output-2024-04-15.txt (46106B)
1 State: Alaska 2 Votes: 3 3 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 4 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 5 6 State: Minnesota 7 Votes: 10 8 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 9 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 10 Poll: {PollId:86625 SampleSize:608 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Trump:42] Date:2024-04-07 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 11 Sample size: 522.880000 12 Mean R: 48.837209 13 Std of mean R: 2.186007 14 Poll says chance of R win: 0.297389 15 N republican wins: 0 16 => Reducing additional uncertainty 17 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.852674 18 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.381397 19 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:522 PollResults:map[Biden:51.16279069767442 Trump:48.83720930232558] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 20 Sample size: 522.000000 21 Mean R: 48.837209 22 Std of mean R: 2.187849 23 Poll says chance of R win: 0.297544 24 N republican wins: 0 25 => Reducing additional uncertainty 26 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.854515 27 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.381452 28 29 State: New Jersey 30 Votes: 14 31 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 32 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 33 Poll: {PollId:86576 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:7.5 Stein:0.8 Trump:35.8 West:1.2] Date:2024-03-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 34 Sample size: 768.000000 35 Mean R: 46.614583 36 Std of mean R: 1.800079 37 Poll says chance of R win: 0.030006 38 N republican wins: 0 39 => Reducing additional uncertainty 40 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.466746 41 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.164398 42 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:768 PollResults:map[Biden:53.385416666666664 Trump:46.614583333333336] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 43 Sample size: 768.000000 44 Mean R: 46.614583 45 Std of mean R: 1.800079 46 Poll says chance of R win: 0.030006 47 N republican wins: 0 48 => Reducing additional uncertainty 49 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.466746 50 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.164398 51 52 State: New Mexico 53 Votes: 5 54 History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 55 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 56 57 State: Rhode Island 58 Votes: 4 59 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 60 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 61 62 State: Arizona 63 Votes: 11 64 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] 65 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 66 Poll: {PollId:86528 SampleSize:516 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:7 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 67 Sample size: 438.600000 68 Mean R: 51.764706 69 Std of mean R: 2.385970 70 Poll says chance of R win: 0.770234 71 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.385970 72 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.594419 73 Poll: {PollId:86582 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:11 Mapstead:3 Stein:5 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 74 Sample size: 534.000000 75 Mean R: 52.808989 76 Std of mean R: 2.160294 77 Poll says chance of R win: 0.903248 78 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.160294 79 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.652582 80 Poll: {PollId:86577 SampleSize:503 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Trump:39] Date:2024-03-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 81 Sample size: 377.250000 82 Mean R: 52.000000 83 Std of mean R: 2.572217 84 Poll says chance of R win: 0.781580 85 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.572217 86 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.604158 87 Poll: {PollId:86492 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:33 Kennedy:18 Trump:37 West:2] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} 88 Sample size: 420.000000 89 Mean R: 52.857143 90 Std of mean R: 2.435764 91 Poll says chance of R win: 0.879601 92 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.435764 93 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.649601 94 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1769 PollResults:map[Biden:47.610814475803025 Trump:52.38918552419697] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 95 Sample size: 1769.000000 96 Mean R: 52.389186 97 Std of mean R: 1.187435 98 Poll says chance of R win: 0.977893 99 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.187435 100 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.650302 101 102 State: Florida 103 Votes: 30 104 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] 105 Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 106 Poll: {PollId:86529 SampleSize:875 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:7 Stein:0 Trump:46] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 107 Sample size: 743.750000 108 Mean R: 54.117647 109 Std of mean R: 1.827169 110 Poll says chance of R win: 