output-2024-06-02.txt (61687B)
1 2 3 State: Massachusetts 4 Votes: 11 5 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 6 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 7 Poll: {PollId:87028 SampleSize:526 PollResults:map[Biden:68 Kennedy:10 Stein:2 Trump:32 West:1] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 8 Sample size: 526.000000 9 Mean R: 32.000000 10 Std of mean R: 2.033933 11 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 12 N republican wins: 0 13 => Reducing additional uncertainty 14 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.700599 15 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000001 16 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:526 PollResults:map[Biden:68 Trump:32] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 17 Sample size: 526.000000 18 Mean R: 32.000000 19 Std of mean R: 2.033933 20 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 21 N republican wins: 0 22 => Reducing additional uncertainty 23 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.700599 24 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000001 25 26 State: Mississippi 27 Votes: 6 28 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 29 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 30 31 State: Texas 32 Votes: 40 33 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 34 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 35 36 State: Vermont 37 Votes: 3 38 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 39 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 40 41 State: Kansas 42 Votes: 6 43 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 44 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 45 46 State: Kentucky 47 Votes: 8 48 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 49 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 50 51 State: Michigan 52 Votes: 15 53 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] 54 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 55 Poll: {PollId:87048 SampleSize:697 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:5 Stein:1 Trump:46 West:1] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 56 Sample size: 634.270000 57 Mean R: 50.549451 58 Std of mean R: 1.985211 59 Poll says chance of R win: 0.609022 60 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.985211 61 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.531348 62 Poll: {PollId:87017 SampleSize:606 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:7 Trump:47] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 63 Sample size: 557.520000 64 Mean R: 51.086957 65 Std of mean R: 2.117079 66 Poll says chance of R win: 0.696172 67 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.117079 68 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.560692 69 Poll: {PollId:86899 SampleSize:616 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Kennedy:7 Mapstead:1 Stein:1 Trump:46 West:0] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 70 Sample size: 572.880000 71 Mean R: 49.462366 72 Std of mean R: 2.088878 73 Poll says chance of R win: 0.398443 74 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.088878 75 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.469772 76 Poll: {PollId:86906 SampleSize:522 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:43] Date:2024-05-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 77 Sample size: 417.600000 78 Mean R: 53.750000 79 Std of mean R: 2.439860 80 Poll says chance of R win: 0.937850 81 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.439860 82 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.692884 83 Poll: {PollId:87006 SampleSize:482 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:10 Stein:2 Trump:42 West:2] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 84 Sample size: 414.520000 85 Mean R: 48.837209 86 Std of mean R: 2.455160 87 Poll says chance of R win: 0.317889 88 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.455160 89 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.438028 90 Poll: {PollId:86990 SampleSize:704 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Harris:44 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:47 West:1] Date:2024-05-12 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 91 Sample size: 654.720000 92 Mean R: 50.537634 93 Std of mean R: 1.953966 94 Poll says chance of R win: 0.608400 95 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.953966 96 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.530813 97 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3251 PollResults:map[Biden:49.35952834221638 Trump:50.64047165778362] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 98 Sample size: 3251.000000 99 Mean R: 50.640472 100 Std of mean R: 0.876851 101 Poll says chance of R win: 0.767434 102 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.876851 103 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.543392 104 105 State: New Hampshire 106 Votes: 4 107 History: map[2000:R 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 108 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 109 Poll: {PollId:87030 SampleSize:1140 PollResults:map[Biden:52 Kennedy:3 Stein:2 Trump:48 West:1] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 110 Sample size: 1140.000000 111 Mean R: 48.000000 112 Std of mean R: 1.479687 113 Poll says chance of R win: 0.088246 114 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.479687 115 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.378791 116 Poll: {PollId:86997 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:11 Trump:36] Date:2024-05-14 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 117 Sample size: 468.000000 118 Mean R: 46.153846 119 Std of mean R: 2.304403 120 Poll says chance of R win: 0.047554 121 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.304403 122 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.299252 123 Poll: {PollId:86980 SampleSize:862 PollResults:map[Biden:36.5 Kennedy:14.6 Trump:36.6] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 124 Sample size: 630.122000 125 Mean R: 50.068399 126 Std of mean R: 1.991853 127 Poll says chance of R win: 0.513697 128 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.991853 129 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.503903 130 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2238 PollResults:map[Biden:51.80369970895241 Trump:48.19630029104758] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 131 Sample size: 2238.000000 132 Mean R: 48.196300 133 Std of mean R: 1.056227 134 Poll says chance of R win: 0.043848 135 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.056227 136 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.382918 137 138 State: North Carolina 139 Votes: 16 140 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 141 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 142 Poll: {PollId:86986 SampleSize:835 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:11 