output-2024-06-23.txt (61588B)
1 2 3 State: Wisconsin 4 Votes: 10 5 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] 6 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 7 Poll: {PollId:87099 SampleSize:338 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:12 Trump:35] Date:2024-05-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 8 Sample size: 253.500000 9 Mean R: 46.666667 10 Std of mean R: 3.133385 11 Poll says chance of R win: 0.143707 12 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.133385 13 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.320148 14 Poll: {PollId:87212 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:6.1 Stein:0.8 Trump:43.8 West:0.4] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 15 Sample size: 858.000000 16 Mean R: 51.048951 17 Std of mean R: 1.706596 18 Poll says chance of R win: 0.730605 19 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.706596 20 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.572920 21 Poll: {PollId:87165 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:5 Stein:0 Trump:44 West:0] Date:2024-06-10 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 22 Sample size: 440.000000 23 Mean R: 50.000000 24 Std of mean R: 2.383656 25 Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 26 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.383656 27 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 28 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1551 PollResults:map[Biden:49.96455043506284 Trump:50.03544956493716] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 29 Sample size: 1551.000000 30 Mean R: 50.035450 31 Std of mean R: 1.269591 32 Poll says chance of R win: 0.511138 33 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.269591 34 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.502684 35 36 State: Wyoming 37 Votes: 3 38 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 39 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 40 41 State: Kentucky 42 Votes: 8 43 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 44 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 45 46 State: Maine 47 Votes: 4 48 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:Split 2020:Split] 49 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 50 51 State: New Jersey 52 Votes: 14 53 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 54 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 55 56 State: New York 57 Votes: 28 58 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 59 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 60 Poll: {PollId:87205 SampleSize:805 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Trump:39] Date:2024-06-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 61 Sample size: 692.300000 62 Mean R: 45.348837 63 Std of mean R: 1.892063 64 Poll says chance of R win: 0.006981 65 N republican wins: 0 66 => Reducing additional uncertainty 67 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.225396 68 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.074645 69 Poll: {PollId:87069 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:55.2 Kennedy:5.7 Stein:0.7 Trump:44.8 West:1.5] Date:2024-05-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 70 Sample size: 1000.000000 71 Mean R: 44.800000 72 Std of mean R: 1.572565 73 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000472 74 N republican wins: 0 75 => Reducing additional uncertainty 76 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.905898 77 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.036770 78 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1692 PollResults:map[Biden:54.975477161259825 Trump:45.02452283874018] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 79 Sample size: 1692.000000 80 Mean R: 45.024523 81 Std of mean R: 1.209508 82 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000019 83 N republican wins: 0 84 => Reducing additional uncertainty 85 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.542842 86 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.025194 87 88 State: Vermont 89 Votes: 3 90 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 91 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 92 93 State: Utah 94 Votes: 6 95 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 96 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 97 Poll: {PollId:87132 SampleSize:857 PollResults:map[Biden:20 Kennedy:20 Trump:49] Date:2024-06-07 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 98 Sample size: 591.330000 99 Mean R: 71.014493 100 Std of mean R: 1.865731 101 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 102 N republican wins: 6 103 => Reducing additional uncertainty 104 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.199064 105 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 1.000000 106 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:591 PollResults:map[Biden:28.98550724637681 Trump:71.01449275362319] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 107 Sample size: 591.000000 108 Mean R: 71.014493 109 Std of mean R: 1.866252 110 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 111 N republican wins: 6 112 => Reducing additional uncertainty 113 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.199585 114 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 1.000000 115 116 State: Alaska 117 Votes: 3 118 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 119 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 120 121 State: Colorado 122 Votes: 10 123 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 124 Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 125 126 State: Delaware 127 Votes: 3 128 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 129 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 130 131 State: Florida 132 Votes: 30 133 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] 134 Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 135 Poll: {PollId:87147 SampleSize:1050 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Trump:46] Date:2024-06-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 136 Sample size: 861.000000 137 Mean R: 56.097561 138 Std of mean R: 1.691277 139 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999844 140 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.691277 141 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.858002 142 Poll: {PollId:87153 SampleSize:883 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:8 Trump:45] Date:2024-06-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 143 Sample size: 750.550000 144 Mean R: 52.941176 145 Std of mean R: 1.821912 146 Poll says chance of R win: 0.946773 147 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.821912 148 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.693288 149 Poll: {PollId:87123 SampleSize:1075 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 150 