0.987888 111 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.827169 112 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.726788 113 Poll: {PollId:86634 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:34.6 Kennedy:6.1 Stein:1.1 Trump:49.2 West:0.5] Date:2024-04-10 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 114 Sample size: 838.000000 115 Mean R: 58.711217 116 Std of mean R: 1.700805 117 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 118 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.700805 119 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.903204 120 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1581 PollResults:map[Biden:43.4487118697645 Trump:56.5512881302355] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 121 Sample size: 1581.000000 122 Mean R: 56.551288 123 Std of mean R: 1.246648 124 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 125 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.246648 126 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.852858 127 128 State: Maine 129 Votes: 4 130 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:Split 2020:Split] 131 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 132 133 State: Pennsylvania 134 Votes: 19 135 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] 136 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 137 Poll: {PollId:86587 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:7 Mapstead:2 Stein:4 Trump:47 West:3] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 138 Sample size: 546.000000 139 Mean R: 51.648352 140 Std of mean R: 2.138639 141 Poll says chance of R win: 0.779572 142 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.138639 143 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.591306 144 Poll: {PollId:86624 SampleSize:800 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:7 Trump:41] Date:2024-03-26 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 145 Sample size: 680.000000 146 Mean R: 48.235294 147 Std of mean R: 1.916218 148 Poll says chance of R win: 0.178543 149 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.916218 150 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.399302 151 Poll: {PollId:86510 SampleSize:1132 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:16 Trump:40 West:4] Date:2024-03-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 152 Sample size: 882.960000 153 Mean R: 51.282051 154 Std of mean R: 1.682119 155 Poll says chance of R win: 0.777019 156 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.682119 157 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.576075 158 Poll: {PollId:86533 SampleSize:775 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:44] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 159 Sample size: 658.750000 160 Mean R: 51.764706 161 Std of mean R: 1.946879 162 Poll says chance of R win: 0.817645 163 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.946879 164 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.600263 165 Poll: {PollId:86604 SampleSize:431 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:9 Stein:3 Trump:40] Date:2024-03-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 166 Sample size: 353.420000 167 Mean R: 48.780488 168 Std of mean R: 2.658859 169 Poll says chance of R win: 0.323239 170 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.658859 171 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.436744 172 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3121 PollResults:map[Biden:49.49905963545254 Trump:50.50094036454745] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 173 Sample size: 3121.000000 174 Mean R: 50.500940 175 Std of mean R: 0.894955 176 Poll says chance of R win: 0.712171 177 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.894955 178 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.533860 179 180 State: South Carolina 181 Votes: 9 182 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 183 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 184 185 State: Wisconsin 186 Votes: 10 187 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] 188 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 189 Poll: {PollId:86503 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:39.6 Kennedy:5.9 Stein:1 Trump:43.4 West:0.6] Date:2024-03-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 190 Sample size: 830.000000 191 Mean R: 52.289157 192 Std of mean R: 1.733705 193 Poll says chance of R win: 0.906647 194 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.733705 195 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.633055 196 Poll: {PollId:86588 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Kennedy:10 Mapstead:2 Stein:2 Trump:46 West:1] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 197 Sample size: 552.000000 198 Mean R: 50.000000 199 Std of mean R: 2.128141 200 Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 201 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.128141 202 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 203 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1382 PollResults:map[Biden:48.62518089725036 Trump:51.37481910274964] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 204 Sample size: 1382.000000 205 Mean R: 