv,,lv,,6/10/24 09:31,"",https://www.apmresearchlab.org/minnesota-poll-june-2024,"",,,8823,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.5
+87134,289,Mason-Dixon,"159,1026,1298",Minneapolis Star Tribune | MPR News | KARE-TV,Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy,197,Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy,2.6,-1.1,Live Phone,6.0,Minnesota,6/3/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200703,800,lv,,lv,,6/10/24 09:31,"",https://www.apmresearchlab.org/minnesota-poll-june-2024,"",,,8823,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,40.6
+87134,289,Mason-Dixon,"159,1026,1298",Minneapolis Star Tribune | MPR News | KARE-TV,Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy,197,Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy,2.6,-1.1,Live Phone,6.0,Minnesota,6/3/24,6/5/24,,"",,,,,200703,800,lv,,lv,,6/10/24 09:31,"",https://www.apmresearchlab.org/minnesota-poll-june-2024,"",,,8823,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,6.4
+87120,1714,Kaplan Strategies,"","",Kaplan Strategies,124,Kaplan Strategies,2.0,-0.9,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,4.5,West Virginia,6/4/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200611,464,lv,,lv,,6/6/24 16:29,"",https://kaplanstrategies.com/2024/06/06/manchins-move-to-independent-could-shake-up-west-virginia-governors-race/,"",,,8908,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,28.0
+87120,1714,Kaplan Strategies,"","",Kaplan Strategies,124,Kaplan Strategies,2.0,-0.9,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,4.5,West Virginia,6/4/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200611,464,lv,,lv,,6/6/24 16:29,"",https://kaplanstrategies.com/2024/06/06/manchins-move-to-independent-could-shake-up-west-virginia-governors-race/,"",,,8908,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,55.0
+87120,1714,Kaplan Strategies,"","",Kaplan Strategies,124,Kaplan Strategies,2.0,-0.9,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,4.5,West Virginia,6/4/24,6/4/24,,"",,,,,200611,464,lv,,lv,,6/6/24 16:29,"",https://kaplanstrategies.com/2024/06/06/manchins-move-to-independent-could-shake-up-west-virginia-governors-race/,"",,,8908,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200508,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://www.michigannewssource.com/2024/06/exclusive-a-close-race-until-the-end-polling-shows-trump-clinging-to-6-lead-over-biden-in-michigan/?utm_source=home-headline-stories,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,47.6
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200508,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://www.michigannewssource.com/2024/06/exclusive-a-close-race-until-the-end-polling-shows-trump-clinging-to-6-lead-over-biden-in-michigan/?utm_source=home-headline-stories,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.2
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200509,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240606_MI_Mitchell.pdf,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,45.1
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200509,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240606_MI_Mitchell.pdf,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.3
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200509,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240606_MI_Mitchell.pdf,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,3.3
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200509,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240606_MI_Mitchell.pdf,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.5
+87110,317,Mitchell,1857,Michigan News Source,Mitchell Research & Communications,213,Mitchell Research & Communications,2.0,-0.1,Text-to-Web,6.0,Michigan,6/3/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200509,710,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:04,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240606_MI_Mitchell.pdf,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.1
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200614,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,48.0
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200614,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200615,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200615,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200615,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200615,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0
+87122,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Virginia,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200615,1107,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200616,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200616,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200617,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200617,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200617,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200617,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0
+87123,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Florida,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200617,1075,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-holds-4-point-edge-florida-rematch-majority-says-conviction-wont-matter-vote,"",false,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200618,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,45.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200618,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200619,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200619,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200619,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200619,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0
+87124,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Nevada,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200619,1069,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points,"",false,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200620,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200620,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,51.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200621,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200621,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200621,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200621,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.0
+87125,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,9.0,Arizona,6/1/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200621,1095,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 21:30,"",https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march,"",false,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0