Sample size: 935.250000 151 Mean R: 54.022989 152 Std of mean R: 1.629656 153 Poll says chance of R win: 0.993218 154 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.629656 155 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.762574 156 Poll: {PollId:87177 SampleSize:432 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:7 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:43] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 157 Sample size: 345.600000 158 Mean R: 53.750000 159 Std of mean R: 2.681997 160 Poll says chance of R win: 0.918975 161 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.681997 162 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.712673 163 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2892 PollResults:map[Biden:45.6727976766699 Trump:54.32720232333011] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 164 Sample size: 2892.000000 165 Mean R: 54.327202 166 Std of mean R: 0.926272 167 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 168 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.926272 169 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.810135 170 171 State: North Carolina 172 Votes: 16 173 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 174 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 175 Poll: {PollId:87196 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:8 Trump:45] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 176 Sample size: 492.000000 177 Mean R: 54.878049 178 Std of mean R: 2.243421 179 Poll says chance of R win: 0.985162 180 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.243421 181 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.782690 182 Poll: {PollId:87180 SampleSize:534 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:43] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 183 Sample size: 443.220000 184 Mean R: 51.807229 185 Std of mean R: 2.373430 186 Poll says chance of R win: 0.776803 187 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.373430 188 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.611625 189 Poll: {PollId:87119 SampleSize:1332 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Trump:48] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 190 Sample size: 1212.120000 191 Mean R: 52.747253 192 Std of mean R: 1.433972 193 Poll says chance of R win: 0.972307 194 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.433972 195 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.693421 196 Poll: {PollId:87088 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:32 Kennedy:9 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-06-02 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 197 Sample size: 456.000000 198 Mean R: 57.894737 199 Std of mean R: 2.312093 200 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999681 201 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.312093 202 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.894484 203 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2603 PollResults:map[Biden:46.10846066975501 Trump:53.89153933024499] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 204 Sample size: 2603.000000 205 Mean R: 53.891539 206 Std of mean R: 0.977043 207 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999966 208 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.977043 209 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.782863 210 211 State: Washington 212 Votes: 12 213 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 214 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 215 216 State: Arizona 217 Votes: 11 218 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] 219 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 220 Poll: {PollId:87219 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:32 Kennedy:13 Oliver:2 Stein:3 Trump:42] Date:2024-06-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 221 Sample size: 444.000000 222 Mean R: 56.756757 223 Std of mean R: 2.351129 224 Poll says chance of R win: 0.997972 225 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.351129 226 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.856306 227 Poll: {PollId:87207 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:39.3 Kennedy:7.7 Stein:1.2 Trump:42.7 West:0.7] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 228 Sample size: 820.000000 229 Mean R: 52.073171 230 Std of mean R: 1.744574 231 Poll says chance of R win: 0.882653 232 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.744574 233 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.640910 234 Poll: {PollId:87176 SampleSize:430 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:6 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:40] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 235 Sample size: 335.400000 236 Mean R: 51.282051 237 Std of mean R: 2.729265 238 Poll says chance of R win: 0.680730 239 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.729265 240 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.575549 241 Poll: {PollId:87125 SampleSize:1095 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:8 Stein:1 Trump:46 West:1] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 242 Sample size: 952.650000 243 Mean R: 52.873563 244 Std of mean R: 1.617279 245 Poll says chance of R win: 0.962199 246 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.617279 247 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.695520 248 Poll: {PollId:87160 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:11 Oliver:0 Stein:3 Trump:50] Date:2024-06-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 249 Sample size: 564.000000 250 Mean R: 53.191489 251 Std of mean R: 2.101087 252 Poll says chance of R win: 0.935615 253 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.101087 254 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.699548 255 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3116 PollResults:map[Biden:46.89751448147494 Trump:53.10248551852505] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 256 Sample size: 3116.000000 257 Mean R: 53.102486 258 Std of mean R: 0.893992 259 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999740 260 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.893992 261 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.736939 262 263 State: Connecticut 264 Votes: 7 265 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 266 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 267 268 State: District of Columbia 269 Votes: 3 270 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 271 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 272 273 State: Nevada 274 Votes: 6 275 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 276 Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 277 Poll: {PollId:87208 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:39.1 Kennedy:7.2 Stein:1.6 Trump:42.1 