output-2024-06-11.txt (61269B)
1 go run main.go 2 3 4 State: Illinois 5 Votes: 19 6 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 7 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 8 9 State: North Carolina 10 Votes: 16 11 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 12 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 13 Poll: {PollId:87088 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:32 Kennedy:9 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-06-02 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 14 Sample size: 456.000000 15 Mean R: 57.894737 16 Std of mean R: 2.312093 17 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999681 18 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.312093 19 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.894484 20 Poll: {PollId:86986 SampleSize:835 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:11 Trump:41] Date:2024-05-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 21 Sample size: 659.650000 22 Mean R: 51.898734 23 Std of mean R: 1.945359 24 Poll says chance of R win: 0.835476 25 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.945359 26 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.625275 27 Poll: {PollId:87019 SampleSize:601 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:8 Trump:48] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 28 Sample size: 534.890000 29 Mean R: 53.932584 30 Std of mean R: 2.155214 31 Poll says chance of R win: 0.965976 32 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.155214 33 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.738557 34 Poll: {PollId:87119 SampleSize:1332 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Trump:48] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 35 Sample size: 1212.120000 36 Mean R: 52.747253 37 Std of mean R: 1.433972 38 Poll says chance of R win: 0.972307 39 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.433972 40 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.693421 41 Poll: {PollId:87008 SampleSize:472 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:11 Stein:1 Trump:45 West:2] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 42 Sample size: 410.640000 43 Mean R: 51.724138 44 Std of mean R: 2.465932 45 Poll says chance of R win: 0.757781 46 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.465932 47 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.605131 48 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3273 PollResults:map[Biden:46.64130999297345 Trump:53.358690007026546] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 49 Sample size: 3273.000000 50 Mean R: 53.358690 51 Std of mean R: 0.871997 52 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999941 53 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.871997 54 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.754710 55 56 State: Oklahoma 57 Votes: 7 58 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 59 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 60 61 State: South Dakota 62 Votes: 3 63 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 64 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 65 Poll: {PollId:87023 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Biden:31.4 Kennedy:11.2 Trump:50] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 66 Sample size: 407.000000 67 Mean R: 61.425061 68 Std of mean R: 2.412838 69 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 70 N republican wins: 6 71 => Reducing additional uncertainty 72 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.746172 73 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.998855 74 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:407 PollResults:map[Biden:38.57493857493858 Trump:61.42506142506142] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 75 Sample size: 407.000000 76 Mean R: 61.425061 77 Std of mean R: 2.412838 78 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 79 N republican wins: 6 80 => Reducing additional uncertainty 81 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.746172 82 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.998855 83 84 State: Vermont 85 Votes: 3 86 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 87 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 88 89 State: Wisconsin 90 Votes: 10 91 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] 92 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 93 Poll: {PollId:87099 SampleSize:338 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:12 Trump:35] Date:2024-05-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 94 Sample size: 253.500000 95 Mean R: 46.666667 96 Std of mean R: 3.133385 97 Poll says chance of R win: 0.143707 98 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.133385 99 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.320148 100 Poll: {PollId:86994 SampleSize:693 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Harris:41 Kennedy:6 Stein:1 Trump:49 West:1] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 101 Sample size: 658.350000 102 Mean R: 51.578947 103 Std of mean R: 1.947713 104 Poll says chance of R win: 0.791222 105 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.947713 106 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.604677 107 Poll: {PollId:87010 SampleSize:488 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 108 Sample size: 429.440000 109 Mean R: 50.000000 110 Std of mean R: 2.412786 111 Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 112 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.412786 113 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 114 Poll: {PollId:87021 SampleSize:503 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:9 Trump:45] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 115 Sample size: 452.700000 116 Mean R: 50.000000 117 Std of mean R: 2.349983 118 Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 119 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.349983 120 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 121 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1793 PollResults:map[Biden:49.89158245029236 Trump:50.10841754970763] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 122 Sample size: 1793.000000 123 Mean R: 50.108418 124 Std of mean R: 1.180807 125 Poll says chance of R win: 0.536578 126 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.180807 127 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.508348 128 129 State: Colorado 130 Votes: 10 131 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 132 Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 133 134 State: Georgia 135 Votes: 16 136 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] 137 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 138 Poll: {PollId:87005 SampleSize:470 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:11 Stein:1 Trump:42 West:5] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 