+87119,1516,East Carolina University,"","",East Carolina University Center for Survey Research,523,East Carolina University Center for Survey Research,2.6,-0.5,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,North Carolina,5/31/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200608,1332,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 14:33,"",https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/trump-leads-biden-by-5-points-in-north-carolina-gubernatorial-election-remains-close-with-stein-up-1-on-robinson-trump-guilty-verdict-has-little-impact-on-nc-voter-intentions-for-november,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87119,1516,East Carolina University,"","",East Carolina University Center for Survey Research,523,East Carolina University Center for Survey Research,2.6,-0.5,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,North Carolina,5/31/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200608,1332,rv,,rv,,6/6/24 14:33,"",https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/trump-leads-biden-by-5-points-in-north-carolina-gubernatorial-election-remains-close-with-stein-up-1-on-robinson-trump-guilty-verdict-has-little-impact-on-nc-voter-intentions-for-november,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200506,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200506,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200507,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,37.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200507,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200507,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200507,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,3.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200507,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0
+87109,396,Quinnipiac,"","",Quinnipiac University,267,Quinnipiac University,2.8,-0.5,Live Phone,9.0,Georgia,5/30/24,6/3/24,,"",,,,,200507,1203,rv,,rv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3899,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,3.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200377,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200377,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200378,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,32.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200378,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200378,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200378,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0
+87088,1001,North Star Opinion Research,1457,Center for American Greatness,North Star Opinion Research,233,North Star Opinion Research,1.2,0.2,Live Phone,3.0,North Carolina,5/29/24,6/2/24,,"",,,,,200378,600,lv,,lv,,6/3/24 21:09,"",https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/03/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-up-big-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,3.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200403,722,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,45.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200403,722,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200404,636,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,47.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200404,636,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200405,722,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200405,722,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,39.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200405,722,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,11.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200406,636,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200406,636,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0
+87097,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Michigan,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200406,636,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200407,1008,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200407,1008,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200408,923,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,45.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200408,923,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200409,1008,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200409,1008,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,39.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200409,1008,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200410,923,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200410,923,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0
+87098,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Pennsylvania,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200410,923,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200411,338,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200411,338,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,38.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200412,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200412,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200413,338,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,38.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200413,338,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,31.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200413,338,rv,,rv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,13.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200414,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200414,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,35.0
+87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200414,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,12.0
+87105,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,48.0
+87105,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,27.0
+87105,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0
87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200296,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.1
87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200296,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,37.6
87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200296,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.7
@@ -6,6 +105,13 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i
87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200296,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.7
87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200297,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,55.2
87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200297,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.8
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200504,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200504,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,54.0
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200505,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200505,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200505,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200505,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,3.0
+87108,1798,National Public Affairs,"","",National Public Affairs,768,National Public Affairs,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Ohio,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200505,802,lv,,lv,,6/5/24 14:02,"",https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g2ii9bhaq2n04xsw7naou/OH_Topline_062024.pdf?rlkey=t7scnv7fy3voe3ecoui8gxska&e=1&st=aipxxhr4&dl=0,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0
87034,1571,The Tyson Group,2122,Breaking Battlegrounds,The Tyson Group,334,The Tyson Group,1.2,0.2,Online Panel,3.5,Nevada,5/22/24,5/25/24,,"",,,,,200051,601,lv,,lv,,5/28/24 10:15,"",https://breakingbattlegrounds.substack.com/p/new-nevada-general-election-survey,"",,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,37.0