Trump:41] Date:2024-05-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 143 Sample size: 659.650000 144 Mean R: 51.898734 145 Std of mean R: 1.945359 146 Poll says chance of R win: 0.835476 147 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.945359 148 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.607720 149 Poll: {PollId:87019 SampleSize:601 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:8 Trump:48] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 150 Sample size: 534.890000 151 Mean R: 53.932584 152 Std of mean R: 2.155214 153 Poll says chance of R win: 0.965976 154 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.155214 155 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.708707 156 Poll: {PollId:86992 SampleSize:704 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Harris:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:50 West:1] Date:2024-05-12 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 157 Sample size: 647.680000 158 Mean R: 54.347826 159 Std of mean R: 1.957229 160 Poll says chance of R win: 0.986839 161 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.957229 162 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.733994 163 Poll: {PollId:87008 SampleSize:472 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:11 Stein:1 Trump:45 West:2] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 164 Sample size: 410.640000 165 Mean R: 51.724138 166 Std of mean R: 2.465932 167 Poll says chance of R win: 0.757781 168 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.465932 169 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.591317 170 Poll: {PollId:87012 SampleSize:1002 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Trump:44] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 171 Sample size: 861.720000 172 Mean R: 51.162791 173 Std of mean R: 1.702823 174 Poll says chance of R win: 0.752653 175 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.702823 176 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.568862 177 Poll: {PollId:86883 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:38.1 Kennedy:8.8 Trump:42.6] Date:2024-05-05 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 178 Sample size: 484.200000 179 Mean R: 52.788104 180 Std of mean R: 2.268722 181 Poll says chance of R win: 0.890451 182 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.268722 183 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.649353 184 Poll: {PollId:86907 SampleSize:553 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:7 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-05-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 185 Sample size: 447.930000 186 Mean R: 54.320988 187 Std of mean R: 2.353624 188 Poll says chance of R win: 0.966813 189 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.353624 190 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.721600 191 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:4046 PollResults:map[Biden:47.24035080349221 Trump:52.75964919650779] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 192 Sample size: 4046.000000 193 Mean R: 52.759649 194 Std of mean R: 0.784864 195 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999781 196 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.784864 197 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.683335 198 199 State: North Dakota 200 Votes: 3 201 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 202 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 203 204 State: Wisconsin 205 Votes: 10 206 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] 207 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 208 Poll: {PollId:86902 SampleSize:614 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Kennedy:8 Mapstead:0 Stein:0 Trump:47 West:0] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 209 Sample size: 571.020000 210 Mean R: 50.537634 211 Std of mean R: 2.092277 212 Poll says chance of R win: 0.601396 213 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.092277 214 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.530213 215 Poll: {PollId:87010 SampleSize:488 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 216 Sample size: 429.440000 217 Mean R: 50.000000 218 Std of mean R: 2.412786 219 Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 220 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.412786 221 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 222 Poll: {PollId:86879 SampleSize:1457 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:12 Stein:4 Trump:39 West:1] Date:2024-05-06 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 223 Sample size: 1151.030000 224 Mean R: 49.367089 225 Std of mean R: 1.473642 226 Poll says chance of R win: 0.333784 227 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.473642 228 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.461058 229 Poll: {PollId:86994 SampleSize:693 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Harris:41 Kennedy:6 Stein:1 Trump:49 West:1] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 230 Sample size: 658.350000 231 Mean R: 51.578947 232 Std of mean R: 1.947713 233 Poll says chance of R win: 0.791222 234 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.947713 235 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.589890 236 Poll: {PollId:87021 SampleSize:503 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:9 Trump:45] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 237 Sample size: 452.700000 238 Mean R: 50.000000 239 Std of mean R: 2.349983 240 Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 241 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.349983 242 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 243 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3262 PollResults:map[Biden:49.810577035070835 Trump:50.18942296492916] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 244 Sample size: 3262.000000 245 Mean R: 50.189423 246 Std of mean R: 0.875437 247 Poll says chance of R win: 0.585652 248 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.875437 249 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.512860 250 251 State: Arizona 252 Votes: 11 253 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] 254 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 255 Poll: {PollId:86987 SampleSize:795 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Harris:42 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:51 West:1] Date:2024-05-12 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 256 Sample size: 755.250000 257 Mean R: 53.684211 258 Std of mean R: 1.814439 259 Poll says chance of R win: 0.978847 260 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.814439 261 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.705625 262 Poll: {PollId:86988 SampleSize:1003 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Kennedy:8 Stein:2 Trump:43 West:1] Date:2024-05-14 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 