West:1.7] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 278 Sample size: 812.000000 279 Mean R: 51.847291 280 Std of mean R: 1.753458 281 Poll says chance of R win: 0.853947 282 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.753458 283 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.625923 284 Poll: {PollId:87124 SampleSize:1069 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:45 West:2] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 285 Sample size: 908.650000 286 Mean R: 52.941176 287 Std of mean R: 1.655842 288 Poll says chance of R win: 0.962153 289 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.655842 290 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.698477 291 Poll: {PollId:87034 SampleSize:601 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:9 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-05-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 292 Sample size: 546.910000 293 Mean R: 51.648352 294 Std of mean R: 2.136859 295 Poll says chance of R win: 0.779762 296 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.136859 297 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.605881 298 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2267 PollResults:map[Biden:47.76235248460901 Trump:52.237647515391] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 299 Sample size: 2267.000000 300 Mean R: 52.237648 301 Std of mean R: 1.049081 302 Poll says chance of R win: 0.983536 303 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.049081 304 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.671182 305 306 State: New Mexico 307 Votes: 5 308 History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 309 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 310 Poll: {PollId:87195 SampleSize:555 PollResults:map[Biden:48 Trump:41] Date:2024-06-14 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 311 Sample size: 493.950000 312 Mean R: 46.067416 313 Std of mean R: 2.242751 314 Poll says chance of R win: 0.039761 315 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.242751 316 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.264366 317 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:493 PollResults:map[Biden:53.93258426966292 Trump:46.06741573033708] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 318 Sample size: 493.000000 319 Mean R: 46.067416 320 Std of mean R: 2.244911 321 Poll says chance of R win: 0.039906 322 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.244911 323 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.264437 324 325 State: Virginia 326 Votes: 13 327 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 328 Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 329 Poll: {PollId:87122 SampleSize:1107 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:9 Stein:2 Trump:41 West:2] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 330 Sample size: 918.810000 331 Mean R: 49.397590 332 Std of mean R: 1.649399 333 Poll says chance of R win: 0.357470 334 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.649399 335 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.457540 336 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:918 PollResults:map[Biden:50.60240963855422 Trump:49.39759036144578] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 337 Sample size: 918.000000 338 Mean R: 49.397590 339 Std of mean R: 1.650126 340 Poll says chance of R win: 0.357530 341 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.650126 342 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.457546 343 344 State: Illinois 345 Votes: 19 346 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 347 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 348 349 State: Indiana 350 Votes: 11 351 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 352 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 353 354 State: Missouri 355 Votes: 10 356 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 357 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 358 Poll: {PollId:87216 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:34.6 Kennedy:6.5 Stein:0.6 Trump:50.4 West:1] Date:2024-06-19 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 359 Sample size: 850.000000 360 Mean R: 59.294118 361 Std of mean R: 1.685097 362 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 363 N republican wins: 6 364 => Reducing additional uncertainty 365 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.018430 366 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.998962 367 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:850 PollResults:map[Biden:40.70588235294119 Trump:59.294117647058826] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 368 Sample size: 850.000000 369 Mean R: 59.294118 370 Std of mean R: 1.685097 371 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 372 N republican wins: 6 373 => Reducing additional uncertainty 374 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.018430 375 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.998962 376 377 State: Nebraska 378 Votes: 5 379 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:Split 2012:R 2016:Split 2020:Split] 380 Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 381 382 State: Tennessee 383 Votes: 11 384 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 385 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 386 387 State: Arkansas 388 Votes: 6 389 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 390 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 391 392 State: Kansas 393 Votes: 6 394 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 395 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 396 397 State: Ohio 398 Votes: 17 399 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] 400 Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 401 Poll: {PollId:87145 SampleSize:1137 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:5 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:0] Date:2024-06-06 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 402 Sample size: 1011.930000 403 Mean R: 53.932584 404 Std of mean R: 1.566922 405 Poll says chance of R win: 0.993959 406 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.566922 407 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.760036 408 Poll: {PollId:87108 SampleSize:802 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:3 Trump:48 West:2] Date:2024-05-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 409 Sample size: 705.760000 410 Mean R: 54.545455 411 Std of mean R: 1.874301 412 Poll says chance of R win: 0.992349 413 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.874301 414 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.780471 415 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1717 PollResults:map[Biden:45.81560118531283 Trump:54.184398814687164] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 416 Sample size: 1717.000000 417 Mean