87034,1571,The Tyson Group,2122,Breaking Battlegrounds,The Tyson Group,334,The Tyson Group,1.2,0.2,Online Panel,3.5,Nevada,5/22/24,5/25/24,,"",,,,,200051,601,lv,,lv,,5/28/24 10:15,"",https://breakingbattlegrounds.substack.com/p/new-nevada-general-election-survey,"",,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,40.0
87034,1571,The Tyson Group,2122,Breaking Battlegrounds,The Tyson Group,334,The Tyson Group,1.2,0.2,Online Panel,3.5,Nevada,5/22/24,5/25/24,,"",,,,,200051,601,lv,,lv,,5/28/24 10:15,"",https://breakingbattlegrounds.substack.com/p/new-nevada-general-election-survey,"",,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0
diff --git a/out/output-2024-06-11.txt b/out/output-2024-06-11.txt
@@ -0,0 +1,1067 @@
+go run main.go
+
+
+State: New York
+ Votes: 28
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+ Poll: {PollId:86996 SampleSize:1191 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Trump:38] Date:2024-05-15 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1012.350000
+ Mean R: 44.705882
+ Std of mean R: 1.562631
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.000352
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.229298
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.050565
+ Poll: {PollId:87069 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:55.2 Kennedy:5.7 Stein:0.7 Trump:44.8 West:1.5] Date:2024-05-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1000.000000
+ Mean R: 44.800000
+ Std of mean R: 1.572565
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.000472
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.239231
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.054212
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2012 PollResults:map[Biden:55.247347628394664 Trump:44.752652371605336] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 2012.000000
+ Mean R: 44.752652
+ Std of mean R: 1.108539
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.000001
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.775206
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.029326
+
+State: Vermont
+ Votes: 3
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+
+State: Arkansas
+ Votes: 6
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: California
+ Votes: 54
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+
+State: Colorado
+ Votes: 10
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333
+
+State: Illinois
+ Votes: 19
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+
+State: Massachusetts
+ Votes: 11
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+ Poll: {PollId:87028 SampleSize:526 PollResults:map[Biden:68 Kennedy:10 Stein:2 Trump:32 West:1] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 526.000000
+ Mean R: 32.000000
+ Std of mean R: 2.033933
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.700599
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000001
+ Poll: {PollId:87105 SampleSize:700 PollResults:map[Biden:48 Kennedy:9 Trump:27] Date:2024-05-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 525.000000
+ Mean R: 36.000000
+ Std of mean R: 2.094892
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.761558
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000099
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1051 PollResults:map[Biden:66.00190294957184 Trump:33.998097050428164] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1051.000000
+ Mean R: 33.998097
+ Std of mean R: 1.461182
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.127848
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000000
+
+State: Mississippi
+ Votes: 6
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: New Mexico
+ Votes: 5
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
+
+State: Oregon
+ Votes: 8
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+
+State: Alaska
+ Votes: 3
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Florida
+ Votes: 30
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667
+ Poll: {PollId:87123 SampleSize:1075 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 935.250000
+ Mean R: 54.022989
+ Std of mean R: 1.629656
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.993218
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.629656
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.728014
+ Poll: {PollId:87147 SampleSize:1050 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Trump:46] Date:2024-06-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 861.000000
+ Mean R: 56.097561
+ Std of mean R: 1.691277
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.999844
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.691277
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.818923
+ Poll: {PollId:87004 SampleSize:486 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:9 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
+ Sample size: 422.820000
+ Mean R: 55.172414
+ Std of mean R: 2.418555
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.983768
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.418555
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.757170
+ Poll: {PollId:86963 SampleSize:1181 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Stein:3 Trump:49] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1003.850000
+ Mean R: 57.647059
+ Std of mean R: 1.559538
+ Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.559538
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.878151
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3222 PollResults:map[Biden:44.143199334764745 Trump:55.85680066523525] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 3222.000000
+ Mean R: 55.856801
+ Std of mean R: 0.874797
+ Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.874797
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.840602
+
+State: Hawaii
+ Votes: 4
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+
+State: Texas
+ Votes: 40
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Missouri
+ Votes: 10
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Montana
+ Votes: 4
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Wisconsin
+ Votes: 10
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
+ Poll: {PollId:86994 SampleSize:693 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Harris:41 Kennedy:6 Stein:1 Trump:49 West:1] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 658.350000
+ Mean R: 51.578947
+ Std of mean R: 1.947713
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.791222
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.947713
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.589890
+ Poll: {PollId:87021 SampleSize:503 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:9 Trump:45] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 452.700000
+ Mean R: 50.000000
+ Std of mean R: 2.349983
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.349983
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000
+ Poll: {PollId:87099 SampleSize:338 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:12 Trump:35] Date:2024-05-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 253.500000
+ Mean R: 46.666667
+ Std of mean R: 3.133385
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.143707
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 8.133385