139 Sample size: 390.100000 140 Mean R: 50.602410 141 Std of mean R: 2.531340 142 Poll says chance of R win: 0.594052 143 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.531340 144 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.536744 145 Poll: {PollId:87016 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:10 Trump:47] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 146 Sample size: 546.000000 147 Mean R: 51.648352 148 Std of mean R: 2.138639 149 Poll says chance of R win: 0.779572 150 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.138639 151 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.605851 152 Poll: {PollId:87109 SampleSize:1203 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:8 Oliver:3 Stein:2 Trump:43 West:3] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 153 Sample size: 962.400000 154 Mean R: 53.750000 155 Std of mean R: 1.607190 156 Poll says chance of R win: 0.990183 157 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.607190 158 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.748183 159 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1898 PollResults:map[Biden:47.50118514616803 Trump:52.49881485383197] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 160 Sample size: 1898.000000 161 Mean R: 52.498815 162 Std of mean R: 1.146249 163 Poll says chance of R win: 0.985371 164 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.146249 165 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.686361 166 167 State: Ohio 168 Votes: 17 169 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] 170 Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 171 Poll: {PollId:87145 SampleSize:1137 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:5 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:0] Date:2024-06-06 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 172 Sample size: 1011.930000 173 Mean R: 53.932584 174 Std of mean R: 1.566922 175 Poll says chance of R win: 0.993959 176 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.566922 177 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.760036 178 Poll: {PollId:87108 SampleSize:802 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:3 Trump:48 West:2] Date:2024-05-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 179 Sample size: 705.760000 180 Mean R: 54.545455 181 Std of mean R: 1.874301 182 Poll says chance of R win: 0.992349 183 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.874301 184 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.780471 185 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1717 PollResults:map[Biden:45.81560118531283 Trump:54.184398814687164] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 186 Sample size: 1717.000000 187 Mean R: 54.184399 188 Std of mean R: 1.202427 189 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999749 190 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.202427 191 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.789393 192 193 State: Pennsylvania 194 Votes: 19 195 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] 196 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 197 Poll: {PollId:87009 SampleSize:487 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:9 Stein:2 Trump:42 West:2] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 198 Sample size: 423.690000 199 Mean R: 48.275862 200 Std of mean R: 2.427658 201 Poll says chance of R win: 0.238788 202 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.427658 203 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.394258 204 Poll: {PollId:87020 SampleSize:730 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:7 Trump:48] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 205 Sample size: 678.900000 206 Mean R: 51.612903 207 Std of mean R: 1.917967 208 Poll says chance of R win: 0.799810 209 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.917967 210 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.607398 211 Poll: {PollId:87098 SampleSize:1008 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:7 Trump:42] Date:2024-05-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 212 Sample size: 856.800000 213 Mean R: 49.411765 214 Std of mean R: 1.708049 215 Poll says chance of R win: 0.365276 216 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.708049 217 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.458960 218 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1959 PollResults:map[Biden:50.07119562721051 Trump:49.92880437278949] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 219 Sample size: 1959.000000 220 Mean R: 49.928804 221 Std of mean R: 1.129672 222 Poll says chance of R win: 0.474874 223 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.129672 224 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.494463 225 226 State: Washington 227 Votes: 12 228 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 229 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 230 Poll: {PollId:86961 SampleSize:615 PollResults:map[Biden:55 Trump:39] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 231 Sample size: 578.100000 232 Mean R: 41.489362 233 Std of mean R: 2.049200 234 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000016 235 N republican wins: 0 236 => Reducing additional uncertainty 237 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.382533 238 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.005934 239 Poll: {PollId:87033 SampleSize:403 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Trump:34] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 240 Sample size: 306.280000 241 Mean R: 44.736842 242 Std of mean R: 2.841131 243 Poll says chance of R win: 0.031978 244 N republican wins: 0 245 => Reducing additional uncertainty 246 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.174464 247 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.103691 248 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:884 PollResults:map[Biden:57.385965309030055 Trump:42.614034690969945] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 249 Sample size: 884.000000 250 Mean R: 42.614035 251 Std of mean R: 1.663233 252 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000004 253 N republican wins: 0 254 => Reducing additional uncertainty 255 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.996566 256 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.006854 257 258 State: Alabama 259 Votes: 9 260 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 261 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 262 263 State: Kansas 264 Votes: 6 265 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 266 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 267 268 State: Kentucky 269 Votes: 8 270 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 271 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 272 273 State: Minnesota 274 Votes: 10 275 