51.374819 206 Std of mean R: 1.344472 207 Poll says chance of R win: 0.846745 208 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.344472 209 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.585777 210 211 State: North Dakota 212 Votes: 3 213 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 214 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 215 216 State: Oregon 217 Votes: 8 218 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 219 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 220 221 State: Alabama 222 Votes: 9 223 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 224 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 225 226 State: California 227 Votes: 54 228 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 229 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 230 Poll: {PollId:86635 SampleSize:1084 PollResults:map[Biden:54 Trump:31] Date:2024-03-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 231 Sample size: 921.400000 232 Mean R: 36.470588 233 Std of mean R: 1.585750 234 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 235 N republican wins: 0 236 => Reducing additional uncertainty 237 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.252417 238 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000016 239 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:921 PollResults:map[Biden:63.52941176470588 Trump:36.470588235294116] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 240 Sample size: 921.000000 241 Mean R: 36.470588 242 Std of mean R: 1.586094 243 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 244 N republican wins: 0 245 => Reducing additional uncertainty 246 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.252761 247 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000016 248 249 State: Georgia 250 Votes: 16 251 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] 252 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 253 Poll: {PollId:86583 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:8 Mapstead:4 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:2] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 254 Sample size: 522.000000 255 Mean R: 50.574713 256 Std of mean R: 2.188296 257 Poll says chance of R win: 0.603582 258 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.188296 259 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.531862 260 Poll: {PollId:86530 SampleSize:760 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:6 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 261 Sample size: 646.000000 262 Mean R: 51.764706 263 Std of mean R: 1.965998 264 Poll says chance of R win: 0.815304 265 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.965998 266 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.599994 267 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1168 PollResults:map[Biden:48.767123287671225 Trump:51.23287671232877] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 268 Sample size: 1168.000000 269 Mean R: 51.232877 270 Std of mean R: 1.462570 271 Poll says chance of R win: 0.800373 272 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.462570 273 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.575648 274 275 State: Illinois 276 Votes: 19 277 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 278 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 279 280 State: Kansas 281 Votes: 6 282 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 283 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 284 285 State: North Carolina 286 Votes: 16 287 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 288 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 289 Poll: {PollId:86640 SampleSize:1016 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Trump:45] Date:2024-03-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 290 Sample size: 883.920000 291 Mean R: 51.724138 292 Std of mean R: 1.680758 293 Poll says chance of R win: 0.847509 294 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.680758 295 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.601826 296 Poll: {PollId:86632 SampleSize:1401 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:12 Stein:3 Trump:41 West:3] Date:2024-04-08 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 297 Sample size: 1106.790000 298 Mean R: 51.898734 299 Std of mean R: 1.501841 300 Poll says chance of R win: 0.896934 301 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.501841 302 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.614868 303 Poll: {PollId:86641 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:7.3 Trump:43.3] Date:2024-04-08 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 304 Sample size: 493.800000 305 Mean R: 52.612394 306 Std of mean R: 2.246989 307 Poll says chance of R win: 0.877508 308 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.246989 309 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.640756 310 Poll: {PollId:86532 SampleSize:642 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:8 Stein:1 Trump:43] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 311 Sample size: 526.440000 312 Mean R: 52.439024 313 Std of mean R: 2.176598 314 Poll says chance of R win: 0.868764 315 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.176598 