263 Sample size: 792.370000 264 Mean R: 54.430380 265 Std of mean R: 1.769271 266 Poll says chance of R win: 0.993861 267 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.769271 268 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.743600 269 Poll: {PollId:86903 SampleSize:529 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:44] Date:2024-05-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 270 Sample size: 454.940000 271 Mean R: 51.162791 272 Std of mean R: 2.343557 273 Poll says chance of R win: 0.690111 274 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.343557 275 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.562906 276 Poll: {PollId:87015 SampleSize:527 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:10 Trump:45] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 277 Sample size: 469.030000 278 Mean R: 50.561798 279 Std of mean R: 2.308566 280 Poll says chance of R win: 0.596134 281 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.308566 282 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.530636 283 Poll: {PollId:86964 SampleSize:1193 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Stein:5 Trump:44] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 284 Sample size: 1002.120000 285 Mean R: 52.380952 286 Std of mean R: 1.577674 287 Poll says chance of R win: 0.934370 288 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.577674 289 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.641315 290 Poll: {PollId:87003 SampleSize:490 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:11 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 291 Sample size: 411.600000 292 Mean R: 52.380952 293 Std of mean R: 2.461724 294 Poll says chance of R win: 0.833275 295 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.461724 296 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.625170 297 Poll: {PollId:87026 SampleSize:609 PollResults:map[Biden:39.3 Kennedy:7.2 Trump:42.8] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 298 Sample size: 499.989000 299 Mean R: 52.131547 300 Std of mean R: 2.234060 301 Poll says chance of R win: 0.829987 302 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.234060 303 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.615871 304 Poll: {PollId:86897 SampleSize:626 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:8 Mapstead:1 Stein:2 Trump:49 West:0] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 305 Sample size: 575.920000 306 Mean R: 53.260870 307 Std of mean R: 2.079042 308 Poll says chance of R win: 0.941612 309 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.079042 310 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.677471 311 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:4961 PollResults:map[Biden:47.30000832456701 Trump:52.699991675433] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 312 Sample size: 4961.000000 313 Mean R: 52.699992 314 Std of mean R: 0.708845 315 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999930 316 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.708845 317 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.681875 318 319 State: Iowa 320 Votes: 6 321 History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] 322 Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 323 324 State: Minnesota 325 Votes: 10 326 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 327 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 328 Poll: {PollId:86948 SampleSize:625 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Trump:42] Date:2024-05-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 329 Sample size: 537.500000 330 Mean R: 48.837209 331 Std of mean R: 2.156072 332 Poll says chance of R win: 0.294837 333 N republican wins: 0 334 => Reducing additional uncertainty 335 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.822739 336 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.380496 337 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:537 PollResults:map[Biden:51.16279069767442 Trump:48.83720930232558] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 338 Sample size: 537.000000 339 Mean R: 48.837209 340 Std of mean R: 2.157076 341 Poll says chance of R win: 0.294923 342 N republican wins: 0 343 => Reducing additional uncertainty 344 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.823742 345 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.380527 346 347 State: New Jersey 348 Votes: 14 349 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 350 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 351 352 State: Pennsylvania 353 Votes: 19 354 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] 355 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 356 Poll: {PollId:86901 SampleSize:1023 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:9 Mapstead:0 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:0] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 357 Sample size: 951.390000 358 Mean R: 51.612903 359 Std of mean R: 1.620185 360 Poll says chance of R win: 0.840255 361 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.620185 362 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.596243 363 Poll: {PollId:87020 SampleSize:730 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:7 Trump:48] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 364 Sample size: 678.900000 365 Mean R: 51.612903 366 Std of mean R: 1.917967 367 Poll says chance of R win: 0.799810 368 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.917967 369 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.592176 370 Poll: {PollId:87009 SampleSize:487 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:9 Stein:2 Trump:42 West:2] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 371 Sample size: 423.690000 372 Mean R: 48.275862 373 Std of mean R: 2.427658 374 Poll says chance of R win: 0.238788 375 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.427658 376 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.408221 377 Poll: {PollId:86908 SampleSize:509 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:7 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-05-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 378 Sample size: 427.560000 379 Mean R: 51.190476 380 Std of mean R: 2.417399 381 Poll says chance of R win: 0.688803 382 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.417399 383 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.563756 384 Poll: {PollId:86993 SampleSize:812 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Harris:43 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:50 West:2] Date:2024-05-12 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 385 Sample size: 779.520000 386 Mean R: 52.083333 387 Std of mean R: 1.789283 388 Poll says chance of R win: 0.877857 389 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.789283 390 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.620524 391 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3261 