R: 54.184399 418 Std of mean R: 1.202427 419 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999749 420 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.202427 421 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.789393 422 423 State: Pennsylvania 424 Votes: 19 425 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] 426 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 427 Poll: {PollId:87152 SampleSize:1181 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:1] Date:2024-06-06 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 428 Sample size: 1086.520000 429 Mean R: 51.086957 430 Std of mean R: 1.516521 431 Poll says chance of R win: 0.763234 432 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.516521 433 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.578101 434 Poll: {PollId:87181 SampleSize:456 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:5 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:44] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 435 Sample size: 392.160000 436 Mean R: 51.162791 437 Std of mean R: 2.524183 438 Poll says chance of R win: 0.677479 439 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.524183 440 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.570728 441 Poll: {PollId:87211 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:42.2 Kennedy:4.9 Stein:0.9 Trump:44.8 West:0.2] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 442 Sample size: 870.000000 443 Mean R: 51.494253 444 Std of mean R: 1.694402 445 Poll says chance of R win: 0.811078 446 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.694402 447 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.603496 448 Poll: {PollId:87098 SampleSize:1008 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:7 Trump:42] Date:2024-05-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 449 Sample size: 856.800000 450 Mean R: 49.411765 451 Std of mean R: 1.708049 452 Poll says chance of R win: 0.365276 453 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.708049 454 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.458960 455 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3205 PollResults:map[Biden:49.24098730923294 Trump:50.75901269076706] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 456 Sample size: 3205.000000 457 Mean R: 50.759013 458 Std of mean R: 0.883092 459 Poll says chance of R win: 0.804966 460 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.883092 461 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.561762 462 463 State: West Virginia 464 Votes: 4 465 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 466 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 467 Poll: {PollId:87120 SampleSize:464 PollResults:map[Biden:28 Stein:2 Trump:55] Date:2024-06-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 468 Sample size: 385.120000 469 Mean R: 66.265060 470 Std of mean R: 2.409263 471 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 472 N republican wins: 6 473 => Reducing additional uncertainty 474 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.742596 475 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.999993 476 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:385 PollResults:map[Biden:33.73493975903615 Trump:66.26506024096385] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 477 Sample size: 385.000000 478 Mean R: 66.265060 479 Std of mean R: 2.409639 480 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 481 N republican wins: 6 482 => Reducing additional uncertainty 483 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.742972 484 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.999993 485 486 State: South Carolina 487 Votes: 9 488 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 489 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 490 491 State: California 492 Votes: 54 493 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 494 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 495 Poll: {PollId:87167 SampleSize:1098 PollResults:map[Biden:55 Trump:31] Date:2024-06-02 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 496 Sample size: 944.280000 497 Mean R: 36.046512 498 Std of mean R: 1.562476 499 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 500 N republican wins: 0 501 => Reducing additional uncertainty 502 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.895809 503 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000001 504 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:944 PollResults:map[Biden:63.95348837209303 Trump:36.04651162790697] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 505 Sample size: 944.000000 506 Mean R: 36.046512 507 Std of mean R: 1.562708 508 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 509 N republican wins: 0 510 => Reducing additional uncertainty 511 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.896041 512 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000001 513 514 State: Georgia 515 Votes: 16 516 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] 517 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 518 Poll: {PollId:87178 SampleSize:471 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:6 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 519 Sample size: 390.930000 520 Mean R: 53.012048 521 Std of mean R: 2.524242 522 Poll says chance of R win: 0.883614 523 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.524242 524 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.677841 525 Poll: {PollId:87213 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:37.4 Kennedy:5.9 Stein:0.9 Trump:44.9 West:1.4] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 526 Sample size: 823.000000 527 Mean R: 54.556501 528 Std of mean R: 1.735638 529 Poll says chance of R win: 0.995671 530 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.735638 531 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.786524 532 Poll: {PollId:87109 SampleSize:1203 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:8 Oliver:3 Stein:2 Trump:43 West:3] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 533 Sample size: 962.400000 534 Mean R: 53.750000 535 Std of mean R: 1.607190 536 Poll says chance of R win: 0.990183 537 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.607190 538 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.748183 539 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2176 PollResults:map[Biden:46.077570956610444 Trump:53.92242904338956] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 540 Sample size: 2176.000000 541 Mean R: 53.922429 542 Std of mean R: 1.068563 543 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999879 544 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.068563 545 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.780497 546 547 State: Hawaii 548 Votes: 4 549 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 550 