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 276 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 277 Poll: {PollId:87134 SampleSize:800 PollResults:map[Biden:44.5 Kennedy:6.4 Trump:40.6] Date:2024-06-05 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 278 Sample size: 680.800000 279 Mean R: 47.708578 280 Std of mean R: 1.914272 281 Poll says chance of R win: 0.115649 282 N republican wins: 0 283 => Reducing additional uncertainty 284 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.247606 285 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.240227 286 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:680 PollResults:map[Biden:52.29142185663925 Trump:47.708578143360754] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 287 Sample size: 680.000000 288 Mean R: 47.708578 289 Std of mean R: 1.915398 290 Poll says chance of R win: 0.115787 291 N republican wins: 0 292 => Reducing additional uncertainty 293 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.248731 294 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.240303 295 296 State: Missouri 297 Votes: 10 298 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 299 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 300 301 State: Tennessee 302 Votes: 11 303 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 304 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 305 306 State: Arizona 307 Votes: 11 308 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] 309 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 310 Poll: {PollId:87125 SampleSize:1095 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:8 Stein:1 Trump:46 West:1] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 311 Sample size: 952.650000 312 Mean R: 52.873563 313 Std of mean R: 1.617279 314 Poll says chance of R win: 0.962199 315 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.617279 316 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.695520 317 Poll: {PollId:87026 SampleSize:609 PollResults:map[Biden:39.3 Kennedy:7.2 Trump:42.8] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 318 Sample size: 499.989000 319 Mean R: 52.131547 320 Std of mean R: 2.234060 321 Poll says chance of R win: 0.829987 322 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.234060 323 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.633794 324 Poll: {PollId:86988 SampleSize:1003 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Kennedy:8 Stein:2 Trump:43 West:1] Date:2024-05-14 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 325 Sample size: 792.370000 326 Mean R: 54.430380 327 Std of mean R: 1.769271 328 Poll says chance of R win: 0.993861 329 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.769271 330 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.778735 331 Poll: {PollId:87015 SampleSize:527 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:10 Trump:45] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 332 Sample size: 469.030000 333 Mean R: 50.561798 334 Std of mean R: 2.308566 335 Poll says chance of R win: 0.596134 336 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.308566 337 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.535480 338 Poll: {PollId:87003 SampleSize:490 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:11 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 339 Sample size: 411.600000 340 Mean R: 52.380952 341 Std of mean R: 2.461724 342 Poll says chance of R win: 0.833275 343 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.461724 344 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.643739 345 Poll: {PollId:86964 SampleSize:1193 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Stein:5 Trump:44] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 346 Sample size: 1002.120000 347 Mean R: 52.380952 348 Std of mean R: 1.577674 349 Poll says chance of R win: 0.934370 350 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.577674 351 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.665264 352 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:4127 PollResults:map[Biden:47.34886411730917 Trump:52.651135882690824] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 353 Sample size: 4127.000000 354 Mean R: 52.651136 355 Std of mean R: 0.777215 356 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999676 357 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.777215 358 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.710537 359 360 State: Iowa 361 Votes: 6 362 History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] 363 Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 364 365 State: Maine 366 Votes: 4 367 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:Split 2020:Split] 368 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 369 370 State: Massachusetts 371 Votes: 11 372 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 373 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 374 Poll: {PollId:87105 SampleSize:700 PollResults:map[Biden:48 Kennedy:9 Trump:27] Date:2024-05-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 375 Sample size: 525.000000 376 Mean R: 36.000000 377 Std of mean R: 2.094892 378 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 379 N republican wins: 0 380 => Reducing additional uncertainty 381 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.428225 382 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000022 383 Poll: {PollId:87028 SampleSize:526 PollResults:map[Biden:68 Kennedy:10 Stein:2 Trump:32 West:1] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 384 Sample size: 526.000000 385 Mean R: 32.000000 386 Std of mean R: 2.033933 387 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 388 N republican wins: 0 389 => Reducing additional uncertainty 390 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.367266 391 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000000 392 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1051 PollResults:map[Biden:66.00190294957184 Trump:33.998097050428164] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 393 Sample size: 1051.000000 394 Mean R: 33.998097 395 Std of mean R: 1.461182 396 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 397 N republican wins: 0 398 => Reducing additional uncertainty 399 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.794515 400 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000000 401 402 State: Mississippi 403 Votes: 6 404 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 405 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 406 407 State: Montana 408 Votes: 4 409 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 410 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 411 412 State: Nebraska 413 Votes: 5 414 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:Split 2012:R 2016:Split 2020:Split] 415 Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 416 417 State: Texas 418 Votes: 40 419 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 