PollResults:map[Biden:48.76359220621516 Trump:51.23640779378484] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 392 Sample size: 3261.000000 393 Mean R: 51.236408 394 Std of mean R: 0.875310 395 Poll says chance of R win: 0.921104 396 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.875310 397 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.583338 398 399 State: Rhode Island 400 Votes: 4 401 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 402 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 403 Poll: {PollId:87029 SampleSize:538 PollResults:map[Biden:60 Kennedy:6 Stein:0 Trump:40 West:1] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 404 Sample size: 538.000000 405 Mean R: 40.000000 406 Std of mean R: 2.112100 407 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000001 408 N republican wins: 0 409 => Reducing additional uncertainty 410 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.778767 411 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.004068 412 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:538 PollResults:map[Biden:60 Trump:40] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 413 Sample size: 538.000000 414 Mean R: 40.000000 415 Std of mean R: 2.112100 416 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000001 417 N republican wins: 0 418 => Reducing additional uncertainty 419 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.778767 420 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.004068 421 422 State: Tennessee 423 Votes: 11 424 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 425 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 426 Poll: {PollId:86998 SampleSize:501 PollResults:map[Biden:29 Kennedy:8 Trump:47] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 427 Sample size: 380.760000 428 Mean R: 61.842105 429 Std of mean R: 2.489480 430 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 431 N republican wins: 6 432 => Reducing additional uncertainty 433 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.156147 434 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.997809 435 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:380 PollResults:map[Biden:38.1578947368421 Trump:61.8421052631579] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 436 Sample size: 380.000000 437 Mean R: 61.842105 438 Std of mean R: 2.491968 439 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 440 N republican wins: 6 441 => Reducing additional uncertainty 442 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.158635 443 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.997797 444 445 State: Wyoming 446 Votes: 3 447 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 448 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 449 450 State: Delaware 451 Votes: 3 452 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 453 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 454 455 State: Illinois 456 Votes: 19 457 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 458 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 459 460 State: Colorado 461 Votes: 10 462 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 463 Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 464 465 State: District of Columbia 466 Votes: 3 467 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 468 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 469 470 State: Nevada 471 Votes: 6 472 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 473 Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 474 Poll: {PollId:87049 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:34 Kennedy:15 Trump:37] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} 475 Sample size: 426.000000 476 Mean R: 52.112676 477 Std of mean R: 2.420344 478 Poll says chance of R win: 0.808636 479 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.420344 480 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.612068 481 Poll: {PollId:87027 SampleSize:522 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7.9 Trump:46.2] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 482 Sample size: 449.964000 483 Mean R: 53.596288 484 Std of mean R: 2.351012 485 Poll says chance of R win: 0.936952 486 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.351012 487 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.687658 488 Poll: {PollId:87007 SampleSize:468 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:10 Stein:0 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 489 Sample size: 407.160000 490 Mean R: 50.574713 491 Std of mean R: 2.477757 492 Poll says chance of R win: 0.591711 493 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.477757 494 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.530631 495 Poll: {PollId:86991 SampleSize:459 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Harris:44 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 496 Sample size: 431.460000 497 Mean R: 50.000000 498 Std of mean R: 2.407131 499 Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 500 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.407131 501 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 502 Poll: {PollId:87018 SampleSize:402 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:10 Trump:49] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 503 Sample size: 357.780000 504 Mean R: 55.056180 505 Std of mean R: 2.629844 506 Poll says chance of R win: 0.972736 507 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.629844 508 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.746234 509 Poll: {PollId:86900 SampleSize:614 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:11 Mapstead:2 Stein:1 Trump:51 West:0] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 510 Sample size: 546.460000 511 Mean R: 57.303371 512 Std of mean R: 2.115961 513 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999721 514 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.115961 515 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.847634 516 Poll: {PollId:87034 SampleSize:601 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:9 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-05-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 517 Sample size: 546.910000 518 Mean R: 51.648352 519 Std of mean R: 2.136859 520 Poll says chance of R win: 0.779762 521 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.136859 522 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.591328 523 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3165 PollResults:map[Biden:47.01374152092375 Trump:52.98625847907625] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 524 Sample size: 3165.000000 525 Mean R: 52.986258 526 Std of mean R: 0.887171 527 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999619 528 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.887171 529 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.694010 530 531 State: South Dakota 532 Votes: 3 533 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 