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 551 552 State: Oregon 553 Votes: 8 554 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 555 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 556 557 State: Rhode Island 558 Votes: 4 559 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 560 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 561 562 State: Michigan 563 Votes: 15 564 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] 565 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 566 Poll: {PollId:87209 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:41.9 Kennedy:5.2 Stein:0.8 Trump:44 West:1.2] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 567 Sample size: 859.000000 568 Mean R: 51.222352 569 Std of mean R: 1.705468 570 Poll says chance of R win: 0.763228 571 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.705468 572 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.584821 573 Poll: {PollId:87179 SampleSize:594 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Kennedy:8 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:37] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 574 Sample size: 433.620000 575 Mean R: 50.684932 576 Std of mean R: 2.400903 577 Poll says chance of R win: 0.612285 578 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.400903 579 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.542608 580 Poll: {PollId:87097 SampleSize:722 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:8 Trump:43] Date:2024-05-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 581 Sample size: 628.140000 582 Mean R: 49.425287 583 Std of mean R: 1.994863 584 Poll says chance of R win: 0.386637 585 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.994863 586 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.461813 587 Poll: {PollId:87110 SampleSize:710 PollResults:map[Biden:45.1 Kennedy:3.3 Stein:0.5 Trump:46.3 West:1.1] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 588 Sample size: 648.940000 589 Mean R: 50.656455 590 Std of mean R: 1.962593 591 Poll says chance of R win: 0.630993 592 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.962593 593 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.543833 594 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2569 PollResults:map[Biden:49.4505195158968 Trump:50.549480484103206] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 595 Sample size: 2569.000000 596 Mean R: 50.549480 597 Std of mean R: 0.986420 598 Poll says chance of R win: 0.711252 599 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.986420 600 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.543873 601 602 State: Mississippi 603 Votes: 6 604 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 605 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 606 607 State: New Hampshire 608 Votes: 4 609 History: map[2000:R 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 610 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 611 612 State: Alabama 613 Votes: 9 614 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 615 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 616 617 State: Idaho 618 Votes: 4 619 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 620 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 621 622 State: Iowa 623 Votes: 6 624 History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] 625 Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 626 Poll: {PollId:87175 SampleSize:632 PollResults:map[Biden:32 Kennedy:9 Oliver:2 Trump:50] Date:2024-06-14 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 627 Sample size: 518.240000 628 Mean R: 60.975610 629 Std of mean R: 2.142795 630 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 631 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.142795 632 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.963011 633 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:518 PollResults:map[Biden:39.02439024390244 Trump:60.97560975609756] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 634 Sample size: 518.000000 635 Mean R: 60.975610 636 Std of mean R: 2.143292 637 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 638 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.143292 639 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.962999 640 641 State: Maryland 642 Votes: 10 643 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 644 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 645 646 State: Massachusetts 647 Votes: 11 648 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 649 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 650 Poll: {PollId:87105 SampleSize:700 PollResults:map[Biden:48 Kennedy:9 Trump:27] Date:2024-05-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 651 Sample size: 525.000000 652 Mean R: 36.000000 653 Std of mean R: 2.094892 654 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 655 N republican wins: 0 656 => Reducing additional uncertainty 657 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.428225 658 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000022 659 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:525 PollResults:map[Biden:64 Trump:36] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 660 Sample size: 525.000000 661 Mean R: 36.000000 662 Std of mean R: 2.094892 663 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 664 N republican wins: 0 665 => Reducing additional uncertainty 666 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.428225 667 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000022 668 669 State: North Dakota 670 Votes: 3 671 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 672 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 673 674 State: Oklahoma 675 Votes: 7 676 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 677 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 678 679 State: Texas 680 Votes: 40 681 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 682 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 683 Poll: {PollId:87203 SampleSize:1200 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:8 Oliver:0 Stein:2 Trump:46 West:2] Date:2024-06-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 684 Sample size: 1020.000000 685 Mean R: 54.117647 686 Std of mean R: 1.560243 687 Poll says chance of R win: 0.995844 688 N republican wins: 6 689 => Reducing additional uncertainty 690 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.893576 691 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.922636 692 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1020 PollResults:map[Biden:45.88235294117647 Trump:54.11764705882353] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 693 Sample size: 1020.000000 694 Mean R: 54.117647 695 Std of mean R: 1.560243 696 Poll says chance of R win: 0.995844 697 N republican wins: 6 698 => Reducing additional uncertainty 699 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.893576 