420 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 421 422 State: District of Columbia 423 Votes: 3 424 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 425 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 426 427 State: Florida 428 Votes: 30 429 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] 430 Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 431 Poll: {PollId:87123 SampleSize:1075 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 432 Sample size: 935.250000 433 Mean R: 54.022989 434 Std of mean R: 1.629656 435 Poll says chance of R win: 0.993218 436 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.629656 437 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.762574 438 Poll: {PollId:87004 SampleSize:486 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:9 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 439 Sample size: 422.820000 440 Mean R: 55.172414 441 Std of mean R: 2.418555 442 Poll says chance of R win: 0.983768 443 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.418555 444 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.789836 445 Poll: {PollId:87147 SampleSize:1050 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Trump:46] Date:2024-06-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 446 Sample size: 861.000000 447 Mean R: 56.097561 448 Std of mean R: 1.691277 449 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999844 450 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.691277 451 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.858002 452 Poll: {PollId:86963 SampleSize:1181 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Stein:3 Trump:49] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 453 Sample size: 1003.850000 454 Mean R: 57.647059 455 Std of mean R: 1.559538 456 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 457 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.559538 458 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.915509 459 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3222 PollResults:map[Biden:44.143199334764745 Trump:55.85680066523525] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 460 Sample size: 3222.000000 461 Mean R: 55.856801 462 Std of mean R: 0.874797 463 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 464 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.874797 465 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.885211 466 467 State: Idaho 468 Votes: 4 469 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 470 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 471 472 State: Michigan 473 Votes: 15 474 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] 475 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 476 Poll: {PollId:87110 SampleSize:710 PollResults:map[Biden:45.1 Kennedy:3.3 Stein:0.5 Trump:46.3 West:1.1] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 477 Sample size: 648.940000 478 Mean R: 50.656455 479 Std of mean R: 1.962593 480 Poll says chance of R win: 0.630993 481 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.962593 482 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.543833 483 Poll: {PollId:87097 SampleSize:722 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:8 Trump:43] Date:2024-05-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 484 Sample size: 628.140000 485 Mean R: 49.425287 486 Std of mean R: 1.994863 487 Poll says chance of R win: 0.386637 488 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.994863 489 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.461813 490 Poll: {PollId:87006 SampleSize:482 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:10 Stein:2 Trump:42 West:2] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 491 Sample size: 414.520000 492 Mean R: 48.837209 493 Std of mean R: 2.455160 494 Poll says chance of R win: 0.317889 495 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.455160 496 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.428524 497 Poll: {PollId:87048 SampleSize:697 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:5 Stein:1 Trump:46 West:1] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 498 Sample size: 634.270000 499 Mean R: 50.549451 500 Std of mean R: 1.985211 501 Poll says chance of R win: 0.609022 502 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.985211 503 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.536572 504 Poll: {PollId:87017 SampleSize:606 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:7 Trump:47] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 505 Sample size: 557.520000 506 Mean R: 51.086957 507 Std of mean R: 2.117079 508 Poll says chance of R win: 0.696172 509 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.117079 510 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.570518 511 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2883 PollResults:map[Biden:49.81358747862759 Trump:50.186412521372404] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 512 Sample size: 2883.000000 513 Mean R: 50.186413 514 Std of mean R: 0.931204 515 Poll says chance of R win: 0.579332 516 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.931204 517 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.515077 518 519 State: Utah 520 Votes: 6 521 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 522 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 523 524 State: Virginia 525 Votes: 13 526 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 527 Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 528 Poll: {PollId:87122 SampleSize:1107 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:9 Stein:2 Trump:41 West:2] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 529 Sample size: 918.810000 530 Mean R: 49.397590 531 Std of mean R: 1.649399 532 Poll says chance of R win: 0.357470 533 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.649399 534 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.457540 535 Poll: {PollId:87053 SampleSize:711 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:8 Stein:3 Trump:38] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 536 Sample size: 554.580000 537 Mean R: 48.717949 538 Std of mean R: 2.122487 539 Poll says chance of R win: 0.272911 540 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.122487 541 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.417068 542 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1473 PollResults:map[Biden:50.85822490990166 Trump:49.14177509009835] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 543 Sample size: 1473.000000 544 Mean R: 49.141775 545 Std of mean R: 1.302581 546 Poll says chance of R win: 0.254991 547 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.302581 548 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.435712 549 550 State: Delaware 551 Votes: 3 552 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 553 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 