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.340964
+ Poll: {PollId:87010 SampleSize:488 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
+ Sample size: 429.440000
+ Mean R: 50.000000
+ Std of mean R: 2.412786
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.412786
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1793 PollResults:map[Biden:49.89158245029236 Trump:50.10841754970763] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1793.000000
+ Mean R: 50.108418
+ Std of mean R: 1.180807
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.536578
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.180807
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.506997
+
+State: Alabama
+ Votes: 9
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Idaho
+ Votes: 4
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Maine
+ Votes: 4
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:Split 2020:Split]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+
+State: Louisiana
+ Votes: 8
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Maryland
+ Votes: 10
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+
+State: Michigan
+ Votes: 15
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
+ Poll: {PollId:87006 SampleSize:482 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:10 Stein:2 Trump:42 West:2] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
+ Sample size: 414.520000
+ Mean R: 48.837209
+ Std of mean R: 2.455160
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.317889
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.455160
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.438028
+ Poll: {PollId:87110 SampleSize:710 PollResults:map[Biden:45.1 Kennedy:3.3 Stein:0.5 Trump:46.3 West:1.1] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 648.940000
+ Mean R: 50.656455
+ Std of mean R: 1.962593
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.630993
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.962593
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.537558
+ Poll: {PollId:87097 SampleSize:722 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:8 Trump:43] Date:2024-05-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 628.140000
+ Mean R: 49.425287
+ Std of mean R: 1.994863
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.386637
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.994863
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.467259
+ Poll: {PollId:87048 SampleSize:697 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:5 Stein:1 Trump:46 West:1] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 634.270000
+ Mean R: 50.549451
+ Std of mean R: 1.985211
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.609022
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.985211
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.531348
+ Poll: {PollId:87017 SampleSize:606 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:7 Trump:47] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 557.520000
+ Mean R: 51.086957
+ Std of mean R: 2.117079
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.696172
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.117079
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.560692
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2883 PollResults:map[Biden:49.81358747862759 Trump:50.186412521372404] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 2883.000000
+ Mean R: 50.186413
+ Std of mean R: 0.931204
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.579332
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.931204
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.512536
+
+State: New Hampshire
+ Votes: 4
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
+ Poll: {PollId:86980 SampleSize:862 PollResults:map[Biden:36.5 Kennedy:14.6 Trump:36.6] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 630.122000
+ Mean R: 50.068399
+ Std of mean R: 1.991853
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.513697
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.991853
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.503903
+ Poll: {PollId:86997 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:11 Trump:36] Date:2024-05-14 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 468.000000
+ Mean R: 46.153846
+ Std of mean R: 2.304403
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.047554
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.304403
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.299252
+ Poll: {PollId:87030 SampleSize:1140 PollResults:map[Biden:52 Kennedy:3 Stein:2 Trump:48 West:1] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1140.000000
+ Mean R: 48.000000
+ Std of mean R: 1.479687
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.088246
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.479687
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.378791
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2238 PollResults:map[Biden:51.80369970895241 Trump:48.19630029104758] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 2238.000000
+ Mean R: 48.196300
+ Std of mean R: 1.056227
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.043848
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.056227
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.382918
+
+State: North Dakota
+ Votes: 3
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Indiana
+ Votes: 11
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
+
+State: Iowa
+ Votes: 6
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000
+
+State: Kentucky
+ Votes: 8
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Washington
+ Votes: 12
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+ Poll: {PollId:87033 SampleSize:403 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Trump:34] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 306.280000
+ Mean R: 44.736842
+ Std of mean R: 2.841131
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.031978
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.507797
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.121491
+ Poll: {PollId:86961 SampleSize:615 PollResults:map[Biden:55 Trump:39] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
+ Sample size: 578.100000
+ Mean R: 41.489362
+ Std of mean R: 2.049200
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.000016
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.715866
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.011000
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:884 PollResults:map[Biden:57.385965309030055 Trump:42.614034690969945] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 884.000000
+ Mean R: 42.614035
+ Std of mean R: 1.663233
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.000004
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.329899
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.013275
+
+State: West Virginia
+ Votes: 4
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+ Poll: {PollId:87120 SampleSize:464 PollResults:map[Biden:28 Stein:2 Trump:55] Date:2024-06-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 385.120000
+ Mean R: 66.265060
+ Std of mean R: 2.409263
+ Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
+ N republican wins: 6
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.075930