534 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 535 Poll: {PollId:87023 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Biden:31.4 Kennedy:11.2 Trump:50] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 536 Sample size: 407.000000 537 Mean R: 61.425061 538 Std of mean R: 2.412838 539 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 540 N republican wins: 6 541 => Reducing additional uncertainty 542 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.079505 543 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.997450 544 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:407 PollResults:map[Biden:38.57493857493858 Trump:61.42506142506142] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 545 Sample size: 407.000000 546 Mean R: 61.425061 547 Std of mean R: 2.412838 548 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 549 N republican wins: 6 550 => Reducing additional uncertainty 551 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.079505 552 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.997450 553 554 State: Arkansas 555 Votes: 6 556 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 557 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 558 559 State: California 560 Votes: 54 561 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 562 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 563 564 State: New Mexico 565 Votes: 5 566 History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 567 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 568 569 State: Utah 570 Votes: 6 571 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 572 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 573 574 State: Georgia 575 Votes: 16 576 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] 577 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 578 Poll: {PollId:86989 SampleSize:795 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Harris:41 Kennedy:8 Stein:1 Trump:49 West:1] Date:2024-05-12 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 579 Sample size: 739.350000 580 Mean R: 52.688172 581 Std of mean R: 1.836185 582 Poll says chance of R win: 0.928403 583 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.836185 584 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.652924 585 Poll: {PollId:87005 SampleSize:470 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:11 Stein:1 Trump:42 West:5] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 586 Sample size: 390.100000 587 Mean R: 50.602410 588 Std of mean R: 2.531340 589 Poll says chance of R win: 0.594052 590 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.531340 591 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.531876 592 Poll: {PollId:86898 SampleSize:604 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:8 Mapstead:2 Stein:0 Trump:50 West:0] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 593 Sample size: 549.640000 594 Mean R: 54.945055 595 Std of mean R: 2.122249 596 Poll says chance of R win: 0.990100 597 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.122249 598 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.756256 599 Poll: {PollId:87016 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:10 Trump:47] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 600 Sample size: 546.000000 601 Mean R: 51.648352 602 Std of mean R: 2.138639 603 Poll says chance of R win: 0.779572 604 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.138639 605 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.591306 606 Poll: {PollId:86905 SampleSize:486 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:5 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-05-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 607 Sample size: 393.660000 608 Mean R: 53.086420 609 Std of mean R: 2.515245 610 Poll says chance of R win: 0.890105 611 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.515245 612 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.659349 613 Poll: {PollId:86896 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:33 Kennedy:13 Trump:41] Date:2024-05-05 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} 614 Sample size: 444.000000 615 Mean R: 55.405405 616 Std of mean R: 2.358988 617 Poll says chance of R win: 0.989030 618 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.358988 619 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.768687 620 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3062 PollResults:map[Biden:46.91274181699453 Trump:53.08725818300547] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 621 Sample size: 3062.000000 622 Mean R: 53.087258 623 Std of mean R: 0.901858 624 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999691 625 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.901858 626 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.699547 627 628 State: Montana 629 Votes: 4 630 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 631 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 632 633 State: Virginia 634 Votes: 13 635 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 636 Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 637 Poll: {PollId:87053 SampleSize:711 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:8 Stein:3 Trump:38] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 638 Sample size: 554.580000 639 Mean R: 48.717949 640 Std of mean R: 2.122487 641 Poll says chance of R win: 0.272911 642 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.122487 643 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.428576 644 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:554 PollResults:map[Biden:51.282051282051285 Trump:48.717948717948715] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 645 Sample size: 554.000000 646 Mean R: 48.717949 647 Std of mean R: 2.123598 648 Poll says chance of R win: 0.273016 649 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.123598 650 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.428587 651 652 State: Florida 653 Votes: 30 654 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] 655 Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 656 Poll: {PollId:86889 SampleSize:609 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:10 Trump:46] Date:2024-05-07 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} 657 Sample size: 505.470000 658 Mean R: 55.421687 659 Std of mean R: 2.210823 660 Poll says chance of R win: 0.992903 661 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.210823 662 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.773939 663 Poll: {PollId:86963 SampleSize:1181 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Stein:3 Trump:49] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 664 Sample size: 1003.850000 665 Mean R: 57.647059 666 Std of mean R: 1.559538 667 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 668 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.559538 669 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.878151 