700 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.922636 701 702 State: Louisiana 703 Votes: 8 704 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 705 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 706 707 State: Minnesota 708 Votes: 10 709 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 710 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 711 Poll: {PollId:87134 SampleSize:800 PollResults:map[Biden:44.5 Kennedy:6.4 Trump:40.6] Date:2024-06-05 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 712 Sample size: 680.800000 713 Mean R: 47.708578 714 Std of mean R: 1.914272 715 Poll says chance of R win: 0.115649 716 N republican wins: 0 717 => Reducing additional uncertainty 718 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.247606 719 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.240227 720 Poll: {PollId:87173 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:7 Oliver:1 Stein:5 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} 721 Sample size: 552.000000 722 Mean R: 51.086957 723 Std of mean R: 2.127638 724 Poll says chance of R win: 0.695281 725 N republican wins: 0 726 => Reducing additional uncertainty 727 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.460972 728 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.623263 729 Poll: {PollId:87198 SampleSize:626 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Trump:41] Date:2024-06-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 730 Sample size: 550.880000 731 Mean R: 46.590909 732 Std of mean R: 2.125346 733 Poll says chance of R win: 0.054355 734 N republican wins: 0 735 => Reducing additional uncertainty 736 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.458680 737 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.162149 738 Poll: {PollId:87210 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:40.9 Kennedy:6.3 Stein:1.1 Trump:41.6 West:0.7] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 739 Sample size: 825.000000 740 Mean R: 50.424242 741 Std of mean R: 1.740714 742 Poll says chance of R win: 0.596275 743 N republican wins: 0 744 => Reducing additional uncertainty 745 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.074047 746 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.554883 747 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2608 PollResults:map[Biden:50.95373905576766 Trump:49.04626094423233] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 748 Sample size: 2608.000000 749 Mean R: 49.046261 750 Std of mean R: 0.978897 751 Poll says chance of R win: 0.164954 752 N republican wins: 0 753 => Reducing additional uncertainty 754 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.312231 755 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.339995 756 757 State: Montana 758 Votes: 4 759 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 760 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 761 Poll: {PollId:87214 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Trump:57] Date:2024-06-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} 762 Sample size: 470.000000 763 Mean R: 60.638298 764 Std of mean R: 2.253520 765 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 766 N republican wins: 6 767 => Reducing additional uncertainty 768 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.586854 769 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.998491 770 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:470 PollResults:map[Biden:39.361702127659576 Trump:60.638297872340424] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 771 Sample size: 470.000000 772 Mean R: 60.638298 773 Std of mean R: 2.253520 774 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 775 N republican wins: 6 776 => Reducing additional uncertainty 777 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.586854 778 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.998491 779 780 State: South Dakota 781 Votes: 3 782 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 783 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 784 785 [ 131, 132): 0.00% (0%) 786 [ 132, 133): 0.00% (0%) 787 [ 133, 134): 0.00% (0%) 788 [ 134, 135): 0.00% (0%) 789 [ 135, 136): 0.00% (0%) 790 [ 136, 137): 0.00% (0%) 791 [ 137, 138): 0.00% (0%) 792 [ 138, 139): 0.00% (0%) 793 [ 139, 140): 0.00% (0%) 794 [ 140, 141): 0.00% (0%) 795 [ 141, 142): 0.00% (0%) 796 [ 142, 143): 0.00% (0%) 797 [ 143, 144): 0.00% (0%) 798 [ 144, 145): 0.00% (0%) 799 [ 145, 146): 0.00% (0%) 800 [ 146, 147): 0.00% (0%) 801 [ 147, 148): 0.00% (0%) 802 [ 148, 149): 0.00% (0%) 803 [ 149, 150): 0.00% (0%) 804 [ 150, 151): 0.00% (0%) 805 [ 151, 152): 0.00% (0%) 806 [ 152, 153): 0.00% (0%) 807 [ 153, 154): 0.00% (0%) 808 [ 154, 155): 0.00% (0%) 809 [ 155, 156): 0.00% (0%) 810 [ 156, 157): 0.00% (0%) 811 [ 157, 158): 0.00% (0%) 812 [ 158, 159): 0.00% (0%) 813 [ 159, 160): 0.00% (0%) 814 [ 160, 161): 0.00% (0%) 815 [ 161, 162): 0.00% (0%) 816 [ 162, 163): 0.00% (0%) 817 [ 163, 164): 0.00% (0%) 818 [ 164, 165): 0.00% (0%) 819 [ 165, 166): 0.00% (0%) 820 [ 166, 167): 0.00% (0%) 821 [ 167, 168): 0.00% (0%) 822 [ 168, 169): 0.00% (0%) 823 [ 169, 170): 0.00% (0%) 824 [ 170, 171): 0.00% (0%) 825 [ 171, 172): 0.00% (0%) 826 [ 172, 173): 0.00% (0%) 827 [ 173, 174): 0.00% (0%) 828 [ 174, 175): 0.01% (0%) 829 [ 175, 176): 0.01% (0%) 830 [ 176, 177): 0.01% (0%) 831 [ 177, 178): 0.01% (0%) 832 [ 178, 179): 0.01% (0%) 833 [ 179, 180): 0.01% (0%) 834 [ 180, 181): 0.01% (0%) 835 [ 181, 182): 0.01% (0%) 836 [ 182, 183): 0.01% (0%) 837 [ 183, 184): 0.01% (0%) 838 [ 184, 185): 0.01% (0%) 839 [ 185, 186): 0.01% (0%) 840 [ 186, 187): 0.01% (0%) 841 [ 187, 188): █ 0.02% (0%) 842 [ 188, 189): █ 0.02% (0%) 843 [ 189, 190): █ 0.02% (0%) 844 [ 190, 191): █ 0.02% (0%) 845 [ 191, 192): █ 0.02% (0%) 846 [ 192, 193): █ 0.03% (0%) 847 [ 193, 194): █ 0.03% (0%) 848 [ 194, 195): ██ 0.04% (0%) 849 [ 195, 196): ██ 0.03% (0%) 850 [ 196, 197): █ 0.03% (0%) 851 [ 197, 198): ██ 0.04% (0%) 852 [ 198, 199): ██ 0.05% (1%) 853 [ 199, 200): ███ 0.06% (1%) 854 [ 200, 201): ███ 0.05% (1%) 855 [ 201, 202): ██ 0.04% (1%) 856 [ 202, 203): ███ 0.05% (1%) 857 [ 203, 204): ███ 0.06% (1%) 858 [ 204, 205): █████ 0.08% (1%) 859 [ 205, 206): █████ 0.09% (1%) 860 [ 206, 207): ████ 0.08% (1%) 861 [ 207, 208): ████ 0.07% (1%) 862 [ 208, 209): █████ 0.09% (1%) 863 [ 209, 210): ██████ 0.11% (1%) 864 [ 210, 211): ███████ 0.12% (1%) 865 [ 211, 212): ███████ 0.12% (2%) 866 [ 212, 213): ██████ 0.11% (2%) 867 [ 213, 214): ███████ 0.12% (2%) 868 [ 214, 215): ████████ 0.15% (2%) 869 [ 215, 216): ███████████ 0.18% (2%) 870 [ 216, 217): ██████████ 0.17% (2%) 871 [ 217, 218): █████████ 0.15% (2%) 872 [ 218, 219): ██████████ 0.18% (3%) 873 [ 219, 220): ███████████ 0.19% (3%) 874 [ 220, 221): ██████████████ 0.23% (3%) 875 [ 221, 222): ███████████████ 0.26% (3%) 876 [ 222, 223): ██████████████ 0.24% (4%) 877 [ 223, 224): ███████████████ 0.25% (4%) 878 [ 224, 225): ████████████████ 