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.999967
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:385 PollResults:map[Biden:33.73493975903615 Trump:66.26506024096385] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 385.000000
+ Mean R: 66.265060
+ Std of mean R: 2.409639
+ Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
+ N republican wins: 6
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.076305
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.999967
+
+State: Pennsylvania
+ Votes: 19
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
+ Poll: {PollId:87098 SampleSize:1008 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:7 Trump:42] Date:2024-05-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 856.800000
+ Mean R: 49.411765
+ Std of mean R: 1.708049
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.365276
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.708049
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.465061
+ Poll: {PollId:87020 SampleSize:730 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:7 Trump:48] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 678.900000
+ Mean R: 51.612903
+ Std of mean R: 1.917967
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.799810
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.917967
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.592176
+ Poll: {PollId:87009 SampleSize:487 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:9 Stein:2 Trump:42 West:2] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
+ Sample size: 423.690000
+ Mean R: 48.275862
+ Std of mean R: 2.427658
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.238788
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.427658
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.408221
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1959 PollResults:map[Biden:50.071195627210514 Trump:49.92880437278949] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1959.000000
+ Mean R: 49.928804
+ Std of mean R: 1.129672
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.474874
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.129672
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.495366
+
+State: South Carolina
+ Votes: 9
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: South Dakota
+ Votes: 3
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+ Poll: {PollId:87023 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Biden:31.4 Kennedy:11.2 Trump:50] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 407.000000
+ Mean R: 61.425061
+ Std of mean R: 2.412838
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999
+ N republican wins: 6
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.079505
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.997450
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:407 PollResults:map[Biden:38.57493857493858 Trump:61.42506142506142] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 407.000000
+ Mean R: 61.425061
+ Std of mean R: 2.412838
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999
+ N republican wins: 6
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.079505
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.997450
+
+State: North Carolina
+ Votes: 16
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
+ Poll: {PollId:86986 SampleSize:835 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:11 Trump:41] Date:2024-05-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
+ Sample size: 659.650000
+ Mean R: 51.898734
+ Std of mean R: 1.945359
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.835476
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.945359
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.607720
+ Poll: {PollId:87119 SampleSize:1332 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Trump:48] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1212.120000
+ Mean R: 52.747253
+ Std of mean R: 1.433972
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.972307
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.433972
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.665307
+ Poll: {PollId:87019 SampleSize:601 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:8 Trump:48] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 534.890000
+ Mean R: 53.932584
+ Std of mean R: 2.155214
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.965976
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.155214
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.708707
+ Poll: {PollId:87088 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:32 Kennedy:9 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-06-02 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 456.000000
+ Mean R: 57.894737
+ Std of mean R: 2.312093
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.999681
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.312093
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.859858
+ Poll: {PollId:87008 SampleSize:472 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:11 Stein:1 Trump:45 West:2] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
+ Sample size: 410.640000
+ Mean R: 51.724138
+ Std of mean R: 2.465932
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.757781
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.465932
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.591317
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3273 PollResults:map[Biden:46.64130999297345 Trump:53.358690007026546] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 3273.000000
+ Mean R: 53.358690
+ Std of mean R: 0.871997
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.999941
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.871997
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.716334
+
+State: Oklahoma
+ Votes: 7
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Tennessee
+ Votes: 11
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Virginia
+ Votes: 13
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333
+ Poll: {PollId:87053 SampleSize:711 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:8 Stein:3 Trump:38] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 554.580000
+ Mean R: 48.717949
+ Std of mean R: 2.122487
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.272911
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.122487
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.428576
+ Poll: {PollId:87122 SampleSize:1107 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:9 Stein:2 Trump:41 West:2] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 918.810000
+ Mean R: 49.397590
+ Std of mean R: 1.649399
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.357470
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.649399
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.463907
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1473 PollResults:map[Biden:50.85822490990166 Trump:49.14177509009835] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1473.000000
+ Mean R: 49.141775
+ Std of mean R: 1.302581
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.254991
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.302581
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.445843
+
+State: District of Columbia
+ Votes: 3
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+
+State: Georgia