670 Poll: {PollId:87004 SampleSize:486 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:9 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 671 Sample size: 422.820000 672 Mean R: 55.172414 673 Std of mean R: 2.418555 674 Poll says chance of R win: 0.983768 675 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.418555 676 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.757170 677 Poll: {PollId:86904 SampleSize:586 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:6 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-05-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 678 Sample size: 498.100000 679 Mean R: 55.294118 680 Std of mean R: 2.227735 681 Poll says chance of R win: 0.991260 682 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.227735 683 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.768060 684 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2430 PollResults:map[Biden:43.72860293633551 Trump:56.27139706366449] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 685 Sample size: 2430.000000 686 Mean R: 56.271397 687 Std of mean R: 1.006291 688 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 689 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.006291 690 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.851789 691 692 State: Maine 693 Votes: 4 694 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:Split 2020:Split] 695 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 696 697 State: New York 698 Votes: 28 699 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 700 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 701 Poll: {PollId:87069 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:55.2 Kennedy:5.7 Stein:0.7 Trump:44.8 West:1.5] Date:2024-05-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 702 Sample size: 1000.000000 703 Mean R: 44.800000 704 Std of mean R: 1.572565 705 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000472 706 N republican wins: 0 707 => Reducing additional uncertainty 708 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.239231 709 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.054212 710 Poll: {PollId:86996 SampleSize:1191 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Trump:38] Date:2024-05-15 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 711 Sample size: 1012.350000 712 Mean R: 44.705882 713 Std of mean R: 1.562631 714 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000352 715 N republican wins: 0 716 => Reducing additional uncertainty 717 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.229298 718 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.050565 719 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2012 PollResults:map[Biden:55.247347628394664 Trump:44.752652371605336] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 720 Sample size: 2012.000000 721 Mean R: 44.752652 722 Std of mean R: 1.108539 723 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000001 724 N republican wins: 0 725 => Reducing additional uncertainty 726 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.775206 727 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.029326 728 729 State: Oklahoma 730 Votes: 7 731 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 732 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 733 734 State: Oregon 735 Votes: 8 736 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 737 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 738 739 State: Washington 740 Votes: 12 741 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 742 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 743 Poll: {PollId:86961 SampleSize:615 PollResults:map[Biden:55 Trump:39] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 744 Sample size: 578.100000 745 Mean R: 41.489362 746 Std of mean R: 2.049200 747 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000016 748 N republican wins: 0 749 => Reducing additional uncertainty 750 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.715866 751 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.011000 752 Poll: {PollId:87033 SampleSize:403 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Trump:34] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 753 Sample size: 306.280000 754 Mean R: 44.736842 755 Std of mean R: 2.841131 756 Poll says chance of R win: 0.031978 757 N republican wins: 0 758 => Reducing additional uncertainty 759 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.507797 760 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.121491 761 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:884 PollResults:map[Biden:57.385965309030055 Trump:42.614034690969945] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 762 Sample size: 884.000000 763 Mean R: 42.614035 764 Std of mean R: 1.663233 765 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000004 766 N republican wins: 0 767 => Reducing additional uncertainty 768 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.329899 769 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.013275 770 771 State: West Virginia 772 Votes: 4 773 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 774 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 775 776 State: Connecticut 777 Votes: 7 778 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 779 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 780 781 State: Maryland 782 Votes: 10 783 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 784 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 785 Poll: {PollId:86882 SampleSize:1115 PollResults:map[Biden:49.9 Kennedy:5.8 Stein:1 Trump:32.5 West:3] Date:2024-05-08 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 786 Sample size: 918.760000 787 Mean R: 39.441748 788 Std of mean R: 1.612366 789 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 790 N republican wins: 0 791 => Reducing additional uncertainty 792 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.279033 793 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000641 794 Poll: {PollId:86881 SampleSize:719 PollResults:map[Biden:60 Trump:32] Date:2024-05-07 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} 795 Sample size: 661.480000 796 Mean R: 34.782609 797 Std of mean R: 1.851844 798 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 799 N republican wins: 0 800 => Reducing additional uncertainty 801 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.518511 802 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000008 803 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1580 PollResults:map[Biden:62.50854300612565 Trump:37.49145699387435] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 804 Sample size: 1580.000000 805 Mean R: 37.491457 806 Std of mean R: 1.217888 807 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 808 N republican wins: 0 809 => Reducing additional uncertainty 810 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.884555 811 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000007 