316 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.633018 317 Poll: {PollId:86585 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:10 Mapstead:2 Stein:3 Trump:49 West:2] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 318 Sample size: 552.000000 319 Mean R: 53.260870 320 Std of mean R: 2.123611 321 Poll says chance of R win: 0.937673 322 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.123611 323 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.676436 324 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3562 PollResults:map[Biden:47.75480991874711 Trump:52.245190081252886] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 325 Sample size: 3562.000000 326 Mean R: 52.245190 327 Std of mean R: 0.836922 328 Poll says chance of R win: 0.996348 329 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.836922 330 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.649753 331 332 State: Texas 333 Votes: 40 334 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 335 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 336 Poll: {PollId:86643 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:42.2 Kennedy:7.6 Stein:1.7 Trump:50.7 West:1] Date:2024-04-06 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 337 Sample size: 929.000000 338 Mean R: 54.574812 339 Std of mean R: 1.633566 340 Poll says chance of R win: 0.997449 341 N republican wins: 6 342 => Reducing additional uncertainty 343 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.300232 344 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.917158 345 Poll: {PollId:86544 SampleSize:1117 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Kennedy:15 Trump:48] Date:2024-03-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 346 Sample size: 938.280000 347 Mean R: 57.142857 348 Std of mean R: 1.615572 349 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999995 350 N republican wins: 6 351 => Reducing additional uncertainty 352 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.282239 353 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.985230 354 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1867 PollResults:map[Biden:44.134784285163455 Trump:55.865215714836545] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 355 Sample size: 1867.000000 356 Mean R: 55.865216 357 Std of mean R: 1.149183 358 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 359 N republican wins: 6 360 => Reducing additional uncertainty 361 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.815849 362 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.981371 363 364 State: Utah 365 Votes: 6 366 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 367 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 368 369 State: Washington 370 Votes: 12 371 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 372 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 373 Poll: {PollId:86605 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:48 Trump:37] Date:2024-03-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} 374 Sample size: 510.000000 375 Mean R: 43.529412 376 Std of mean R: 2.195419 377 Poll says chance of R win: 0.001603 378 N republican wins: 0 379 => Reducing additional uncertainty 380 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.862086 381 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.046927 382 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:510 PollResults:map[Biden:56.470588235294116 Trump:43.529411764705884] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 383 Sample size: 510.000000 384 Mean R: 43.529412 385 Std of mean R: 2.195419 386 Poll says chance of R win: 0.001603 387 N republican wins: 0 388 => Reducing additional uncertainty 389 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.862086 390 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.046927 391 392 State: Wyoming 393 Votes: 3 394 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 395 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 396 397 State: Colorado 398 Votes: 10 399 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 400 Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 401 Poll: {PollId:86601 SampleSize:632 PollResults:map[Biden:49 Trump:39] Date:2024-03-19 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 402 Sample size: 556.160000 403 Mean R: 44.318182 404 Std of mean R: 2.106434 405 Poll says chance of R win: 0.003495 406 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.106434 407 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.211991 408 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:556 PollResults:map[Biden:55.68181818181817 Trump:44.31818181818181] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 409 Sample size: 556.000000 410 Mean R: 44.318182 411 Std of mean R: 2.106737 412 Poll says chance of R win: 0.003499 413 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.106737 414 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.212001 415 416 State: Connecticut 417 Votes: 7 418 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 419 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 420 421 State: Iowa 422 Votes: 6 423 History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] 424 Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 