+ Votes: 16
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
+ Poll: {PollId:87005 SampleSize:470 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:11 Stein:1 Trump:42 West:5] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
+ Sample size: 390.100000
+ Mean R: 50.602410
+ Std of mean R: 2.531340
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.594052
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.531340
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.531876
+ Poll: {PollId:87016 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:10 Trump:47] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 546.000000
+ Mean R: 51.648352
+ Std of mean R: 2.138639
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.779572
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.138639
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.591306
+ Poll: {PollId:87109 SampleSize:1203 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:8 Oliver:3 Stein:2 Trump:43 West:3] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 962.400000
+ Mean R: 53.750000
+ Std of mean R: 1.607190
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.990183
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.607190
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.714834
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1898 PollResults:map[Biden:47.50118514616803 Trump:52.49881485383197] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1898.000000
+ Mean R: 52.498815
+ Std of mean R: 1.146249
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.985371
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.146249
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.657834
+
+State: Nevada
+ Votes: 6
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333
+ Poll: {PollId:87034 SampleSize:601 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:9 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-05-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 546.910000
+ Mean R: 51.648352
+ Std of mean R: 2.136859
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.779762
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.136859
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.591328
+ Poll: {PollId:86991 SampleSize:459 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Harris:44 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 431.460000
+ Mean R: 50.000000
+ Std of mean R: 2.407131
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.407131
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000
+ Poll: {PollId:87007 SampleSize:468 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:10 Stein:0 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
+ Sample size: 407.160000
+ Mean R: 50.574713
+ Std of mean R: 2.477757
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.591711
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.477757
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.530631
+ Poll: {PollId:87027 SampleSize:522 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7.9 Trump:46.2] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 449.964000
+ Mean R: 53.596288
+ Std of mean R: 2.351012
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.936952
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.351012
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.687658
+ Poll: {PollId:87049 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:34 Kennedy:15 Trump:37] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP}
+ Sample size: 426.000000
+ Mean R: 52.112676
+ Std of mean R: 2.420344
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.808636
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.420344
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.612068
+ Poll: {PollId:87124 SampleSize:1069 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:45 West:2] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 908.650000
+ Mean R: 52.941176
+ Std of mean R: 1.655842
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.962153
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.655842
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.670717
+ Poll: {PollId:87018 SampleSize:402 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:10 Trump:49] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 357.780000
+ Mean R: 55.056180
+ Std of mean R: 2.629844
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.972736
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.629844
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.746234
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3527 PollResults:map[Biden:47.69405463382998 Trump:52.305945366170015] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 3527.000000
+ Mean R: 52.305945
+ Std of mean R: 0.841017
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.996945
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.841017
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.653499
+
+State: Ohio
+ Votes: 17
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667
+ Poll: {PollId:87108 SampleSize:802 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:3 Trump:48 West:2] Date:2024-05-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 705.760000
+ Mean R: 54.545455
+ Std of mean R: 1.874301
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.992349
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.874301
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.745766
+ Poll: {PollId:87145 SampleSize:1137 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:5 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:0] Date:2024-06-06 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1011.930000
+ Mean R: 53.932584
+ Std of mean R: 1.566922
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.993959
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.566922
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.725363
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1717 PollResults:map[Biden:45.81560118531283 Trump:54.184398814687164] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1717.000000
+ Mean R: 54.184399
+ Std of mean R: 1.202427
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.999749
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.202427
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.750047
+
+State: Rhode Island
+ Votes: 4
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+ Poll: {PollId:87029 SampleSize:538 PollResults:map[Biden:60 Kennedy:6 Stein:0 Trump:40 West:1] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 538.000000
+ Mean R: 40.000000
+ Std of mean R: 2.112100
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.000001
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.778767
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.004068
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:538 PollResults:map[Biden:60 Trump:40] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 538.000000
+ Mean R: 40.000000
+ Std of mean R: 2.112100
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.000001
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.778767
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.004068
+
+State: Wyoming
+ Votes: 3
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Kansas
+ Votes: 6
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Minnesota
+ Votes: 10