812 813 State: Hawaii 814 Votes: 4 815 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 816 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 817 818 State: Idaho 819 Votes: 4 820 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 821 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 822 823 State: Indiana 824 Votes: 11 825 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 826 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 827 828 State: Louisiana 829 Votes: 8 830 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 831 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 832 833 State: Missouri 834 Votes: 10 835 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 836 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 837 838 State: Nebraska 839 Votes: 5 840 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:Split 2012:R 2016:Split 2020:Split] 841 Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 842 843 State: Alabama 844 Votes: 9 845 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 846 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 847 848 State: Alaska 849 Votes: 3 850 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 851 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 852 853 State: Ohio 854 Votes: 17 855 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] 856 Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 857 858 State: South Carolina 859 Votes: 9 860 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 861 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 862 863 [ 131, 132): 0.00% (0%) 864 [ 132, 133): 0.00% (0%) 865 [ 133, 134): 0.00% (0%) 866 [ 134, 135): 0.00% (0%) 867 [ 135, 136): 0.00% (0%) 868 [ 136, 137): 0.00% (0%) 869 [ 137, 138): 0.00% (0%) 870 [ 138, 139): 0.00% (0%) 871 [ 139, 140): 0.00% (0%) 872 [ 140, 141): 0.00% (0%) 873 [ 141, 142): 0.00% (0%) 874 [ 142, 143): 0.00% (0%) 875 [ 143, 144): 0.00% (0%) 876 [ 144, 145): 0.00% (0%) 877 [ 145, 146): 0.00% (0%) 878 [ 146, 147): 0.00% (0%) 879 [ 147, 148): 0.00% (0%) 880 [ 148, 149): 0.00% (0%) 881 [ 149, 150): 0.00% (0%) 882 [ 150, 151): 0.00% (0%) 883 [ 151, 152): 0.00% (0%) 884 [ 152, 153): 0.00% (0%) 885 [ 153, 154): 0.00% (0%) 886 [ 154, 155): 0.00% (0%) 887 [ 155, 156): 0.00% (0%) 888 [ 156, 157): 0.00% (0%) 889 [ 157, 158): 0.00% (0%) 890 [ 158, 159): 0.00% (0%) 891 [ 159, 160): 0.00% (0%) 892 [ 160, 161): 0.00% (0%) 893 [ 161, 162): 0.00% (0%) 894 [ 162, 163): 0.00% (0%) 895 [ 163, 164): 0.00% (0%) 896 [ 164, 165): 0.00% (0%) 897 [ 165, 166): 0.00% (0%) 898 [ 166, 167): 0.00% (0%) 899 [ 167, 168): 0.00% (0%) 900 [ 168, 169): 0.00% (0%) 901 [ 169, 170): 0.00% (0%) 902 [ 170, 171): 0.00% (0%) 903 [ 171, 172): 0.00% (0%) 904 [ 172, 173): 0.00% (0%) 905 [ 173, 174): 0.00% (0%) 906 [ 174, 175): 0.00% (0%) 907 [ 175, 176): 0.00% (0%) 908 [ 176, 177): 0.00% (0%) 909 [ 177, 178): 0.00% (0%) 910 [ 178, 179): 0.00% (0%) 911 [ 179, 180): 0.00% (0%) 912 [ 180, 181): 0.00% (0%) 913 [ 181, 182): 0.01% (0%) 914 [ 182, 183): 0.01% (0%) 915 [ 183, 184): 0.01% (0%) 916 [ 184, 185): 0.00% (0%) 917 [ 185, 186): 0.00% (0%) 918 [ 186, 187): 0.01% (0%) 919 [ 187, 188): 0.01% (0%) 920 [ 188, 189): 0.02% (0%) 921 [ 189, 190): 0.01% (0%) 922 [ 190, 191): 0.01% (0%) 923 [ 191, 192): 0.01% (0%) 924 [ 192, 193): █ 0.02% (0%) 925 [ 193, 194): █ 0.02% (0%) 926 [ 194, 195): █ 0.02% (0%) 927 [ 195, 196): 0.02% (0%) 928 [ 196, 197): █ 0.02% (0%) 929 [ 197, 198): █ 0.03% (0%) 930 [ 198, 199): ██ 0.04% (0%) 931 [ 199, 200): ██ 0.04% (0%) 932 [ 200, 201): ██ 0.03% (0%) 933 [ 201, 202): ██ 0.04% (0%) 934 [ 202, 203): ██ 0.05% (0%) 935 [ 203, 204): ███ 0.06% (1%) 936 [ 204, 205): ███ 0.07% (1%) 937 [ 205, 206): ████ 0.07% (1%) 938 [ 206, 207): ███ 0.06% (1%) 939 [ 207, 208): ████ 0.07% (1%) 940 [ 208, 209): █████ 0.09% (1%) 941 [ 209, 210): ██████ 0.10% (1%) 942 [ 210, 211): █████ 0.09% (1%) 943 [ 211, 212): ██████ 0.10% (1%) 944 [ 212, 213): ███████ 0.12% (1%) 945 [ 213, 214): ███████ 0.13% (1%) 946 [ 214, 215): ████████ 0.14% (2%) 947 [ 215, 216): █████████ 0.16% (2%) 948 [ 216, 217): █████████ 0.15% (2%) 949 [ 217, 218): ██████████ 0.18% (2%) 950 [ 218, 219): ████████████ 0.20% (2%) 951 [ 219, 220): ████████████ 0.20% (2%) 952 [ 220, 221): ████████████ 0.20% (3%) 953 [ 221, 222): █████████████ 0.22% (3%) 954 [ 222, 223): ███████████████ 0.25% (3%) 955 [ 223, 224): ████████████████ 0.27% (3%) 956 [ 224, 225): █████████████████ 0.28% (4%) 957 [ 225, 226): ██████████████████ 0.30% (4%) 958 [ 226, 227): ██████████████████ 0.30% (4%) 959 [ 227, 228): ████████████████████ 0.33% (5%) 960 [ 228, 229): ████████████████████████ 0.41% (5%) 961 [ 229, 230): ██████████████████████████ 0.43% (5%) 962 [ 230, 231): ██████████████████████ 0.37% (6%) 963 [ 231, 232): ████████████████████████ 0.40% (6%) 964 [ 232, 233): ████████████████████████████ 0.46% (7%) 965 [ 233, 234): ██████████████████████████████ 0.50% (7%) 966 [ 234, 235): ██████████████████████████████████ 0.56% (8%) 967 [ 235, 236): █████████████████████████████████ 0.56% (8%) 968 [ 236, 237): ██████████████████████████████ 0.50% (9%) 969 [ 237, 238): ████████████████████████████████ 0.54% (9%) 970 [ 238, 239): ████████████████████████████████████████ 0.66% (10%) 971 [ 239, 240): ███████████████████████████████████████████ 0.72% (11%) 972 [ 240, 241): ████████████████████████████████████████ 0.66% (11%) 973 [ 241, 242): ███████████████████████████████████████ 0.65% (12%) 974 [ 242, 243): ██████████████████████████████████████████ 0.69% (13%) 975 [ 243, 244): ██████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.76% (13%) 976 [ 244, 245): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.91% (14%) 977 [ 245, 246): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.93% (15%) 978 [ 246, 247): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.86% (16%) 979 [ 247, 248): █████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.81% (17%) 980 [ 248, 249): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (18%) 981 [ 249, 250): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.05% (19%) 982 [ 250, 251): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.07% (20%) 983 [ 251, 252): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.05% (21%) 984 [ 252, 253): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.00% (22%) 985 [ 253, 254): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.04% (23%) 986 [ 254, 255): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.19% (24%) 987 [ 255, 256): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.30% (26%) 988 [ 256, 257): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.22% (27%) 989 [ 257, 258): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.13% (28%) 990 [ 258, 259): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.25% (29%) 991 [ 259, 260): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.29% (30%) 992 [ 260, 261): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.36% (32%) 993 [ 261, 262): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.41% (33%) 994 [ 