554 555 State: California 556 Votes: 54 557 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 558 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 559 560 State: Hawaii 561 Votes: 4 562 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 563 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 564 565 State: Indiana 566 Votes: 11 567 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 568 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 569 570 State: New Jersey 571 Votes: 14 572 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 573 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 574 575 State: Oregon 576 Votes: 8 577 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 578 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 579 580 State: Alaska 581 Votes: 3 582 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 583 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 584 585 State: Louisiana 586 Votes: 8 587 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 588 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 589 590 State: Nevada 591 Votes: 6 592 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 593 Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 594 Poll: {PollId:87124 SampleSize:1069 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:45 West:2] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 595 Sample size: 908.650000 596 Mean R: 52.941176 597 Std of mean R: 1.655842 598 Poll says chance of R win: 0.962153 599 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.655842 600 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.698477 601 Poll: {PollId:87007 SampleSize:468 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:10 Stein:0 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 602 Sample size: 407.160000 603 Mean R: 50.574713 604 Std of mean R: 2.477757 605 Poll says chance of R win: 0.591711 606 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.477757 607 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.535348 608 Poll: {PollId:87018 SampleSize:402 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:10 Trump:49] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 609 Sample size: 357.780000 610 Mean R: 55.056180 611 Std of mean R: 2.629844 612 Poll says chance of R win: 0.972736 613 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.629844 614 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.777161 615 Poll: {PollId:87034 SampleSize:601 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:9 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-05-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 616 Sample size: 546.910000 617 Mean R: 51.648352 618 Std of mean R: 2.136859 619 Poll says chance of R win: 0.779762 620 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.136859 621 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.605881 622 Poll: {PollId:87049 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:34 Kennedy:15 Trump:37] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} 623 Sample size: 426.000000 624 Mean R: 52.112676 625 Std of mean R: 2.420344 626 Poll says chance of R win: 0.808636 627 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.420344 628 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.628945 629 Poll: {PollId:86991 SampleSize:459 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Harris:44 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 630 Sample size: 431.460000 631 Mean R: 50.000000 632 Std of mean R: 2.407131 633 Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 634 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.407131 635 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 636 Poll: {PollId:87027 SampleSize:522 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7.9 Trump:46.2] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 637 Sample size: 449.964000 638 Mean R: 53.596288 639 Std of mean R: 2.351012 640 Poll says chance of R win: 0.936952 641 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.351012 642 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.714390 643 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3527 PollResults:map[Biden:47.69405463382998 Trump:52.305945366170015] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 644 Sample size: 3527.000000 645 Mean R: 52.305945 646 Std of mean R: 0.841017 647 Poll says chance of R win: 0.996945 648 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.841017 649 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.683082 650 651 State: New Hampshire 652 Votes: 4 653 History: map[2000:R 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 654 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 655 Poll: {PollId:87030 SampleSize:1140 PollResults:map[Biden:52 Kennedy:3 Stein:2 Trump:48 West:1] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 656 Sample size: 1140.000000 657 Mean R: 48.000000 658 Std of mean R: 1.479687 659 Poll says chance of R win: 0.088246 660 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.479687 661 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.357562 662 Poll: {PollId:86980 SampleSize:862 PollResults:map[Biden:36.5 Kennedy:14.6 Trump:36.6] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 663 Sample size: 630.122000 664 Mean R: 50.068399 665 Std of mean R: 1.991853 666 Poll says chance of R win: 0.513697 667 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.991853 668 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.504554 669 Poll: {PollId:86997 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:11 Trump:36] Date:2024-05-14 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 670 Sample size: 468.000000 671 Mean R: 46.153846 672 Std of mean R: 2.304403 673 Poll says chance of R win: 0.047554 674 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.304403 675 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.270906 676 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2238 PollResults:map[Biden:51.80369970895241 Trump:48.19630029104758] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 677 Sample size: 2238.000000 678 Mean R: 48.196300 679 Std of mean R: 1.056227 680 Poll says chance of R win: 0.043848 681 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.056227 682 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.360648 683 684 State: New Mexico 685 Votes: 5 686 History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 687 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 688 689 State: North Dakota 690 Votes: 3 691 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 692 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 693 694 State: Rhode Island 695 Votes: 4 696 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 697 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 698 Poll: {PollId:87029 SampleSize:538 PollResults:map[Biden:60 Kennedy:6 Stein:0 Trump:40 West:1] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 