425 426 State: Maryland 427 Votes: 10 428 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 429 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 430 431 State: Mississippi 432 Votes: 6 433 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 434 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 435 436 State: Virginia 437 Votes: 13 438 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 439 Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 440 441 State: West Virginia 442 Votes: 4 443 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 444 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 445 446 State: Delaware 447 Votes: 3 448 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 449 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 450 451 State: Michigan 452 Votes: 15 453 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] 454 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 455 Poll: {PollId:86531 SampleSize:616 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:6 Stein:0 Trump:41] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 456 Sample size: 492.800000 457 Mean R: 51.250000 458 Std of mean R: 2.251640 459 Poll says chance of R win: 0.710604 460 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.251640 461 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.568429 462 Poll: {PollId:86584 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:12 Mapstead:2 Stein:3 Trump:48 West:2] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 463 Sample size: 558.000000 464 Mean R: 51.612903 465 Std of mean R: 2.115567 466 Poll says chance of R win: 0.777089 467 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.115567 468 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.589661 469 Poll: {PollId:86509 SampleSize:1097 PollResults:map[Biden:34 Kennedy:18 Trump:40 West:4] Date:2024-03-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 470 Sample size: 811.780000 471 Mean R: 54.054054 472 Std of mean R: 1.749116 473 Poll says chance of R win: 0.989769 474 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.749116 475 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.725973 476 Poll: {PollId:86502 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:40.6 Kennedy:4.6 Stein:1 Trump:44.6 West:0.6 Whitmer:49.5] Date:2024-03-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 477 Sample size: 852.000000 478 Mean R: 52.347418 479 Std of mean R: 1.711083 480 Poll says chance of R win: 0.914951 481 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.711083 482 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.636749 483 Poll: {PollId:86603 SampleSize:709 PollResults:map[Biden:39.8 Kennedy:8.8 Trump:43] Date:2024-03-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 484 Sample size: 587.052000 485 Mean R: 51.932367 486 Std of mean R: 2.062088 487 Poll says chance of R win: 0.825645 488 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.062088 489 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.607814 490 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3301 PollResults:map[Biden:47.59470467938281 Trump:52.4052953206172] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 491 Sample size: 3301.000000 492 Mean R: 52.405295 493 Std of mean R: 0.869249 494 Poll says chance of R win: 0.997172 495 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.869249 496 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.659028 497 498 State: Nebraska 499 Votes: 5 500 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:Split 2012:R 2016:Split 2020:Split] 501 Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 502 503 State: Ohio 504 Votes: 17 505 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] 506 Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 507 508 State: Oklahoma 509 Votes: 7 510 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 511 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 512 513 State: Tennessee 514 Votes: 11 515 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 516 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 517 Poll: {PollId:86629 SampleSize:974 PollResults:map[Biden:25 Kennedy:16 Trump:48] Date:2024-04-02 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 518 Sample size: 711.020000 519 Mean R: 65.753425 520 Std of mean R: 1.779618 521 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 522 N republican wins: 6 523 => Reducing additional uncertainty 524 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.446285 525 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.999998 526 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:711 PollResults:map[Biden:34.24657534246575 Trump:65.75342465753425] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 527 Sample size: 711.000000 528 Mean R: 65.753425 529 Std of mean R: 1.779643 530 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 531 N republican wins: 6 532 => Reducing additional uncertainty 533 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.446310 534 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.999998 535 536 State: District of Columbia 537 Votes: 3 538 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 539 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 540 541 State: Louisiana 542 