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+ Poll: {PollId:87134 SampleSize:800 PollResults:map[Biden:44.5 Kennedy:6.4 Trump:40.6] Date:2024-06-05 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 680.800000
+ Mean R: 47.708578
+ Std of mean R: 1.914272
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.115649
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.580939
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.261121
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:680 PollResults:map[Biden:52.29142185663925 Trump:47.708578143360754] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 680.000000
+ Mean R: 47.708578
+ Std of mean R: 1.915398
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.115787
+ N republican wins: 0
+ => Reducing additional uncertainty
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.582065
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.261186
+
+State: Nebraska
+ Votes: 5
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:Split 2012:R 2016:Split 2020:Split]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000
+
+State: New Jersey
+ Votes: 14
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+
+State: Utah
+ Votes: 6
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
+
+State: Arizona
+ Votes: 11
+ History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
+ Poll: {PollId:87026 SampleSize:609 PollResults:map[Biden:39.3 Kennedy:7.2 Trump:42.8] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 499.989000
+ Mean R: 52.131547
+ Std of mean R: 2.234060
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.829987
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.234060
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.615871
+ Poll: {PollId:86964 SampleSize:1193 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Stein:5 Trump:44] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 1002.120000
+ Mean R: 52.380952
+ Std of mean R: 1.577674
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.934370
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.577674
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.641315
+ Poll: {PollId:86988 SampleSize:1003 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Kennedy:8 Stein:2 Trump:43 West:1] Date:2024-05-14 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 792.370000
+ Mean R: 54.430380
+ Std of mean R: 1.769271
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.993861
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.769271
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.743600
+ Poll: {PollId:87125 SampleSize:1095 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:8 Stein:1 Trump:46 West:1] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 952.650000
+ Mean R: 52.873563
+ Std of mean R: 1.617279
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.962199
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.617279
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.667947
+ Poll: {PollId:87015 SampleSize:527 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:10 Trump:45] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 469.030000
+ Mean R: 50.561798
+ Std of mean R: 2.308566
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.596134
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.308566
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.530636
+ Poll: {PollId:87003 SampleSize:490 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:11 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
+ Sample size: 411.600000
+ Mean R: 52.380952
+ Std of mean R: 2.461724
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.833275
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.461724
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.625170
+ Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:4127 PollResults:map[Biden:47.348864117309176 Trump:52.651135882690824] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
+ Sample size: 4127.000000
+ Mean R: 52.651136
+ Std of mean R: 0.777215
+ Poll says chance of R win: 0.999676
+ Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.777215
+ Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.676845
+
+State: Connecticut
+ Votes: 7
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+
+State: Delaware
+ Votes: 3
+ History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
+ Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
+
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+[ 165, 166): 0.00% (0%)
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+[ 175, 176): 0.00% (0%)
+[ 176, 177): 0.00% (0%)
+[ 177, 178): 0.00% (0%)
+[ 178, 179): 0.00% (0%)
+[ 179, 180): 0.00% (0%)
+[ 180, 181): 0.00% (0%)
+[ 181, 182): 0.00% (0%)
+[ 182, 183): 0.01% (0%)
+[ 183, 184): 0.01% (0%)
+[ 184, 185): 0.00% (0%)
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+[ 188, 189): 0.01% (0%)
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+[ 191, 192): 0.01% (0%)
+[ 192, 193): █ 0.02% (0%)
+[ 193, 194): █ 0.03% (0%)
+[ 194, 195): █ 0.02% (0%)
+[ 195, 196): █ 0.02% (0%)
+[ 196, 197): █ 0.02% (0%)
+[ 197, 198): ██ 0.04% (0%)
+[ 198, 199): ███ 0.05% (0%)
+[ 199, 200): ███ 0.05% (0%)
+[ 200, 201): ██ 0.04% (0%)
+[ 201, 202): ██ 0.04% (0%)
+[ 202, 203): ███ 0.05% (1%)
+[ 203, 204): ████ 0.07% (1%)
+[ 204, 205): ████ 0.07% (1%)
+[ 205, 206): ████ 0.08% (1%)
+[ 206, 207): ████ 0.07% (1%)
+[ 207, 208): ████ 0.08% (1%)
+[ 208, 209): ██████ 0.10% (1%)
+[ 209, 210): ██████ 0.11% (1%)
+[ 210, 211): ███████ 0.12% (1%)
+[ 211, 212): ██████ 0.11% (1%)
+[ 212, 213): ████████ 0.13% (1%)
+[ 213, 214): ████████ 0.15% (2%)
+[ 214, 215): ██████████ 0.17% (2%)
+[ 215, 216): ███████████ 0.19% (2%)
+[ 216, 217): ███████████ 0.18% (2%)
+[ 217, 218): ███████████ 0.19% (2%)
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+[ 219, 220): ██████████████ 0.24% (3%)
+[ 220, 221): ██████████████ 0.24% (3%)
+[ 221, 222): ███████████████ 0.25% (3%)
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+[ 224, 225): ██████████████████ 0.31% (4%)
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+[ 246, 247): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.92% (18%)
+[ 247, 248): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.83% (19%)
+[ 248, 249): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.95% (20%)
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+[ 252, 253): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.08% (24%)
+[ 253, 254): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.08% (25%)
+[ 254, 255): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.23% (26%)
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+[ 256, 257): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.33% (29%)
+[ 257, 258): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.22% (30%)
+[ 258, 259): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.27% (31%)
+[ 259, 260): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.35% (33%)
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+[ 262, 263): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.45% (37%)
+[ 263, 264): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.37% (39%)
+[ 264, 265): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.48% (40%)
+[ 265, 266): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.58% (42%)
+[ 266, 267): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.56% (43%)