0.27% (4%) 879 [ 225, 226): █████████████████ 0.28% (4%) 880 [ 226, 227): ██████████████████ 0.30% (5%) 881 [ 227, 228): █████████████████ 0.30% (5%) 882 [ 228, 229): ████████████████████ 0.33% (5%) 883 [ 229, 230): ██████████████████████ 0.36% (6%) 884 [ 230, 231): ██████████████████████ 0.37% (6%) 885 [ 231, 232): █████████████████████████ 0.41% (6%) 886 [ 232, 233): █████████████████████████ 0.41% (7%) 887 [ 233, 234): ████████████████████████ 0.41% (7%) 888 [ 234, 235): ██████████████████████████████ 0.50% (8%) 889 [ 235, 236): ████████████████████████████████ 0.53% (8%) 890 [ 236, 237): █████████████████████████████ 0.49% (9%) 891 [ 237, 238): ██████████████████████████████ 0.50% (9%) 892 [ 238, 239): █████████████████████████████████ 0.55% (10%) 893 [ 239, 240): █████████████████████████████████████ 0.61% (10%) 894 [ 240, 241): ███████████████████████████████████████ 0.65% (11%) 895 [ 241, 242): █████████████████████████████████████ 0.62% (12%) 896 [ 242, 243): ████████████████████████████████████ 0.60% (12%) 897 [ 243, 244): ████████████████████████████████████ 0.59% (13%) 898 [ 244, 245): █████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.74% (14%) 899 [ 245, 246): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.86% (14%) 900 [ 246, 247): ███████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.79% (15%) 901 [ 247, 248): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.72% (16%) 902 [ 248, 249): █████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.74% (17%) 903 [ 249, 250): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.85% (18%) 904 [ 250, 251): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.00% (19%) 905 [ 251, 252): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.05% (20%) 906 [ 252, 253): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (21%) 907 [ 253, 254): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.87% (21%) 908 [ 254, 255): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.97% (22%) 909 [ 255, 256): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.15% (24%) 910 [ 256, 257): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.14% (25%) 911 [ 257, 258): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.07% (26%) 912 [ 258, 259): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.98% (27%) 913 [ 259, 260): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.05% (28%) 914 [ 260, 261): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.23% (29%) 915 [ 261, 262): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.39% (30%) 916 [ 262, 263): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.29% (32%) 917 [ 263, 264): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.14% (33%) 918 [ 264, 265): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.26% (34%) 919 [ 265, 266): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.38% (36%) 920 [ 266, 267): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.44% (37%) 921 [ 267, 268): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.40% (38%) 922 [ 268, 269): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.34% (40%) 923 [ 269, 270): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.35% (41%) 924 [ 270, 271): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.47% (43%) 925 [ 271, 272): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.54% (44%) 926 [ 272, 273): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.47% (46%) 927 [ 273, 274): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.33% (47%) 928 [ 274, 275): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.44% (48%) 929 [ 275, 276): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.54% (50%) 930 [ 276, 277): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.57% (51%) 931 [ 277, 278): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.55% (53%) 932 [ 278, 279): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.49% (54%) 933 [ 279, 280): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.50% (56%) 934 [ 280, 281): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.64% (58%) 935 [ 281, 282): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.62% (59%) 936 [ 282, 283): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.47% (61%) 937 [ 283, 284): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.40% (62%) 938 [ 284, 285): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.46% (64%) 939 [ 285, 286): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.58% (65%) 940 [ 286, 287): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.49% (67%) 941 [ 287, 288): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.43% (68%) 942 [ 288, 289): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.30% (69%) 943 [ 289, 290): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.33% (71%) 944 [ 290, 291): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.50% (72%) 945 [ 291, 292): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.49% (74%) 946 [ 292, 293): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.22% (75%) 947 [ 293, 294): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.23% (76%) 948 [ 294, 295): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.25% (77%) 949 [ 295, 296): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.35% (79%) 950 [ 296, 297): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.33% (80%) 951 [ 297, 298): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.14% (81%) 952 [ 298, 299): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.97% (82%) 953 [ 299, 300): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.00% (83%) 954 [ 300, 301): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.19% (84%) 955 [ 301, 302): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.08% (85%) 956 [ 302, 303): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.89% (86%) 957 [ 303, 304): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.85% (87%) 958 [ 304, 305): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.85% (88%) 959 [ 305, 306): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.87% (89%) 960 [ 306, 307): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.93% (90%) 961 [ 307, 308): ███████████████████████████████████████████ 0.71% (91%) 962 [ 308, 309): ██████████████████████████████████████ 0.63% (91%) 963 [ 309, 310): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.73% (92%) 964 [ 310, 311): █████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.75% (93%) 965 [ 311, 312): ████████████████████████████████████ 0.60% (93%) 966 [ 312, 313): ██████████████████████████████████ 0.56% (94%) 967 [ 313, 314): █████████████████████████████ 0.49% (94%) 968 [ 314, 315): ███████████████████████████████ 0.52% (95%) 969 [ 315, 316): ███████████████████████████████ 0.52% (95%) 970 [ 316, 317): ███████████████████████████ 0.46% (96%) 971 [ 317, 318): ███████████████████ 0.32% (96%) 972 [ 318, 319): ████████████████████ 0.34% (96%) 973 [ 319, 320): ██████████████████████████ 