262, 263): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.39% (35%) 995 [ 263, 264): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.36% (36%) 996 [ 264, 265): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.46% (37%) 997 [ 265, 266): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.50% (39%) 998 [ 266, 267): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.46% (40%) 999 [ 267, 268): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.42% (42%) 1000 [ 268, 269): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.49% (43%) 1001 [ 269, 270): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.54% (45%) 1002 [ 270, 271): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.56% (46%) 1003 [ 271, 272): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.54% (48%) 1004 [ 272, 273): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.52% (50%) 1005 [ 273, 274): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.50% (51%) 1006 [ 274, 275): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.63% (53%) 1007 [ 275, 276): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.64% (54%) 1008 [ 276, 277): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.54% (56%) 1009 [ 277, 278): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.51% (57%) 1010 [ 278, 279): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.55% (59%) 1011 [ 279, 280): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.59% (60%) 1012 [ 280, 281): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.60% (62%) 1013 [ 281, 282): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.52% (64%) 1014 [ 282, 283): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.42% (65%) 1015 [ 283, 284): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.45% (66%) 1016 [ 284, 285): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.51% (68%) 1017 [ 285, 286): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.52% (69%) 1018 [ 286, 287): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.37% (71%) 1019 [ 287, 288): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.34% (72%) 1020 [ 288, 289): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.30% (73%) 1021 [ 289, 290): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.35% (75%) 1022 [ 290, 291): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.38% (76%) 1023 [ 291, 292): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.32% (78%) 1024 [ 292, 293): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.12% (79%) 1025 [ 293, 294): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.14% (80%) 1026 [ 294, 295): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.21% (81%) 1027 [ 295, 296): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.19% (82%) 1028 [ 296, 297): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.10% (83%) 1029 [ 297, 298): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.03% (84%) 1030 [ 298, 299): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.93% (85%) 1031 [ 299, 300): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (86%) 1032 [ 300, 301): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.03% (87%) 1033 [ 301, 302): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.88% (88%) 1034 [ 302, 303): ███████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.77% (89%) 1035 [ 303, 304): ███████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.78% (90%) 1036 [ 304, 305): ███████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.78% (90%) 1037 [ 305, 306): █████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.74% (91%) 1038 [ 306, 307): ███████████████████████████████████████████ 0.71% (92%) 1039 [ 307, 308): █████████████████████████████████████ 0.62% (93%) 1040 [ 308, 309): ███████████████████████████████████ 0.58% (93%) 1041 [ 309, 310): ████████████████████████████████████ 0.59% (94%) 1042 [ 310, 311): ██████████████████████████████████ 0.57% (94%) 1043 [ 311, 312): ████████████████████████████ 0.46% (95%) 1044 [ 312, 313): ███████████████████████████ 0.45% (95%) 1045 [ 313, 314): ███████████████████████████ 0.45% (96%) 1046 [ 314, 315): █████████████████████████ 0.42% (96%) 1047 [ 315, 316): █████████████████████ 0.35% (96%) 1048 [ 316, 317): █████████████████████ 0.35% (97%) 1049 [ 317, 318): ████████████████ 0.27% (97%) 1050 [ 318, 319): █████████████████ 0.29% (97%) 1051 [ 319, 320): ███████████████████ 0.32% (98%) 1052 [ 320, 321): ███████████████ 0.26% (98%) 1053 [ 321, 322): ██████████ 0.17% (98%) 1054 [ 322, 323): ████████████ 0.20% (98%) 1055 [ 323, 324): █████████████ 0.22% (98%) 1056 [ 324, 325): ███████████ 0.20% (99%) 1057 [ 325, 326): █████████ 0.16% (99%) 1058 [ 326, 327): ███████ 0.12% (99%) 1059 [ 327, 328): █████ 0.09% (99%) 1060 [ 328, 329): ██████ 0.11% (99%) 1061 [ 329, 330): █████████ 0.15% (99%) 1062 [ 330, 331): █████ 0.09% (99%) 1063 [ 331, 332): ███ 0.05% (99%) 1064 [ 332, 333): ███ 0.05% (99%) 1065 [ 333, 334): ████ 0.07% (100%) 1066 [ 334, 335): ████ 0.07% (100%) 1067 [ 335, 336): ███ 0.06% (100%) 1068 [ 336, 337): █ 0.03% (100%) 1069 [ 337, 338): █ 0.02% (100%) 1070 [ 338, 339): ██ 0.03% (100%) 1071 [ 339, 340): ██ 0.04% (100%) 1072 [ 340, 341): █ 0.03% (100%) 1073 [ 341, 342): 0.01% (100%) 1074 [ 342, 343): 0.01% (100%) 1075 [ 343, 344): 0.01% (100%) 1076 [ 344, 345): 0.02% (100%) 1077 [ 345, 346): 0.01% (100%) 1078 [ 346, 347): 0.01% (100%) 1079 [ 347, 348): 0.01% (100%) 1080 [ 348, 349): 0.01% (100%) 1081 [ 349, 350): 0.01% (100%) 1082 [ 350, 351): 0.01% (100%) 1083 [ 351, 352): 0.01% (100%) 1084 [ 352, 353): 0.01% (100%) 1085 [ 353, 354): 0.00% (100%) 1086 [ 354, 355): 0.00% (100%) 1087 [ 355, 356): 0.00% (100%) 1088 [ 356, 357): 0.00% (100%) 1089 [ 357, 358): 0.00% (100%) 1090 [ 358, 359): 0.00% (100%) 1091 [ 359, 360): 0.00% (100%) 1092 [ 360, 361): 0.00% (100%) 1093 [ 361, 362): 0.00% (100%) 1094 [ 362, 363): 0.00% (100%) 1095 [ 363, 364): 0.00% (100%) 1096 [ 364, 365): 0.00% (100%) 1097 [ 365, 366): 0.00% (100%) 1098 [ 366, 367): 0.00% (100%) 1099 [ 367, 368): 0.00% (100%) 1100 [ 368, 369): 0.00% (100%) 1101 [ 369, 370): 0.00% (100%) 1102 [ 370, 371): 0.00% (100%) 1103 [ 371, 372): 0.00% (100%) 1104 [ 372, 373): 0.00% (100%) 1105 [ 373, 374): 0.00% (100%) 1106 [ 374, 375): 0.00% (100%) 1107 [ 375, 376): 0.00% (100%) 1108 [ 376, 377): 0.00% (100%) 1109 [ 377, 378): 0.00% (100%) 1110 [ 378, 379): 0.00% (100%) 1111 [ 379, 380): 0.00% (100%) 1112 [ 380, 381): 0.00% (100%) 1113 [ 381, 382): 0.00% (100%) 1114 [ 382, 383): 0.00% (100%) 1115 [ 383, 384): 0.00% (100%) 1116 [ 384, 385): 0.00% (100%) 1117 [ 385, 386): 0.00% (100%) 1118 [ 386, 387): 0.00% (100%) 1119 [ 387, 388): 0.00% (100%) 1120 [ 388, 389): 0.00% (100%) 1121 [ 389, 390): 0.00% (100%) 1122 [ 390, 391): 0.00% (100%) 1123 [ 391, 392): 0.00% (100%) 1124 [ 392, 393): 0.00% (100%) 1125 [ 393, 394): 0.00% (100%) 1126 [ 394, 395): 0.00% (100%) 1127 [ 395, 396): 0.00% (100%) 1128 [ 396, 397): 0.00% (100%) 1129 [ 397, 398): 0.00% (100%) 1130 [ 398, 399): 0.00% (100%) 1131 [ 399, 400): 0.00% (100%) 1132 1133 % republicans: 0.551070