+[ 267, 268): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.46% (45%)
+[ 268, 269): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.53% (46%)
+[ 269, 270): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.55% (48%)
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+[ 271, 272): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.61% (51%)
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+[ 275, 276): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.65% (57%)
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+[ 278, 279): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.54% (62%)
+[ 279, 280): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.57% (63%)
+[ 280, 281): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.57% (65%)
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+[ 282, 283): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.39% (68%)
+[ 283, 284): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.39% (69%)
+[ 284, 285): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.48% (71%)
+[ 285, 286): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.49% (72%)
+[ 286, 287): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.29% (74%)
+[ 287, 288): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.29% (75%)
+[ 288, 289): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.26% (76%)
+[ 289, 290): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.30% (77%)
+[ 290, 291): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.32% (79%)
+[ 291, 292): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.26% (80%)
+[ 292, 293): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.04% (81%)
+[ 293, 294): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.09% (82%)
+[ 294, 295): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.16% (83%)
+[ 295, 296): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.12% (84%)
+[ 296, 297): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.00% (85%)
+[ 297, 298): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.93% (86%)
+[ 298, 299): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.85% (87%)
+[ 299, 300): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.87% (88%)
+[ 300, 301): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (89%)
+[ 301, 302): ███████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.79% (90%)
+[ 302, 303): ████████████████████████████████████████ 0.67% (90%)
+[ 303, 304): ██████████████████████████████████████████ 0.70% (91%)
+[ 304, 305): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.73% (92%)
+[ 305, 306): ██████████████████████████████████████ 0.63% (93%)
+[ 306, 307): ██████████████████████████████████████ 0.63% (93%)
+[ 307, 308): ████████████████████████████████ 0.53% (94%)
+[ 308, 309): ██████████████████████████████ 0.51% (94%)
+[ 309, 310): ███████████████████████████████ 0.53% (95%)
+[ 310, 311): ███████████████████████████████ 0.51% (95%)
+[ 311, 312): ██████████████████████ 0.38% (96%)
+[ 312, 313): ██████████████████████ 0.37% (96%)
+[ 313, 314): ████████████████████████ 0.40% (96%)
+[ 314, 315): ███████████████████████ 0.38% (97%)
+[ 315, 316): ██████████████████ 0.30% (97%)
+[ 316, 317): ████████████████ 0.27% (97%)
+[ 317, 318): █████████████ 0.22% (98%)
+[ 318, 319): ███████████████ 0.25% (98%)
+[ 319, 320): █████████████████ 0.29% (98%)
+[ 320, 321): ████████████ 0.21% (98%)
+[ 321, 322): ███████ 0.13% (98%)
+[ 322, 323): ████████ 0.15% (99%)
+[ 323, 324): ██████████ 0.18% (99%)
+[ 324, 325): █████████ 0.16% (99%)
+[ 325, 326): ████████ 0.14% (99%)
+[ 326, 327): █████ 0.09% (99%)
+[ 327, 328): ████ 0.07% (99%)
+[ 328, 329): █████ 0.09% (99%)
+[ 329, 330): ███████ 0.12% (99%)
+[ 330, 331): ████ 0.07% (100%)
+[ 331, 332): ██ 0.04% (100%)
+[ 332, 333): ██ 0.04% (100%)
+[ 333, 334): ███ 0.05% (100%)
+[ 334, 335): ██ 0.05% (100%)
+[ 335, 336): ██ 0.05% (100%)
+[ 336, 337): █ 0.02% (100%)
+[ 337, 338): █ 0.02% (100%)
+[ 338, 339): █ 0.03% (100%)
+[ 339, 340): █ 0.03% (100%)
+[ 340, 341): █ 0.02% (100%)
+[ 341, 342): 0.01% (100%)
+[ 342, 343): 0.01% (100%)
+[ 343, 344): 0.01% (100%)
+[ 344, 345): 0.01% (100%)
+[ 345, 346): 0.01% (100%)
+[ 346, 347): 0.01% (100%)
+[ 347, 348): 0.01% (100%)
+[ 348, 349): 0.01% (100%)
+[ 349, 350): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 350, 351): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 351, 352): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 352, 353): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 353, 354): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 354, 355): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 355, 356): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 356, 357): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 357, 358): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 358, 359): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 359, 360): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 360, 361): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 361, 362): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 362, 363): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 363, 364): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 364, 365): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 365, 366): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 366, 367): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 367, 368): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 368, 369): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 369, 370): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 370, 371): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 371, 372): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 372, 373): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 373, 374): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 374, 375): 0.00% (100%)
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+[ 376, 377): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 377, 378): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 378, 379): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 379, 380): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 380, 381): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 381, 382): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 382, 383): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 383, 384): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 384, 385): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 385, 386): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 386, 387): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 387, 388): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 388, 389): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 389, 390): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 390, 391): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 391, 392): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 392, 393): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 393, 394): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 394, 395): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 395, 396): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 396, 397): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 397, 398): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 398, 399): 0.00% (100%)
+[ 399, 400): 0.00% (100%)
+
+% republicans: 0.522445