Votes: 8 543 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 544 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 545 546 State: Nevada 547 Votes: 6 548 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 549 Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 550 Poll: {PollId:86586 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:15 Mapstead:3 Stein:5 Trump:48 West:2] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 551 Sample size: 552.000000 552 Mean R: 52.173913 553 Std of mean R: 2.126129 554 Poll says chance of R win: 0.846722 555 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.126129 556 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.619841 557 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:552 PollResults:map[Biden:47.82608695652174 Trump:52.17391304347826] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 558 Sample size: 552.000000 559 Mean R: 52.173913 560 Std of mean R: 2.126129 561 Poll says chance of R win: 0.846722 562 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.126129 563 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.619841 564 565 State: New Hampshire 566 Votes: 4 567 History: map[2000:R 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 568 Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 569 570 State: Hawaii 571 Votes: 4 572 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 573 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 574 575 State: Idaho 576 Votes: 4 577 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 578 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 579 580 State: Indiana 581 Votes: 11 582 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 583 Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 584 585 State: Montana 586 Votes: 4 587 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 588 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 589 590 State: South Dakota 591 Votes: 3 592 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 593 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 594 595 State: Vermont 596 Votes: 3 597 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 598 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 599 600 State: Arkansas 601 Votes: 6 602 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 603 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 604 605 State: Kentucky 606 Votes: 8 607 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 608 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 609 610 State: Massachusetts 611 Votes: 11 612 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 613 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 614 Poll: {PollId:86630 SampleSize:1002 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Kennedy:9 Trump:28 West:1] Date:2024-03-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 615 Sample size: 741.480000 616 Mean R: 37.837838 617 Std of mean R: 1.781052 618 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 619 N republican wins: 0 620 => Reducing additional uncertainty 621 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.447718 622 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000210 623 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:741 PollResults:map[Biden:62.16216216216216 Trump:37.83783783783784] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} 624 Sample size: 741.000000 625 Mean R: 37.837838 626 Std of mean R: 1.781628 627 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 628 N republican wins: 0 629 => Reducing additional uncertainty 630 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.448295 631 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000210 632 633 State: Missouri 634 Votes: 10 635 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] 636 Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 637 638 State: New York 639 Votes: 28 640 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] 641 Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 642 643 [ 131, 132): 0.00% (0%) 644 [ 132, 133): 0.00% (0%) 645 [ 133, 134): 0.00% (0%) 646 [ 134, 135): 0.00% (0%) 647 [ 135, 136): 0.00% (0%) 648 [ 136, 137): 0.00% (0%) 649 [ 137, 138): 0.00% (0%) 650 [ 138, 139): 0.00% (0%) 651 [ 139, 140): 0.00% (0%) 652 [ 140, 141): 0.00% (0%) 653 [ 141, 142): 0.00% (0%) 654 [ 142, 143): 0.00% (0%) 655 [ 143, 144): 0.00% (0%) 656 [ 144, 145): 0.00% (0%) 657 [ 145, 146): 0.00% (0%) 658 [ 146, 147): 0.00% (0%) 659 [ 147, 148): 0.00% (0%) 660 [ 148, 149): 0.00% (0%) 661 [ 149, 150): 0.00% (0%) 662 [ 150, 151): 0.00% (0%) 663 [ 151, 152): 0.00% (0%) 664 [ 152, 153): 0.00% (0%) 665 [ 153, 154): 0.00% (0%) 666 [ 154, 155): 0.00% (0%) 667 [ 155, 156): 0.00% (0%) 668 [ 156, 157): 0.00% (0%) 669 [ 157, 158): 0.00% (0%) 670 [ 158, 159): 0.00% (0%) 671 [ 159, 160): 0.00% (0%) 672 [ 160, 161): 0.00% (0%) 673 [ 161, 162): 0.00% (0%) 674 [ 162, 163): 0.00% (0%) 675 [ 163, 164): 0.00% (0%) 676 [ 164, 165): 0.00% (0%) 677 [ 165, 166): 0.00% (0%) 678 [ 166, 167): 0.00% (0%) 679 [ 167, 168): 0.00% (0%) 680 [ 168, 169): 0.00% (0%) 681 [ 169, 170): 0.00% (0%) 682 [ 170, 171): 0.00% (0%) 683 [ 171, 172): 0.00% (0%) 684 [ 172, 173): 0.00% (0%) 685 [ 173, 174): 0.00% (0%) 686 [ 174, 175): 0.00% (0%) 687 [ 175, 176): 0.00% (0%) 688 [ 176, 177): 0.01% (0%) 