0.44% (97%) 974 [ 320, 321): ██████████████████████ 0.37% (97%) 975 [ 321, 322): ██████████████ 0.23% (98%) 976 [ 322, 323): █████████████ 0.22% (98%) 977 [ 323, 324): ████████████ 0.21% (98%) 978 [ 324, 325): ████████████████ 0.27% (98%) 979 [ 325, 326): ██████████████████ 0.30% (99%) 980 [ 326, 327): ██████████ 0.17% (99%) 981 [ 327, 328): █████ 0.09% (99%) 982 [ 328, 329): ███████ 0.12% (99%) 983 [ 329, 330): ███████████ 0.18% (99%) 984 [ 330, 331): ████████ 0.14% (99%) 985 [ 331, 332): ███ 0.07% (99%) 986 [ 332, 333): ██ 0.05% (99%) 987 [ 333, 334): ███ 0.06% (99%) 988 [ 334, 335): ██████ 0.10% (100%) 989 [ 335, 336): ██████ 0.11% (100%) 990 [ 336, 337): ███ 0.05% (100%) 991 [ 337, 338): █ 0.03% (100%) 992 [ 338, 339): ██ 0.03% (100%) 993 [ 339, 340): ███ 0.05% (100%) 994 [ 340, 341): ██ 0.04% (100%) 995 [ 341, 342): █ 0.02% (100%) 996 [ 342, 343): 0.01% (100%) 997 [ 343, 344): 0.01% (100%) 998 [ 344, 345): █ 0.02% (100%) 999 [ 345, 346): █ 0.02% (100%) 1000 [ 346, 347): 0.01% (100%) 1001 [ 347, 348): 0.01% (100%) 1002 [ 348, 349): 0.01% (100%) 1003 [ 349, 350): 0.01% (100%) 1004 [ 350, 351): 0.01% (100%) 1005 [ 351, 352): 0.01% (100%) 1006 [ 352, 353): 0.01% (100%) 1007 [ 353, 354): 0.01% (100%) 1008 [ 354, 355): 0.00% (100%) 1009 [ 355, 356): 0.00% (100%) 1010 [ 356, 357): 0.00% (100%) 1011 [ 357, 358): 0.00% (100%) 1012 [ 358, 359): 0.00% (100%) 1013 [ 359, 360): 0.00% (100%) 1014 [ 360, 361): 0.00% (100%) 1015 [ 361, 362): 0.00% (100%) 1016 [ 362, 363): 0.00% (100%) 1017 [ 363, 364): 0.00% (100%) 1018 [ 364, 365): 0.00% (100%) 1019 [ 365, 366): 0.00% (100%) 1020 [ 366, 367): 0.00% (100%) 1021 [ 367, 368): 0.00% (100%) 1022 [ 368, 369): 0.00% (100%) 1023 [ 369, 370): 0.00% (100%) 1024 [ 370, 371): 0.00% (100%) 1025 [ 371, 372): 0.00% (100%) 1026 [ 372, 373): 0.00% (100%) 1027 [ 373, 374): 0.00% (100%) 1028 [ 374, 375): 0.00% (100%) 1029 [ 375, 376): 0.00% (100%) 1030 [ 376, 377): 0.00% (100%) 1031 [ 377, 378): 0.00% (100%) 1032 [ 378, 379): 0.00% (100%) 1033 [ 379, 380): 0.00% (100%) 1034 [ 380, 381): 0.00% (100%) 1035 [ 381, 382): 0.00% (100%) 1036 [ 382, 383): 0.00% (100%) 1037 [ 383, 384): 0.00% (100%) 1038 [ 384, 385): 0.00% (100%) 1039 [ 385, 386): 0.00% (100%) 1040 [ 386, 387): 0.00% (100%) 1041 [ 387, 388): 0.00% (100%) 1042 [ 388, 389): 0.00% (100%) 1043 [ 389, 390): 0.00% (100%) 1044 [ 390, 391): 0.00% (100%) 1045 [ 391, 392): 0.00% (100%) 1046 [ 392, 393): 0.00% (100%) 1047 [ 393, 394): 0.00% (100%) 1048 [ 394, 395): 0.00% (100%) 1049 [ 395, 396): 0.00% (100%) 1050 [ 396, 397): 0.00% (100%) 1051 [ 397, 398): 0.00% (100%) 1052 [ 398, 399): 0.00% (100%) 1053 [ 399, 400): 0.00% (100%) 1054 [ 400, 401): 0.00% (100%) 1055 [ 401, 402): 0.00% (100%) 1056 [ 402, 403): 0.00% (100%) 1057 [ 403, 404): 0.00% (100%) 1058 [ 404, 405): 0.00% (100%) 1059 [ 405, 406): 0.00% (100%) 1060 [ 406, 407): 0.00% (100%) 1061 [ 407, 408): 0.00% (100%) 1062 [ 408, 409): 0.00% (100%) 1063 [ 409, 410): 0.00% (100%) 1064 [ 410, 411): 0.00% (100%) 1065 [ 411, 412): 0.00% (100%) 1066 [ 412, 413): 0.00% (100%) 1067 [ 413, 414): 0.00% (100%) 1068 [ 414, 415): 0.00% (100%) 1069 [ 415, 416): 0.00% (100%) 1070 [ 416, 417): 0.00% (100%) 1071 [ 417, 418): 0.00% (100%) 1072 [ 418, 419): 0.00% (100%) 1073 [ 419, 420): 0.00% (100%) 1074 [ 420, 421): 0.00% (100%) 1075 [ 421, 422): 0.00% (100%) 1076 [ 422, 423): 0.00% (100%) 1077 [ 423, 424): 0.00% (100%) 1078 [ 424, 425): 0.00% (100%) 1079 [ 425, 426): 0.00% (100%) 1080 [ 426, 427): 0.00% (100%) 1081 [ 427, 428): 0.00% (100%) 1082 [ 428, 429): 0.00% (100%) 1083 [ 429, 430): 0.00% (100%) 1084 [ 430, 431): 0.00% (100%) 1085 [ 431, 432): 0.00% (100%) 1086 [ 432, 433): 0.00% (100%) 1087 [ 433, 434): 0.00% (100%) 1088 [ 434, 435): 0.00% (100%) 1089 [ 435, 436): 0.00% (100%) 1090 [ 436, 437): 0.00% (100%) 1091 [ 437, 438): 0.00% (100%) 1092 [ 438, 439): 0.00% (100%) 1093 [ 439, 440): 0.00% (100%) 1094 [ 440, 441): 0.00% (100%) 1095 [ 441, 442): 0.00% (100%) 1096 [ 442, 443): 0.00% (100%) 1097 [ 443, 444): 0.00% (100%) 1098 [ 444, 445): 0.00% (100%) 1099 [ 445, 446): 0.00% (100%) 1100 [ 446, 447): 0.00% (100%) 1101 [ 447, 448): 0.00% (100%) 1102 [ 448, 449): 0.00% (100%) 1103 [ 449, 450): 0.00% (100%) 1104 [ 450, 451): 0.00% (100%) 1105 [ 451, 452): 0.00% (100%) 1106 [ 452, 453): 0.00% (100%) 1107 [ 453, 454): 0.00% (100%) 1108 [ 454, 455): 0.00% (100%) 1109 [ 455, 456): 0.00% (100%) 1110 [ 456, 457): 0.00% (100%) 1111 [ 457, 458): 0.00% (100%) 1112 [ 458, 459): 0.00% (100%) 1113 [ 459, 460): 0.00% (100%) 1114 [ 460, 461): 0.00% (100%) 1115 [ 461, 462): 0.00% (100%) 1116 [ 462, 463): 0.00% (100%) 1117 [ 463, 464): 0.00% (100%) 1118 [ 464, 465): 0.00% (100%) 1119 [ 465, 466): 0.00% (100%) 1120 [ 466, 467): 0.00% (100%) 1121 [ 467, 468): 0.00% (100%) 1122 [ 468, 469): 0.00% (100%) 1123 [ 469, 470): 0.00% (100%) 1124 [ 470, 471): 0.00% (100%) 1125 [ 471, 472): 0.00% (100%) 1126 [ 472, 473): 0.00% (100%) 1127 [ 473, 474): 0.00% (100%) 1128 [ 474, 475): 0.00% (100%) 1129 [ 475, 476): 0.00% (100%) 1130 [ 476, 477): 0.00% (100%) 1131 [ 477, 478): 0.00% (100%) 1132 [ 478, 479): 0.00% (100%) 1133 [ 479, 480): 0.00% (100%) 1134 [ 480, 481): 0.00% (100%) 1135 [ 481, 482): 0.00% (100%) 1136 [ 482, 483): 0.00% (100%) 1137 [ 483, 484): 0.00% (100%) 1138 [ 484, 485): 0.00% (100%) 1139 [ 485, 486): 0.00% (100%) 1140 [ 486, 487): 0.00% (100%) 1141 [ 487, 488): 0.00% (100%) 1142 [ 488, 489): 0.00% (100%) 1143 [ 489, 490): 0.00% (100%) 1144 [ 490, 491): 0.00% (100%) 1145 [ 491, 492): 0.00% (100%) 1146 [ 492, 493): 0.00% (100%) 1147 [ 493, 494): 0.00% (100%) 1148 [ 494, 495): 0.00% (100%) 1149 [ 495, 496): 0.00% (100%) 1150 [ 496, 497): 0.00% (100%) 1151 [ 497, 498): 0.00% (100%) 1152 [ 498, 499): 0.00% (100%) 1153 [ 499, 500): 0.00% (100%) 1154 [ 500, 501): 0.00% (100%) 1155 [ 501, 502): 0.00% (100%) 1156 [ 502, 503): 0.00% (100%) 1157 [ 503, 504): 0.00% (100%) 1158 [ 504, 505): 0.00% (100%) 1159 [ 505, 506): 0.00% (100%) 1160 [ 506, 507): 0.00% (100%) 1161 [ 507, 508): 0.00% (100%) 1162 [ 508, 509): 0.00% (100%) 1163 [ 509, 510): 0.00% (100%) 1164 [ 510, 511): 0.00% (100%) 1165 [ 511, 512): 0.00% (100%) 1166 [ 512, 513): 0.00% (100%) 1167 [ 513, 514): 0.00% (100%) 1168 [ 514, 515): 0.00% (100%) 1169 [ 515, 516): 0.00% (100%) 1170 [ 516, 517): 0.00% (100%) 1171 [ 517, 518): 0.00% (100%) 1172 [ 518, 519): 0.00% (100%) 1173 [ 519, 520): 0.00% (100%) 1174 [ 520, 521): 0.00% (100%) 1175 [ 521, 522): 0.00% (100%) 1176 [ 522, 523): 0.00% (100%) 1177 [ 523, 524): 0.00% (100%) 1178 [ 524, 525): 0.00% (100%) 1179 [ 525, 526): 0.00% (100%) 1180 [ 526, 527): 0.00% (100%) 1181 [ 527, 528): 0.00% (100%) 1182 [ 528, 529): 0.00% (100%) 1183 [ 529, 530): 0.00% (100%) 1184 [ 530, 531): 0.00% (100%) 1185 [ 531, 532): 0.00% (100%) 1186 [ 532, 533): 0.00% (100%) 1187 [ 533, 534): 0.00% (100%) 1188 [ 534, 535): 0.00% (100%) 1189 [ 535, 536): 0.00% (100%) 1190 [ 536, 537): 0.00% (100%) 1191 [ 537, 538): 0.00% (100%) 1192 1193 % republicans: 0.589444