699 Sample size: 538.000000 700 Mean R: 40.000000 701 Std of mean R: 2.112100 702 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000001 703 N republican wins: 0 704 => Reducing additional uncertainty 705 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.445433 706 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.001852 707 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:538 PollResults:map[Biden:60 Trump:40] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 708 Sample size: 538.000000 709 Mean R: 40.000000 710 Std of mean R: 2.112100 711 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000001 712 N republican wins: 0 713 => Reducing additional uncertainty 714 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.445433 715 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.001852 716 717 State: South Carolina 718 Votes: 9 719 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 720 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 721 722 State: Arkansas 723 Votes: 6 724 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 725 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 726 727 State: Wyoming 728 Votes: 3 729 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 730 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 731 732 State: Maryland 733 Votes: 10 734 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 735 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 736 737 State: New York 738 Votes: 28 739 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 740 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 741 Poll: {PollId:87069 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:55.2 Kennedy:5.7 Stein:0.7 Trump:44.8 West:1.5] Date:2024-05-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 742 Sample size: 1000.000000 743 Mean R: 44.800000 744 Std of mean R: 1.572565 745 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000472 746 N republican wins: 0 747 => Reducing additional uncertainty 748 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.905898 749 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.036770 750 Poll: {PollId:86996 SampleSize:1191 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Trump:38] Date:2024-05-15 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 751 Sample size: 1012.350000 752 Mean R: 44.705882 753 Std of mean R: 1.562631 754 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000352 755 N republican wins: 0 756 => Reducing additional uncertainty 757 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.895964 758 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.033767 759 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2012 PollResults:map[Biden:55.247347628394664 Trump:44.752652371605336] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 760 Sample size: 2012.000000 761 Mean R: 44.752652 762 Std of mean R: 1.108539 763 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000001 764 N republican wins: 0 765 => Reducing additional uncertainty 766 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.441873 767 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.015821 768 769 State: West Virginia 770 Votes: 4 771 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 772 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 773 Poll: {PollId:87120 SampleSize:464 PollResults:map[Biden:28 Stein:2 Trump:55] Date:2024-06-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 774 Sample size: 385.120000 775 Mean R: 66.265060 776 Std of mean R: 2.409263 777 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 778 N republican wins: 6 779 => Reducing additional uncertainty 780 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.742596 781 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.999993 782 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:385 PollResults:map[Biden:33.73493975903615 Trump:66.26506024096385] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 783 Sample size: 385.000000 784 Mean R: 66.265060 785 Std of mean R: 2.409639 786 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 787 N republican wins: 6 788 => Reducing additional uncertainty 789 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.742972 790 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.999993 791 792 State: Connecticut 793 Votes: 7 794 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 795 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 796 797 [ 131, 132): 0.00% (0%) 798 [ 132, 133): 0.00% (0%) 799 [ 133, 134): 0.00% (0%) 800 [ 134, 135): 0.00% (0%) 801 [ 135, 136): 0.00% (0%) 802 [ 136, 137): 0.00% (0%) 803 [ 137, 138): 0.00% (0%) 804 [ 138, 139): 0.00% (0%) 805 [ 139, 140): 0.00% (0%) 806 [ 140, 141): 0.00% (0%) 807 [ 141, 142): 0.00% (0%) 808 [ 142, 143): 0.00% (0%) 809 [ 143, 144): 0.00% (0%) 810 [ 144, 145): 0.00% (0%) 811 [ 145, 146): 0.00% (0%) 812 [ 146, 147): 0.00% (0%) 813 [ 147, 148): 0.00% (0%) 814 [ 148, 149): 0.00% (0%) 815 [ 149, 150): 0.00% (0%) 816 [ 150, 151): 0.00% (0%) 817 [ 151, 152): 0.00% (0%) 818 [ 152, 153): 0.00% (0%) 819 [ 153, 154): 0.00% (0%) 820 [ 154, 155): 0.00% (0%) 821 [ 155, 156): 0.00% (0%) 822 [ 156, 157): 0.00% (0%) 823 [ 157, 158): 0.00% (0%) 824 [ 158, 159): 0.00% (0%) 825 [ 159, 160): 0.00% (0%) 826 [ 160, 161): 0.00% (0%) 827 [ 161, 162): 0.00% (0%) 828 [ 162, 163): 0.00% (0%) 829 [ 163, 164): 0.00% (0%) 830 [ 164, 165): 0.00% (0%) 831 [ 165, 166): 0.00% (0%) 832 [ 166, 167): 0.00% (0%) 833 [ 167, 168): 0.00% (0%) 834 [ 168, 169): 0.00% (0%) 835 [ 169, 170): 0.00% (0%) 836 [ 170, 171): 0.00% (0%) 837 [ 171, 172): 0.00% (0%) 838 [ 172, 173): 0.00% (0%) 839 [ 173, 174): 0.00% (0%) 840 [ 174, 175): 0.00% (0%) 841 [ 175, 176): 0.00% (0%) 842 [ 176, 177): 0.00% (0%) 843 [ 177, 178): 0.00% (0%) 844 [ 178, 179): 0.00% (0%) 845 [ 179, 180): 0.00% (0%) 846 [ 180, 181): 0.00% (0%) 847 [ 181, 182): 0.00% (0%) 848 [ 182, 183): 0.01% (0%) 849 [ 183, 184): 0.01% (0%) 850 [ 184, 185): 0.00% (0%) 851 [ 185, 186): 0.00% (0%) 852 [ 186, 187): 0.01% (0%) 853 [ 187, 188): 0.01% (0%) 854 [ 188, 189): 0.01% (0%) 855 [ 189, 190): 0.01% (0%) 856 [ 190, 191): 0.00% (0%) 857 [ 191, 192): 0.01% (0%) 858 [ 192, 193): 0.02% (0%) 859 [ 193, 194): █ 0.02% (0%) 860 [ 194, 195): █ 0.02% (0%) 861 [ 195, 196): 0.01% (0%) 862 [ 196, 197): 0.01% (0%) 863 [ 197, 198): █ 0.02% (0%) 864 [ 198, 199): ██ 0.04% (0%) 865 [ 199, 200): ██ 0.04% (0%) 866 [ 200, 201): █ 0.03% (0%) 867 [ 201, 202): █ 0.03% (0%) 868 [ 202, 203): ██ 0.04% (0%) 869 [ 203, 204): ██ 0.05% (0%) 870 [ 204, 205): ███ 0.06% (0%) 871 [ 205, 206): ███ 0.06% (1%) 872 [ 206, 207): ██ 0.05% (1%) 873 [ 207, 208): ███ 0.06% (1%) 874 [ 208, 209): ████ 0.07% (1%) 875 [ 209, 210): █████ 0.09% (1%) 876 [ 210, 211): ████ 0.08% (1%) 877 [ 211, 212): ████ 0.08% (1%) 878 [ 212, 213): █████ 0.10% (1%) 879 [ 213, 214): ██████ 0.11% (1%) 880 [ 214, 215): ███████ 0.13% (1%) 881 [ 215, 216): ████████ 0.15% (1%) 882 [ 216, 217): ████████ 0.14% (2%) 883 [ 217, 