689 [ 177, 178): 0.00% (0%) 690 [ 178, 179): 0.01% (0%) 691 [ 179, 180): 0.00% (0%) 692 [ 180, 181): 0.00% (0%) 693 [ 181, 182): 0.01% (0%) 694 [ 182, 183): 0.01% (0%) 695 [ 183, 184): 0.01% (0%) 696 [ 184, 185): 0.01% (0%) 697 [ 185, 186): 0.01% (0%) 698 [ 186, 187): 0.01% (0%) 699 [ 187, 188): 0.01% (0%) 700 [ 188, 189): 0.02% (0%) 701 [ 189, 190): 0.02% (0%) 702 [ 190, 191): 0.01% (0%) 703 [ 191, 192): 0.01% (0%) 704 [ 192, 193): 0.02% (0%) 705 [ 193, 194): █ 0.03% (0%) 706 [ 194, 195): 0.02% (0%) 707 [ 195, 196): 0.02% (0%) 708 [ 196, 197): 0.02% (0%) 709 [ 197, 198): ██ 0.05% (0%) 710 [ 198, 199): █ 0.04% (0%) 711 [ 199, 200): ██ 0.05% (0%) 712 [ 200, 201): █ 0.04% (0%) 713 [ 201, 202): ██ 0.05% (1%) 714 [ 202, 203): ██ 0.05% (1%) 715 [ 203, 204): ██ 0.06% (1%) 716 [ 204, 205): ███ 0.07% (1%) 717 [ 205, 206): ██ 0.06% (1%) 718 [ 206, 207): ██ 0.05% (1%) 719 [ 207, 208): ███ 0.07% (1%) 720 [ 208, 209): ████ 0.10% (1%) 721 [ 209, 210): ███ 0.09% (1%) 722 [ 210, 211): ███ 0.08% (1%) 723 [ 211, 212): ████ 0.10% (1%) 724 [ 212, 213): ████ 0.10% (1%) 725 [ 213, 214): ████ 0.10% (1%) 726 [ 214, 215): █████ 0.12% (2%) 727 [ 215, 216): █████ 0.12% (2%) 728 [ 216, 217): ██████ 0.14% (2%) 729 [ 217, 218): ██████ 0.15% (2%) 730 [ 218, 219): ███████ 0.18% (2%) 731 [ 219, 220): ███████ 0.17% (2%) 732 [ 220, 221): ████████ 0.18% (2%) 733 [ 221, 222): ████████ 0.20% (3%) 734 [ 222, 223): █████████ 0.21% (3%) 735 [ 223, 224): ██████████ 0.24% (3%) 736 [ 224, 225): ██████████ 0.24% (3%) 737 [ 225, 226): ██████████ 0.23% (4%) 738 [ 226, 227): ██████████ 0.24% (4%) 739 [ 227, 228): ████████████ 0.29% (4%) 740 [ 228, 229): ██████████████ 0.32% (4%) 741 [ 229, 230): ███████████████ 0.34% (5%) 742 [ 230, 231): ███████████████ 0.35% (5%) 743 [ 231, 232): ███████████████ 0.34% (5%) 744 [ 232, 233): ████████████████ 0.37% (6%) 745 [ 233, 234): ███████████████████ 0.44% (6%) 746 [ 234, 235): ██████████████████████ 0.50% (7%) 747 [ 235, 236): ██████████████████ 0.41% (7%) 748 [ 236, 237): ████████████████████ 0.45% (8%) 749 [ 237, 238): ███████████████████████ 0.51% (8%) 750 [ 238, 239): ██████████████████████████ 0.60% (9%) 751 [ 239, 240): █████████████████████████████ 0.65% (9%) 752 [ 240, 241): ██████████████████████████ 0.60% (10%) 753 [ 241, 242): ████████████████████████ 0.54% (11%) 754 [ 242, 243): ██████████████████████████ 0.59% (11%) 755 [ 243, 244): █████████████████████████████████ 0.74% (12%) 756 [ 244, 245): ████████████████████████████████████ 0.81% (13%) 757 [ 245, 246): ███████████████████████████████████ 0.79% (13%) 758 [ 246, 247): ██████████████████████████████████ 0.76% (14%) 759 [ 247, 248): ███████████████████████████████ 0.71% (15%) 760 [ 248, 249): █████████████████████████████████████████ 0.93% (16%) 761 [ 249, 250): ██████████████████████████████████████████ 0.93% (17%) 762 [ 250, 251): ███████████████████████████████████████████ 0.96% (18%) 763 [ 251, 252): ██████████████████████████████████████████ 0.93% (19%) 764 [ 252, 253): █████████████████████████████████████████ 0.91% (20%) 765 [ 253, 254): █████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.01% (21%) 766 [ 254, 255): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.21% (22%) 767 [ 255, 256): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.11% (23%) 768 [ 256, 257): ███████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.06% (24%) 769 [ 257, 258): █████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.09% (25%) 770 [ 258, 259): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.12% (26%) 771 [ 259, 260): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.27% (27%) 772 [ 260, 261): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.34% (29%) 773 [ 261, 262): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.21% (30%) 774 [ 262, 263): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.27% (31%) 775 [ 263, 264): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.35% (33%) 776 [ 264, 265): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.41% (34%) 777 [ 265, 266): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.40% (35%) 778 [ 266, 267): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.40% (37%) 779 [ 267, 268): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.39% (38%) 780 [ 268, 269): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.39% (40%) 781 [ 269, 270): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.55% (41%) 782 [ 270, 271): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.55% (43%) 783 [ 271, 272): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.45% (44%) 784 [ 272, 273): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.43% (46%) 785 [ 273, 274): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.52% (47%) 786 [ 274, 275): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.66% (49%) 787 [ 275, 276): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.62% (50%) 788 [ 276, 277): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.52% (52%) 789 [ 277, 278): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.42% (53%) 790 [ 278, 279): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.41% (55%) 791 [ 279, 280): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.65% (56%) 792 [ 280, 281): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.62% (58%) 793 [ 281, 282): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.47% (60%) 794 [ 282, 283): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.39% (61%) 795 [ 283, 284): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.44% (62%) 796 [ 284, 285): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.52% (64%) 797 [ 285, 286): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.47% (65%) 798 [ 286, 287): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.34% (67%) 799 [ 287, 288): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.40% (68%) 800 [ 288, 289): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.35% (69%) 801 [ 289, 290): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.49% (71%) 802 [ 290, 291): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.55% (72%) 803 [ 291, 292): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.29% (74%) 804 [ 292, 293): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.17% (75%) 805 [ 293, 294): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.26% (76%) 806 [ 294, 295): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.28% (77%) 807 [ 295, 296): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.35% (79%) 808 [ 296, 297): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.26% (80%) 809 [ 297, 298): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.12% (81%) 810 [ 298, 299): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.98% (82%) 811 [ 299, 300): ████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.07% (83%) 812 [ 300, 301): █████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.09% (84%) 813 [ 301, 302): ███████████████████████████████████████████ 0.97% (85%) 814 [ 302, 303): ██████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (86%) 815 [ 303, 304): ██████████████████████████████████████████ 0.95% (87%) 816 [ 304, 305): ████████████████████████████████████ 0.82% (88%) 817 [ 305, 306): █████████████████████████████████████ 0.84% (89%) 818 [ 306, 307): ███████████████████████████████████████ 0.87% (90%) 819 [ 307, 308): ████████████████████████████████ 0.71% (90%) 820 [ 308, 309): ██████████████████████████████ 0.67% (91%) 821 [ 309, 310): █████████████████████████████ 0.66% (92%) 822 [ 310, 311): ██████████████████████████████ 0.67% (92%) 823 [ 311, 312): ██████████████████████████ 0.59% (93%) 824 [ 312, 313): ██████████████████████████ 0.58% (94%) 825 [ 313, 314): ██████████████████████████ 0.59% (94%) 826 [ 314, 315): ███████████████████████ 0.52% (95%) 827 [ 315, 316): ████████████████████ 0.46% (95%) 828 [ 316, 317): ████████████████████ 0.45% (96%) 829 [ 317, 318): ████████████████ 0.37% (96%) 830 [ 318, 319): ████████████████ 0.36% (96%) 831 [ 319, 320): ██████████████████ 0.41% (97%) 832 [ 320, 321): ██████████████ 0.32% (97%) 833 [ 321, 322): ███████████ 0.25% (97%) 834 [ 322, 323): ████████████ 0.28% (98%) 835 [ 323, 324): ███████████ 0.26% (98%) 836 [ 324, 325): ██████████ 0.22% (98%) 837 [ 325, 326): ████████ 0.19% (98%) 838 [ 326, 327): ████████ 0.18% (98%) 839 [ 327, 328): ██████ 0.14% (99%) 840 [ 328, 329): ██████ 0.15% (99%) 841 [ 329, 330): ████████ 0.19% (99%) 842 [ 330, 331): █████ 0.13% (99%) 843 [ 331, 332): ███ 0.09% (99%) 844 [ 332, 333): ████ 0.10% (99%) 845 [ 333, 334): ████ 0.10% (99%) 846 [ 334, 335): ████ 0.10% (99%) 847 [ 335, 336): ████ 0.09% (100%) 848 [ 336, 337): ███ 0.08% (100%) 849 [ 337, 338): ██ 0.06% (100%) 850 [ 338, 339): ██ 0.05% (100%) 851 [ 339, 340): ██ 0.05% (100%) 852 [ 340, 341): █ 0.03% (100%) 853 [ 341, 342): 0.02% (100%) 854 [ 342, 343): █ 0.02% (100%) 855 [ 343, 344): █ 0.03% (100%) 856 [ 344, 345): █ 0.02% (100%) 857 [ 345, 346): 0.01% (100%) 858 [ 346, 347): 0.01% (100%) 859 [ 347, 348): 0.02% (100%) 860 [ 348, 349): 0.01% (100%) 861 [ 349, 350): 0.01% (100%) 862 [ 350, 351): 0.01% (100%) 863 [ 351, 352): 0.00% (100%) 864 [ 352, 353): 0.01% (100%) 865 [ 353, 354): 0.01% (100%) 866 [ 354, 355): 0.00% (100%) 867 [ 355, 356): 0.00% (100%) 868 [ 356, 357): 0.00% (100%) 869 [ 357, 358): 0.00% (100%) 870 [ 358, 359): 0.00% (100%) 871 [ 359, 360): 0.00% (100%) 872 [ 360, 361): 0.00% (100%) 873 [ 361, 362): 0.00% (100%) 874 [ 362, 363): 0.00% (100%) 875 [ 363, 364): 0.00% (100%) 876 [ 364, 365): 0.00% (100%) 877 [ 365, 366): 0.00% (100%) 878 [ 366, 367): 0.00% (100%) 879 [ 367, 368): 0.00% (100%) 880 [ 368, 369): 0.00% (100%) 881 [ 369, 370): 0.00% (100%) 882 [ 370, 371): 0.00% (100%) 883 [ 371, 372): 0.00% (100%) 884 [ 372, 373): 0.00% (100%) 885 [ 373, 374): 0.00% (100%) 886 [ 374, 375): 0.00% (100%) 887 [ 375, 376): 0.00% (100%) 888 [ 376, 377): 0.00% (100%) 889 [ 377, 378): 0.00% (100%) 890 [ 378, 379): 0.00% (100%) 891 [ 379, 380): 0.00% (100%) 892 [ 380, 381): 0.00% (100%) 893 [ 381, 382): 0.00% (100%) 894 [ 382, 383): 0.00% (100%) 895 [ 383, 384): 0.00% (100%) 896 [ 384, 385): 0.00% (100%) 897 [ 385, 386): 0.00% (100%) 898 [ 386, 387): 0.00% (100%) 899 [ 387, 388): 0.00% (100%) 900 [ 388, 389): 0.00% (100%) 901 [ 389, 390): 0.00% (100%) 902 [ 390, 391): 0.00% (100%) 903 [ 391, 392): 0.00% (100%) 904 [ 392, 393): 0.00% (100%) 905 [ 393, 394): 0.00% (100%) 906 [ 394, 395): 0.00% (100%) 907 [ 395, 396): 0.00% (100%) 908 [ 396, 397): 0.00% (100%) 909 [ 397, 398): 0.00% (100%) 910 [ 398, 399): 0.00% (100%) 911 [ 399, 400): 0.00% (100%) 912 913 % republicans: 0.588200