218): ████████ 0.15% (2%) 884 [ 218, 219): █████████ 0.17% (2%) 885 [ 219, 220): ███████████ 0.19% (2%) 886 [ 220, 221): ██████████ 0.18% (2%) 887 [ 221, 222): ███████████ 0.20% (2%) 888 [ 222, 223): ████████████ 0.21% (3%) 889 [ 223, 224): ██████████████ 0.25% (3%) 890 [ 224, 225): ██████████████ 0.25% (3%) 891 [ 225, 226): ███████████████ 0.27% (3%) 892 [ 226, 227): ███████████████ 0.27% (4%) 893 [ 227, 228): ████████████████ 0.28% (4%) 894 [ 228, 229): █████████████████████ 0.37% (4%) 895 [ 229, 230): ███████████████████████ 0.40% (5%) 896 [ 230, 231): ████████████████████ 0.36% (5%) 897 [ 231, 232): ████████████████████ 0.35% (5%) 898 [ 232, 233): ████████████████████████ 0.42% (6%) 899 [ 233, 234): ██████████████████████████ 0.46% (6%) 900 [ 234, 235): ██████████████████████████████ 0.53% (7%) 901 [ 235, 236): ███████████████████████████████ 0.54% (7%) 902 [ 236, 237): ████████████████████████████ 0.50% (8%) 903 [ 237, 238): ███████████████████████████ 0.47% (8%) 904 [ 238, 239): ██████████████████████████████████ 0.60% (9%) 905 [ 239, 240): █████████████████████████████████████████ 0.72% (10%) 906 [ 240, 241): ███████████████████████████████████████ 0.68% (10%) 907 [ 241, 242): ███████████████████████████████████ 0.62% (11%) 908 [ 242, 243): ████████████████████████████████████ 0.63% (12%) 909 [ 243, 244): ████████████████████████████████████████ 0.70% (12%) 910 [ 244, 245): █████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.86% (13%) 911 [ 245, 246): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.99% (14%) 912 [ 246, 247): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.87% (15%) 913 [ 247, 248): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.77% (16%) 914 [ 248, 249): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.88% (17%) 915 [ 249, 250): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.03% (18%) 916 [ 250, 251): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.08% (19%) 917 [ 251, 252): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.08% (20%) 918 [ 252, 253): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.00% (21%) 919 [ 253, 254): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.97% (22%) 920 [ 254, 255): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.15% (23%) 921 [ 255, 256): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.35% (24%) 922 [ 256, 257): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.30% (26%) 923 [ 257, 258): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.15% (27%) 924 [ 258, 259): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.20% (28%) 925 [ 259, 260): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.30% (29%) 926 [ 260, 261): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.42% (31%) 927 [ 261, 262): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.53% (32%) 928 [ 262, 263): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.46% (34%) 929 [ 263, 264): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.34% (35%) 930 [ 264, 265): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.48% (36%) 931 [ 265, 266): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.59% (38%) 932 [ 266, 267): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.60% (40%) 933 [ 267, 268): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.48% (41%) 934 [ 268, 269): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.52% (43%) 935 [ 269, 270): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.58% (44%) 936 [ 270, 271): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.60% (46%) 937 [ 271, 272): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.68% (48%) 938 [ 272, 273): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.63% (49%) 939 [ 273, 274): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.53% (51%) 940 [ 274, 275): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.67% (52%) 941 [ 275, 276): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.73% (54%) 942 [ 276, 277): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.63% (56%) 943 [ 277, 278): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.57% (57%) 944 [ 278, 279): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.59% (59%) 945 [ 279, 280): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.65% (61%) 946 [ 280, 281): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.67% (62%) 947 [ 281, 282): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.64% (64%) 948 [ 282, 283): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.48% (65%) 949 [ 283, 284): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.46% (67%) 950 [ 284, 285): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.57% (68%) 951 [ 285, 286): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.64% (70%) 952 [ 286, 287): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.39% (71%) 953 [ 287, 288): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.37% (73%) 954 [ 288, 289): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.35% (74%) 955 [ 289, 290): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.37% (75%) 956 [ 290, 291): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.44% (77%) 957 [ 291, 292): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.39% (78%) 958 [ 292, 293): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.12% (79%) 959 [ 293, 294): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.15% (81%) 960 [ 294, 295): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.26% (82%) 961 [ 295, 296): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.22% (83%) 962 [ 296, 297): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.11% (84%) 963 [ 297, 298): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.02% (85%) 964 [ 298, 299): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.93% (86%) 965 [ 299, 300): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.95% (87%) 966 [ 300, 301): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.06% (88%) 967 [ 301, 302): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.88% (89%) 968 [ 302, 303): ██████████████████████████████████████████ 0.73% (90%) 969 [ 303, 304): ███████████████████████████████████████████ 0.76% (91%) 970 [ 304, 305): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.78% (91%) 971 [ 305, 306): █████████████████████████████████████████ 0.71% (92%) 972 [ 306, 307): █████████████████████████████████████████ 0.71% (93%) 973 [ 307, 308): █████████████████████████████████ 0.58% (93%) 974 [ 308, 309): ███████████████████████████████ 0.55% (94%) 975 [ 309, 310): █████████████████████████████████ 0.58% (94%) 976 [ 310, 311): ████████████████████████████████ 0.57% (95%) 977 [ 311, 312): ████████████████████████ 0.43% (95%) 978 [ 312, 313): ███████████████████████ 0.41% (96%) 979 [ 313, 314): ████████████████████████ 0.42% (96%) 980 [ 314, 315): ███████████████████████ 0.41% (97%) 981 [ 315, 316): ███████████████████ 0.33% (97%) 982 [ 316, 317): █████████████████ 0.30% (97%) 983 [ 317, 318): █████████████ 0.23% (98%) 984 [ 318, 319): ███████████████ 0.26% (98%) 985 [ 319, 320): ██████████████████ 0.32% (98%) 986 [ 320, 321): █████████████ 0.23% (98%) 987 [ 321, 322): ███████ 0.14% (98%) 988 [ 322, 323): ████████ 0.15% (99%) 989 [ 323, 324): ██████████ 0.19% (99%) 990 [ 324, 325): █████████ 0.17% (99%) 991 [ 325, 326): ████████ 0.15% (99%) 992 [ 326, 327): █████ 0.10% (99%) 993 [ 327, 328): ███ 0.07% (99%) 994 [ 328, 329): ████ 0.09% (99%) 995 [ 329, 330): ███████ 0.13% (100%) 996 [ 330, 331): ████ 0.07% (100%) 997 [ 331, 332): █ 0.03% (100%) 998 [ 332, 333): █ 0.03% (100%) 999 [ 333, 334): ███ 0.05% (100%) 1000 [ 334, 335): ███ 0.06% (100%) 1001 [ 335, 336): ██ 0.05% (100%) 1002 [ 336, 337): █ 0.02% (100%) 1003 [ 337, 338): 0.01% (100%) 1004 [ 338, 339): █ 0.02% (100%) 1005 [ 339, 340): █ 0.03% (100%) 1006 [ 340, 341): █ 0.02% (100%) 1007 [ 341, 342): 0.01% (100%) 1008 [ 342, 343): 0.01% (100%) 1009 [ 343, 344): 0.01% (100%) 1010 [ 344, 345): 0.01% (100%) 1011 [ 345, 346): 0.01% (100%) 1012 [ 346, 347): 0.00% (100%) 1013 [ 347, 348): 0.00% (100%) 1014 [ 348, 349): 0.00% (100%) 1015 [ 349, 350): 0.00% (100%) 1016 [ 350, 351): 0.00% (100%) 1017 [ 351, 352): 0.00% (100%) 1018 [ 352, 353): 0.00% (100%) 1019 [ 353, 354): 0.00% (100%) 1020 [ 354, 355): 0.00% (100%) 1021 [ 355, 356): 0.00% (100%) 1022 [ 356, 357): 0.00% (100%) 1023 [ 357, 358): 0.00% (100%) 1024 [ 358, 359): 0.00% (100%) 1025 [ 359, 360): 0.00% (100%) 1026 [ 360, 361): 0.00% (100%) 1027 [ 361, 362): 0.00% (100%) 1028 [ 362, 363): 0.00% (100%) 1029 [ 363, 364): 0.00% (100%) 1030 [ 364, 365): 0.00% (100%) 1031 [ 365, 366): 0.00% (100%) 1032 [ 366, 367): 0.00% (100%) 1033 [ 367, 368): 0.00% (100%) 1034 [ 368, 369): 0.00% (100%) 1035 [ 369, 370): 0.00% (100%) 1036 [ 370, 371): 0.00% (100%) 1037 [ 371, 372): 0.00% (100%) 1038 [ 372, 373): 0.00% (100%) 1039 [ 373, 374): 0.00% (100%) 1040 [ 374, 375): 0.00% (100%) 1041 [ 375, 376): 0.00% (100%) 1042 [ 376, 377): 0.00% (100%) 1043 [ 377, 378): 0.00% (100%) 1044 [ 378, 379): 0.00% (100%) 1045 [ 379, 380): 0.00% (100%) 1046 [ 380, 381): 0.00% (100%) 1047 [ 381, 382): 0.00% (100%) 1048 [ 382, 383): 0.00% (100%) 1049 [ 383, 384): 0.00% (100%) 1050 [ 384, 385): 0.00% (100%) 1051 [ 385, 386): 0.00% (100%) 1052 [ 386, 387): 0.00% (100%) 1053 [ 387, 388): 0.00% (100%) 1054 [ 388, 389): 0.00% (100%) 1055 [ 389, 390): 0.00% (100%) 1056 [ 390, 391): 0.00% (100%) 1057 [ 391, 392): 0.00% (100%) 1058 [ 392, 393): 0.00% (100%) 1059 [ 393, 394): 0.00% (100%) 1060 [ 394, 395): 0.00% (100%) 1061 [ 395, 396): 0.00% (100%) 1062 [ 396, 397): 0.00% (100%) 1063 [ 397, 398): 0.00% (100%) 1064 [ 398, 399): 0.00% (100%) 1065 [ 399, 400): 0.00% (100%) 1066 [ 400, 401): 0.00% (100%) 1067 [ 401, 402): 0.00% (100%) 1068 [ 402, 403): 0.00% (100%) 1069 [ 403, 404): 0.00% (100%) 1070 [ 404, 405): 0.00% (100%) 1071 [ 405, 406): 0.00% (100%) 1072 [ 406, 407): 0.00% (100%) 1073 [ 407, 408): 0.00% (100%) 1074 [ 408, 409): 0.00% (100%) 1075 [ 409, 410): 0.00% (100%) 1076 [ 410, 411): 0.00% (100%) 1077 [ 411, 412): 0.00% (100%) 1078 [ 412, 413): 0.00% (100%) 1079 [ 413, 414): 0.00% (100%) 1080 [ 414, 415): 0.00% (100%) 1081 [ 415, 416): 0.00% (100%) 1082 [ 416, 417): 0.00% (100%) 1083 [ 417, 418): 0.00% (100%) 1084 [ 418, 419): 0.00% (100%) 1085 [ 419, 420): 0.00% (100%) 1086 [ 420, 421): 0.00% (100%) 1087 [ 421, 422): 0.00% (100%) 1088 [ 422, 423): 0.00% (100%) 1089 [ 423, 424): 0.00% (100%) 1090 [ 424, 425): 0.00% (100%) 1091 [ 425, 426): 0.00% (100%) 1092 [ 426, 427): 0.00% (100%) 1093 [ 427, 428): 0.00% (100%) 1094 [ 428, 429): 0.00% (100%) 1095 [ 429, 430): 0.00% (100%) 1096 [ 430, 431): 0.00% (100%) 1097 [ 431, 432): 0.00% (100%) 1098 [ 432, 433): 0.00% (100%) 1099 [ 433, 434): 0.00% (100%) 1100 [ 434, 435): 0.00% (100%) 1101 [ 435, 436): 0.00% (100%) 1102 [ 436, 437): 0.00% (100%) 1103 [ 437, 438): 0.00% (100%) 1104 [ 438, 439): 0.00% (100%) 1105 [ 439, 440): 0.00% (100%) 1106 [ 440, 441): 0.00% (100%) 1107 [ 441, 442): 0.00% (100%) 1108 [ 442, 443): 0.00% (100%) 1109 [ 443, 444): 0.00% (100%) 1110 [ 444, 445): 0.00% (100%) 1111 [ 445, 446): 0.00% (100%) 1112 [ 446, 447): 0.00% (100%) 1113 [ 447, 448): 0.00% (100%) 1114 [ 448, 449): 0.00% (100%) 1115 [ 449, 450): 0.00% (100%) 1116 [ 450, 451): 0.00% (100%) 1117 [ 451, 452): 0.00% (100%) 1118 [ 452, 453): 0.00% (100%) 1119 [ 453, 454): 0.00% (100%) 1120 [ 454, 455): 0.00% (100%) 1121 [ 455, 456): 0.00% (100%) 1122 [ 456, 457): 0.00% (100%) 1123 [ 457, 458): 0.00% (100%) 1124 [ 458, 459): 0.00% (100%) 1125 [ 459, 460): 0.00% (100%) 1126 [ 460, 461): 0.00% (100%) 1127 [ 461, 462): 0.00% (100%) 1128 [ 462, 463): 0.00% (100%) 1129 [ 463, 464): 0.00% (100%) 1130 [ 464, 465): 0.00% (100%) 1131 [ 465, 466): 0.00% (100%) 1132 [ 466, 467): 0.00% (100%) 1133 [ 467, 468): 0.00% (100%) 1134 [ 468, 469): 0.00% (100%) 1135 [ 469, 470): 0.00% (100%) 1136 [ 470, 471): 0.00% (100%) 1137 [ 471, 472): 0.00% (100%) 1138 [ 472, 473): 0.00% (100%) 1139 [ 473, 474): 0.00% (100%) 1140 [ 474, 475): 0.00% (100%) 1141 [ 475, 476): 0.00% (100%) 1142 [ 476, 477): 0.00% (100%) 1143 [ 477, 478): 0.00% (100%) 1144 [ 478, 479): 0.00% (100%) 1145 [ 479, 480): 0.00% (100%) 1146 [ 480, 481): 0.00% (100%) 1147 [ 481, 482): 0.00% (100%) 1148 [ 482, 483): 0.00% (100%) 1149 [ 483, 484): 0.00% (100%) 1150 [ 484, 485): 0.00% (100%) 1151 [ 485, 486): 0.00% (100%) 1152 [ 486, 487): 0.00% (100%) 1153 [ 487, 488): 0.00% (100%) 1154 [ 488, 489): 0.00% (100%) 1155 [ 489, 490): 0.00% (100%) 1156 [ 490, 491): 0.00% (100%) 1157 [ 491, 492): 0.00% (100%) 1158 [ 492, 493): 0.00% (100%) 1159 [ 493, 494): 0.00% (100%) 1160 [ 494, 495): 0.00% (100%) 1161 [ 495, 496): 0.00% (100%) 1162 [ 496, 497): 0.00% (100%) 1163 [ 497, 498): 0.00% (100%) 1164 [ 498, 499): 0.00% (100%) 1165 [ 499, 500): 0.00% (100%) 1166 [ 500, 501): 0.00% (100%) 1167 [ 501, 502): 0.00% (100%) 1168 [ 502, 503): 0.00% (100%) 1169 [ 503, 504): 0.00% (100%) 1170 [ 504, 505): 0.00% (100%) 1171 [ 505, 506): 0.00% (100%) 1172 [ 506, 507): 0.00% (100%) 1173 [ 507, 508): 0.00% (100%) 1174 [ 508, 509): 0.00% (100%) 1175 [ 509, 510): 0.00% (100%) 1176 [ 510, 511): 0.00% (100%) 1177 [ 511, 512): 0.00% (100%) 1178 [ 512, 513): 0.00% (100%) 1179 [ 513, 514): 0.00% (100%) 1180 [ 514, 515): 0.00% (100%) 1181 [ 515, 516): 0.00% (100%) 1182 [ 516, 517): 0.00% (100%) 1183 [ 517, 518): 0.00% (100%) 1184 [ 518, 519): 0.00% (100%) 1185 [ 519, 520): 0.00% (100%) 1186 [ 520, 521): 0.00% (100%) 1187 [ 521, 522): 0.00% (100%) 1188 [ 522, 523): 0.00% (100%) 1189 [ 523, 524): 0.00% (100%) 1190 [ 524, 525): 0.00% (100%) 1191 [ 525, 526): 0.00% (100%) 1192 [ 526, 527): 0.00% (100%) 1193 [ 527, 528): 0.00% (100%) 1194 [ 528, 529): 0.00% (100%) 1195 [ 529, 530): 0.00% (100%) 1196 [ 530, 531): 0.00% (100%) 1197 [ 531, 532): 0.00% (100%) 1198 [ 532, 533): 0.00% (100%) 1199 [ 533, 534): 0.00% (100%) 1200 [ 534, 535): 0.00% (100%) 1201 [ 535, 536): 0.00% (100%) 1202 [ 536, 537): 0.00% (100%) 1203 [ 537, 538): 0.00% (100%) 1204 1205 % republicans: 0.557435